Southern Miss vs South Alabama Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The No. 1 seed Southern Miss Golden Eagles (25-6, 14-4 Sun Belt) will square off against the No. 8 seed South Alabama Jaguars (17-15, 9-9 Sun Belt) in the Sun Belt Tournament Saturday at Pensacola Bay Center, tipping off at 12:30 PM.

Saturday’s matchup between the Golden Eagles and the Jaguars features the Golden Eagles as close 1.5-point favorites. A 138.5-point over/under has been set for the game.

Southern Miss vs. South Alabama Odds

Point Spread for Southern Miss vs. South Alabama

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with bookmakers listing Southern Miss as the favorite.

Southern Miss vs. South Alabama Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Southern Miss has -126 odds to pick up the win, while South Alabama is listed at +106 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 138.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Pensacola, Florida
  • Arena: Pensacola Bay Center

Southern Miss vs. South Alabama Betting Trends

Against the spread, Southern Miss is 18-10-0 this year. The Golden Eagles have been victorious in 18, or 85.7%, of the 21 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Southern Miss has hit the over in 50% of its opportunities this year (15 times in 30 games with a set point total).

In South Alabama’s 30 games this year, it has 19 wins against the spread. The Jaguars have been the moneyline underdog 13 total times this season. They’ve finished 2-11 in those games. South Alabama’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 50% of the time (15 out of 30 games with a set point total).

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Southern Miss vs. South Alabama Key Players to Watch

Southern Miss

Austin Crowley paces the Golden Eagles at 16.2 points per contest, while also posting 2.6 assists and 4.2 rebounds. Felipe Haase is averaging 15.2 points, 3 assists and 6.1 rebounds per contest. DeAndre Pinckney paces his squad in rebounds per contest (6.7), and also posts 13.2 points and 1.3 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
Mo Arnold paces his team in assists per contest (3.1), and also averages 4.6 points and 2.9 rebounds. At the other end, he puts up 1.4 steals and 0 blocked shots.

South Alabama

Kevin Samuel is posting a team-high 9.1 rebounds per game. And he is delivering 10.3 points and 0.5 assists, making 64.8% of his shots from the field. Tyrell Jones gets the Jaguars 9.5 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest. He also averages 1.2 steals and 0 blocked shots. Owen White gets the Jaguars 8.7 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1 assists per contest. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Southern Miss has put together a 10-8-0 ATS record in conference action so far this year. With 74.7 points per game on offense, the Golden Eagles are 110th in the nation. At the other end of the court, they cede 65 points per contest, which ranks 42nd in college basketball. With 33.4 rebounds per game, Southern Miss is 88th in the country. It allows 30.7 rebounds per contest, which ranks 156th in college basketball.

This year, Southern Miss is sinking 7 treys per game (222nd-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 32.8% (259th-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Golden Eagles are giving up 6.8 treys per game (128th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 31.5% (55th-ranked) from downtown.

The Golden Eagles have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in their last 10 games. Five of Southern Miss’ past 10 contests have hit the over. Southern Miss has seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 72.1 points per game in its last 10 outings, 2.6 points fewer than the 74.7 it has scored this season. The past 10 games have seen Southern Miss allow 2.4 more points per game (67.4) than its season-long average (65).

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What you need to know about the South Alabama Jaguars

So far this year, nine out of South Alabama’s 19 Sun Belt games with an over/under have gone over the point total. The Jaguars are 198th in college basketball in points scored (70.8 per game) and 44th in points allowed (65.1). South Alabama collects 30.4 rebounds per game and concede 32.8 boards, ranking 263rd and 288th, respectively, in the nation.

Beyond the arc, South Alabama is 143rd in the country in 3-pointers made per game (7.7). It is 183rd in 3-point percentage at 34.3%. In 2022-23 the Jaguars are third-best in the country in 3-pointers allowed (4.9 per game) and 13th-best in defensive 3-point percentage (29.6%).

The Jaguars have gone 8-2 in their past 10 contests, with an 8-2 record against the spread in that span. Five of South Alabama’s past 10 outings have hit the over. South Alabama is averaging 73.6 points per contest over its previous 10 games, which is 2.8 more than its average for the season (70.8). The Jaguars are surrendering 59.8 points per contest in their past 10 games, which is 5.3 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (65.1).

Southern Miss vs. South Alabama Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Southern Miss, and we predict that Southern Miss will cover the spread (Southern Miss -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 138.5 points.

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How to bet Southern Miss vs. South Alabama

You can bet on Southern Miss vs. South Alabama at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Southern Miss vs. South Alabama picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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