Santa Clara vs San Francisco Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, March 5, 2023

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The No. 6 seed San Francisco Dons (19-13, 7-9 WCC) square off in the WCC Tournament against the No. 3 seed Santa Clara Broncos (23-8, 11-5 WCC) on Sunday at Orleans Arena, tipping off at 12:30 AM.

Sunday’s matchup between the Broncos and the Dons features the Broncos as modest 3.5-point favorites. The over/under is 156.5 points for the game.

Santa Clara vs. San Francisco Odds

Point Spread for Santa Clara vs. San Francisco

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with bookmakers listing Santa Clara as the favorite.

Santa Clara vs. San Francisco Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Santa Clara has -175 odds to pick up the win, while San Francisco is listed at +149 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 156.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 5, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:30 AM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Paradise, Nevada
  • Arena: Orleans Arena

Santa Clara vs. San Francisco Betting Trends

Santa Clara is 16-14-0 against the spread this year. The Broncos have come away with 16 wins in the 18 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Santa Clara has hit the over in 45.2% of its opportunities this year (14 times over 31 games with a set point total).

San Francisco has played 31 games, with 15 wins, against the spread. The Dons have won five of the 14 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (35.7%). San Francisco’s games this year have hit the over 41.9% of the time (13 out of 31 games with a set point total).

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Santa Clara vs. San Francisco Key Players to Watch

Santa Clara

Brandin Podziemski leads his squad in points (19.9), rebounds (8.8) and assists (3.4) per contest, shooting 48.6% from the field and 44.5% from downtown with 2.6 made 3-pointers per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.7 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Keshawn Justice puts up 13.4 points, 4.2 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game. Defensively, he posts 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Carlos Stewart is averaging 15.1 points, 2.3 assists and 2.4 rebounds per game. Parker Braun is averaging 7.9 points, 2.1 assists and 6 rebounds per contest.

San Francisco

Khalil Shabazz tops the Dons in scoring (16.9 points per game), rebounding (5.4) and assists (2.9), shooting 40.2% from the floor and 33.7% from beyond the arc with 2.6 triples per game. He also puts up 2.1 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Tyrell Roberts gives the Dons 16.2 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. He also puts up 1.2 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. The Dons receive 10.9 points, 5.1 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game from Zane Meeks. Marcus Williams is putting up 7.5 points, 3.1 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest, making 41.5% of his shots from the field and 39.4% from 3-point range, with 1.2 treys per contest.

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What you need to know about the Santa Clara Broncos

Santa Clara has covered 10 times in 16 games with a spread in conference action this season. This season, the Broncos are scoring 77.2 points per game (54th-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 73 points per contest (270th-ranked). Santa Clara ranks 27th in the country with 35.3 rebounds per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 138th with 30.4 rebounds allowed per game.

With 8.3 threes per game, Santa Clara is 78th in college basketball. It owns a 37% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 47th in college basketball. The Broncos are giving up 8.5 threes per game (323rd-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing a 35.4% three-point percentage (278th-ranked).

The Broncos are 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Santa Clara has hit the over six times. Santa Clara has seen an uptick in scoring lately, racking up 80.7 points per game in its last 10 contests, 3.5 points more than the 77.2 it has scored this season. Santa Clara has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 77.7 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 73 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the San Francisco Dons

San Francisco is 8-9-0 ATS in conference action this year. With 75.8 points scored per game and 72.6 points allowed, the Dons are 82nd in the nation offensively and 255th on defense. With 31.8 rebounds per game and 30 rebounds conceded, San Francisco is 173rd and 108th in college basketball, respectively.

San Francisco is the 11th-best team in college basketball in 3-pointers made (10 per game) and 108th in 3-point percentage (35.5%). The Dons give up 6.5 3-pointers per game and concede 33.6% from beyond the arc, ranking 83rd and 170th, respectively, in the country.

The Dons have gone 6-4 in their past 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span. San Francisco has hit the over in six of its last 10 contests. San Francisco is posting 78.3 points per game in its past 10 games, which is 2.5 more than its average for the season (75.8). While the Dons are ceding 72.6 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse in their last 10 games, allowing 79.2 points per contest.

Santa Clara vs. San Francisco Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Santa Clara, and we predict that San Francisco will cover the spread (Santa Clara -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 156.5 points.

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How to bet Santa Clara vs. San Francisco

You can bet on Santa Clara vs. San Francisco at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Santa Clara vs. San Francisco picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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