San Diego State vs Utah State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 11, 2023

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The No. 1 seed San Diego State Aztecs (26-6, 15-3 MWC) and the No. 3 Utah State Aggies (26-7, 13-5 MWC) will play to determine the MWC conference champion on Saturday at 6:00 PM.

Saturday’s matchup between the Aztecs and the Aggies features the Aztecs as close 2-point favorites. The over/under for the game is 138.5.

San Diego State vs. Utah State Odds

Point Spread for San Diego State vs. Utah State

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with oddsmakers listing San Diego State as the favorite.

San Diego State vs. Utah State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, San Diego State has -131 odds to pick up the win, while Utah State is listed at +110 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 138.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

San Diego State vs. Utah State Betting Trends

San Diego State has 14 wins against the spread in 31 games this year. The Aztecs have been favorites in 28 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (85.7%) in those contests. San Diego State’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 43.8% of the time (14 out of 32 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, Utah State is 21-11-0 this season. The Aggies have yet to win as the moneyline underdog this season, going 1-2. Utah State’s games this year have hit the over 62.5% of the time (20 out of 32 games with a set point total).

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San Diego State vs. Utah State Key Players to Watch

San Diego State

Matt Bradley puts up a team-leading 12.8 points per contest. He is also totaling 3.8 rebounds and 2.2 assists, shooting 41.1% from the field and 38.1% from downtown with 1.6 made 3-pointers per game. Darrion Trammell leads his squad in assists per game (3.4), and also averages 9.7 points and 2.2 rebounds. Defensively, he posts 1.4 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Lamont Butler is posting 8.7 points, 3.2 assists and 2.5 rebounds per contest.
Nathan Mensah leads the Aztecs at 5.8 rebounds per contest, while also putting up 0.6 assists and 6.4 points.

Utah State

Max Shulga gets the Aggies 12.4 points, 4.4 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game. He also puts up 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. The Aggies get 13.5 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game from Taylor Funk. Daniel Akin tops the Aggies in rebounding (6.9 per game), and puts up 12.1 points and 0.9 assists. He also averages 0.5 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the San Diego State Aztecs

San Diego State has won 11 games against the spread in conference play this season, while failing to cover nine times. The Aztecs are scoring 72.4 points per game (164th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while ceding 63.8 points per contest (29th-ranked). San Diego State is averaging 32.6 boards per game this season (119th-ranked in college basketball), and it has given up only 27.8 rebounds per contest (23rd-best).

San Diego State is draining 7.3 treys per game (193rd-ranked in college basketball) this season, while putting up a 36% three-point percentage (83rd-ranked). The Aztecs are giving up 6.5 three-pointers per game this year (82nd-ranked in college basketball), and they are allowing a 29.8% three-point percentage (14th-best).

The Aztecs have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 9-1 overall in their last 10 games. In San Diego State’s past 10 games, it has gone over the total once. San Diego State’s offense has been worse over its last 10 games, scoring 66.7 points a contest compared to the 72.4 it has averaged this year. San Diego State has been more stingy on defense lately, giving up 58.2 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 63.8 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Utah State Aggies

So far this year, 12 out of Utah State’s 20 MWC games with an over/under have hit the over. At 79.2 points scored per game and 69.9 points allowed, the Aggies are 27th in the nation on offense and 170th on defense. With 33.1 rebounds per game and 28.5 rebounds conceded, Utah State is 95th and 44th in the country, respectively.

In 2022-23 Utah State is 16th-best in the nation in 3-point makes (9.6 per game), and third-best in 3-point percentage (40%). In 2022-23, the Aggies are 137th in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (6.9 per game) and 270th in defensive 3-point percentage (35.2%).

The Aggies have gone 8-2 in their past 10 contests, with an 8-2 record against the spread in that span. Five of Utah State’s past 10 outings have gone over the total. While Utah State is posting 79.2 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that over its previous 10 games, amassing 77.3 points per contest. While the Aggies are allowing 69.9 points per game in 2022-23, they have improved that mark in their past 10 games, allowing 67.4 points per contest.

San Diego State vs. Utah State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is San Diego State, and we predict that Utah State will cover the spread (San Diego State -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 138.5 points.

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How to bet San Diego State vs. Utah State

You can bet on San Diego State vs. Utah State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s San Diego State vs. Utah State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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