San Diego State vs Florida Atlantic Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, April 1, 2023

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The San Diego State Aztecs (31-6) and Florida Atlantic Owls (35-3) will square off on Saturday for a spot in the NCAA Tournament National Championship game. This Final Four battle tips off at 6:09 PM at NRG Stadium (airing on CBS).

The Aztecs match up against the Owls in a game that San Diego State is currently a moderate favorite by 2.5 points. The game has a point total of 130.5.

San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic Odds

Point Spread for San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with oddsmakers listing San Diego State as the favorite.

San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic Moneyline

As for the moneyline, San Diego State has -146 odds to pick up the win, while Florida Atlantic is listed at +123 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 130.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, April 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:09 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Arena: NRG Stadium

San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic Betting Trends

San Diego State has played 36 games, with 19 wins against the spread. The Aztecs have won in 27, or 87.1%, of the 31 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. San Diego State’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 38.9% of the time (14 out of 36 games with a set point total).

In Florida Atlantic’s 36 games this year, it has 24 wins against the spread. The Owls have been the moneyline underdog eight total times this season. They’ve finished 6-2 in those games. Florida Atlantic’s games this year have hit the over 19 times in 36 opportunities (52.8%).

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San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic Key Players to Watch

San Diego State

Matt Bradley paces the Aztecs at 12.5 points per contest, while also posting 2.1 assists and 3.8 rebounds. Lamont Butler is tops on his team in assists per contest (3.3), and also averages 8.7 points and 2.7 rebounds. Defensively, he averages 1.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Darrion Trammell posts 9.9 points, 2.4 rebounds and 3.1 assists per contest, shooting 36.1% from the floor and 31.6% from beyond the arc with 1.3 made 3-pointers per game. Nathan Mensah posts a team-high 5.9 rebounds per game. He is also putting up 6.1 points and 0.6 assists, shooting 53.5% from the field.

Florida Atlantic

Johnell Davis is the Owls’ top scorer (13.9 points per game), and he posts 1.7 assists and 5.5 rebounds. Vladislav Goldin tops the Owls in rebounding (6.6 per game), and posts 10.3 points and 0.4 assists. He also delivers 0.4 steals and 1.2 blocked shots. The Owls receive 13.1 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Alijah Martin. Nicholas Boyd paces the Owls in assists (2.5 per game), and posts 8.8 points and 4.3 rebounds. He also posts 0.8 steals and 0 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the San Diego State Aztecs

The Aztecs are posting 71.5 points per game this year (182nd-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really thrived on defense, surrendering only 62.9 points per contest (24th-best). San Diego State ranks 79th in college basketball with 33.4 boards per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 39th with 28.5 rebounds allowed per game.

This year, San Diego State is sinking 6.9 treys per game (230th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 34.7% (150th-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Aztecs rank second-best in the nation by allowing a three-point shooting percentage of 27.9% to opposing teams. They rank 51st in college basketball by surrendering 6.2 treys per contest.

The Aztecs are 7-3 against the spread and 9-1 overall over their last 10 contests. San Diego State has not gone over the total in its past 10 games. San Diego State’s offense has been less productive over its last 10 games, racking up 65.6 points a contest compared to the 71.5 it has averaged this year. San Diego State’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (58.3) is 4.6 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (62.9).

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What you need to know about the Florida Atlantic Owls

In 2022-23, the Owls are 36th in the country offensively (78 points scored per game) and 42nd on defense (65.1 points allowed). On the glass, Florida Atlantic is 12th-best in the nation in rebounds (36.1 per game). It is 97th in rebounds allowed (29.9 per game).

In 2022-23 Florida Atlantic is 14th-best in college basketball in 3-point makes (9.6 per game), and it ranks No. 55 in 3-point percentage (36.5%). Giving up 6.6 3-pointers per game and conceding 31.8% from beyond the arc, the Owls are 100th and 64th in the nation, respectively, in those categories.

The Owls have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 10-0 overall over their past 10 contests. Florida Atlantic has hit the over in four of its past 10 contests. Over its past 10 games, Florida Atlantic is scoring 76 points per game, two fewer points than its season average (78). While the Owls are giving up 65.1 points per game in 2022-23, they have improved that mark in their past 10 games, allowing 63.3 points per contest.

San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is San Diego State, and we predict that Florida Atlantic will cover the spread (San Diego State -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 130.5 points.

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How to bet San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic

You can bet on San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s San Diego State vs. Florida Atlantic picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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