Sam Houston vs SFA Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, March 1, 2023

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The Sam Houston Bearkats (22-6, 12-4 WAC) will try to extend a five-game winning streak when they visit the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (19-10, 11-5 WAC) at 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, March 1, 2023 at William R. Johnson Coliseum. The game airs on ESPN+.

Wednesday’s matchup between the Bearkats and the ‘Jacks features the Bearkats as tight 1.5-point favorites. A 133-point over/under has been set for the matchup.

Sam Houston vs. SFA Odds

Point Spread for Sam Houston vs. SFA

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Sam Houston as the favorite.

Sam Houston vs. SFA Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Sam Houston has -124 odds to pick up the win, while SFA is listed at +104 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 133 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, March 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Huntsville, Texas
  • Arena: William R. Johnson Coliseum

Sam Houston vs. SFA Betting Trends

Sam Houston has 15 wins against the spread in 25 games this year. The Bearkats have been chosen as favorites in 18 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (83.3%) in those games. Sam Houston’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 11 times in 26 opportunities (42.3%).

In SFA’s 26 games this year, it has 17 wins against the spread. The ‘Jacks have gone 4-5 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 44.4% of those games). SFA’s games this season have eclipsed the over/under 61.5% of the time (16 out of 26 games with a set point total).

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Sam Houston vs. SFA Key Players to Watch

Sam Houston

Donte Powers is averaging 10.8 points, 1.8 assists and 3.1 rebounds per contest. Cameron Huefner posts 10.6 points, 3.2 rebounds and 0.7 assists per contest, shooting 47.1% from the field and 46.3% from downtown with 1.6 made 3-pointers per contest. Javion May leads his squad in rebounds per game (4.6), and also averages 3.8 points and 1.6 assists. At the other end, he puts up 1.4 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

SFA

Sadaidriene Hall is putting up team highs in points (13.1 per game) and rebounds (6.7). And he is producing 1.9 assists, making 59.6% of his shots from the field. AJ Cajuste is the ‘Jacks’ top assist man (4.3 per game), and he puts up 9.8 points and 2.6 rebounds. The ‘Jacks receive 10.7 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game from Nigel Hawkins. Nana Antwi-Boasiako gives the ‘Jacks 7.8 points, 5 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game. He also averages 0.6 steals and 1 block.

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What you need to know about the Sam Houston Bearkats

Sam Houston and its WAC opponents have combined to hit the over seven out of 16 times this season. The Bearkats sport a top-25 defense this year, ranking fourth-best in college basketball with 58.6 points allowed per game. Offensively, they rank 130th with 73.8 points scored per contest. Sam Houston is grabbing 34.5 boards per game this year (42nd-ranked in college basketball), and it has ceded only 26.3 rebounds per game (fourth-best).

In home games, the Bearkats are putting up 13.8 more points per game (80.4) than they are on the road (66.6). Sam Houston ranks 12th-best in college basketball with a three-point shooting percentage of 38.8%. It ranks 68th in college basketball by making 8.4 treys per contest. The Bearkats are ceding 7.5 three-pointers per game (215th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while allowing a 32.4% three-point percentage (99th-ranked).

The Bearkats are 6-4 against the spread and 9-1 overall in their last 10 games. Sam Houston has gone over the total in three of its past 10 contests. On the offensive side of the ball, Sam Houston has had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 66.6 points per contest over that span compared to the 73.8 it has racked up over the course of this year. Sam Houston has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 58.9 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 58.6 it has conceded this season.

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What you need to know about the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

SFA has covered 12 times in 16 matchups with a spread in conference play this season. In 2022-23, the ‘Jacks are 61st in the country offensively (76.7 points scored per game) and 130th on defense (68.4 points allowed). In 2022-23, SFA is 195th in college basketball in rebounds (31.5 per game) and 50th in rebounds allowed (28.8).

In 2022-23 the ‘Jacks are scoring 2.8 more points per game at home (79.7) than away (76.9). Beyond the arc, SFA is 275th in the nation in 3-pointers made per game (6.5). It is third-best in 3-point percentage at 39.9%. Giving up 6.6 3-pointers per game and conceding 32.9% from beyond the arc, the ‘Jacks are 99th and 122nd in the nation, respectively, in those categories.

The ‘Jacks have gone 6-4 over their past 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span. SFA has gone over the total in seven of its past 10 games. In its previous 10 games, SFA is putting up 77.1 points per game, 0.4 more than its season average (76.7). While the ‘Jacks are giving up 68.4 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse in their last 10 games, allowing 72 points per contest.

Sam Houston vs. SFA Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Sam Houston, and we project that SFA will cover the spread (Sam Houston -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 133 points.

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How to bet Sam Houston vs. SFA

You can bet on Sam Houston vs. SFA at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Sam Houston vs. SFA picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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