Southern Illinois vs Missouri State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 3, 2023

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The Southern Illinois Salukis (22-9, 14-6 MVC) will play the Missouri State Bears (17-14, 12-8 MVC) in the MVC Tournament Friday at Enterprise Center, beginning at 9:30 PM.

Southern Illinois is a small 3-point favorite against Missouri State when the Salukis take on the Bears on Friday. The over/under is 121.5 points for the matchup.

Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State Odds

Point Spread for Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with bookmakers listing Southern Illinois as the favorite.

Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Southern Illinois has -157 odds to pick up the win, while Missouri State is listed at +134 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 121.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 3, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: St. Louis, Missouri
  • Arena: Enterprise Center

Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State Betting Trends

Southern Illinois has played 30 games, with 12 wins against the spread. The Salukis have come away with 18 wins in the 22 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Southern Illinois’ games this year have eclipsed the over/under 16 times in 30 opportunities (53.3%).

Missouri State is 15-15-0 against the spread this year. The Bears have gone 4-7 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 36.4% of those games). Missouri State’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 40% of the time (12 out of 30 games with a set point total).

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Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State Key Players to Watch

Southern Illinois

Marcus Domask paces his team in points (17), rebounds (5.8) and assists (3.8) per game, shooting 45.5% from the field and 35.6% from downtown with 1.7 made 3-pointers per game. Defensively, he delivers 1 steal and 0.4 blocked shots. Lance Jones averages 14 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, shooting 37.5% from the floor and 28.7% from beyond the arc with 2.2 made 3-pointers per contest. Xavier Johnson is putting up 6.9 points, 2.7 assists and 3.2 rebounds per game. Jawaun Newton averages 5.7 points, 3.6 rebounds and 1.1 assists per contest. Defensively, he delivers 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

Missouri State

Jonathan Mogbo is the Bears’ top rebounder (7 per game), and he produces 8.2 points and 1.5 assists. The Bears receive 10.6 points, 3.8 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game from Chance Moore. The Bears get 10 points, 2.3 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game from Alston Mason.

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What you need to know about the Southern Illinois Salukis

Southern Illinois has compiled a 10-10-0 ATS record in conference play so far this year. The Salukis own a top-25 defense this year, ranking 14th-best in college basketball with 61.6 points allowed per game. On offense, they rank 312th with 66.5 points scored per contest. With 29 boards per game, Southern Illinois is 314th in the nation. It cedes 29.7 rebounds per contest, which ranks 95th in college basketball.

With 8 threes per game, Southern Illinois ranks 110th in the nation. It owns a 32.9% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 253rd in college basketball. The Salukis are surrendering 6.2 threes per game (52nd-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing a 33.1% three-point percentage (132nd-ranked).

The Salukis have gone 6-4 over their past 10 games, with a 3-7 record against the spread in that span. Seven of Southern Illinois’ last 10 games have gone over the total. Southern Illinois’ offense has been less effective over its last 10 games, putting up 65.4 points a contest compared to the 66.5 it has averaged this season. Southern Illinois’ defense has been more porous as of late, as the team has allowed 63.9 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 61.6 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.

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What you need to know about the Missouri State Bears

Missouri State is 10-11-0 ATS in conference games this season. The Bears score 66 points per game and give up 63.5, making them 321st in the nation on offense and 29th on defense. Missouri State is 140th in the nation in rebounds per game (32.4) and 42nd in rebounds conceded (28.5).

With 8.1 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 33.4% from downtown, Missouri State is 98th and 233rd in the country, respectively, in those categories. The Bears are 114th in the country in 3-pointers conceded (6.7 per game) and 103rd in 3-point percentage defensively (32.5%).

The Bears are 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 games. Missouri State has hit the over in six of its past 10 contests. Missouri State has performed better offensively in its last 10 games, compiling 67.1 points per contest, 1.1 more than its season average of 66. The Bears are giving up 65.4 points per contest over their past 10 games, which is 1.9 more points than they are allowing for the season (63.5).

Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Southern Illinois, and we expect that Missouri State will cover the spread (Southern Illinois -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 121.5 points.

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How to bet Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State

You can bet on Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Southern Illinois vs. Missouri State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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