Saint Mary’s (CA) vs Gonzaga Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, February 4, 2023

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The Saint Mary’s Gaels (20-4, 9-0 WCC) will aim to build on an 11-game winning run when they host the Gonzaga Bulldogs (19-4, 8-1 WCC) at 10:30 PM ET on Saturday, February 4, 2023. The Bulldogs have taken three games in a row.

Saturday’s matchup between the Gaels and the Bulldogs features the Gaels as 3-point favorites. A 137.5-point total has been set for the game.

Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. Gonzaga Odds

Point Spread for Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. Gonzaga

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with sportsbooks listing Saint Mary’s (CA) as the favorite.

Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. Gonzaga Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Saint Mary’s (CA) has -158 odds to pick up the win, while Gonzaga is listed at +134 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 137.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, February 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Location: Moraga, California
  • Arena: McKeon Pavilion

Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. Gonzaga Betting Trends

Saint Mary’s (CA) is 14-8-1 against the spread this season. The Gaels have won in 18, or 85.7%, of the 21 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Saint Mary’s (CA)’s games this year have hit the over on 10 of 22 set point totals.

Gonzaga has eight wins against the spread in 22 games this season. The Bulldogs are 2-1 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 66.7% of those games). Gonzaga’s games this season have hit the over on 11 of 22 set point totals (50%).

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Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. Gonzaga Key Players to Watch

Saint Mary’s (CA)

Mitchell Saxen is tops on his team in rebounds per contest (8.3), and also puts up 12.5 points and 1.8 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.0 steal and 1.2 blocked shots. Logan Johnson puts up a team-best 3.8 assists per contest. He is also posting 12.1 points and 4.8 rebounds, shooting 42.1% from the field. Kyle Bowen is averaging 5.8 points, 1.9 assists and 7.8 rebounds per game. Aidan Mahaney leads his squad in both points (14.8) and assists (1.8) per contest, and also posts 2.4 rebounds. At the other end, he delivers 1.0 steal and 0.1 blocked shots.


Drew Timme is No. 1 on the Bulldogs in scoring (21.1 points per game) and rebounding (7.7), and puts up 3.4 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 1.0 block. Julian Strawther is averaging 14.6 points, 6.9 rebounds and 1.0 assists per game, making 48.1% of his shots from the floor and 43.3% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 triples per game. Anton Watson is averaging 10.9 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.2 assists per contest, making 60.1% of his shots from the field. Rasir Bolton is putting up 10.8 points, 1.9 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game, making 42.9% of his shots from the field and 40.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 treys per game.

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What you need to know about the Saint Mary’s Gaels

Saint Mary’s (CA) and its WCC opponents have combined to hit the over four out of nine times this season. The Gaels own a top-25 defense this season, ranking fourth-best in college basketball with 57.2 points allowed per game. On offense, they rank 181st with 71.3 points scored per contest. With 26.0 rebounds allowed per game, Saint Mary’s (CA) ranks fourth-best in college basketball. It ranks 100th in college basketball by averaging 33.5 rebounds per contest.

The Gaels score 74.3 points per game when playing at home, compared to 68.8 points per game away from home, a difference of 5.5 points per contest. With 7.9 three-pointers per game, Saint Mary’s (CA) ranks 122nd in the nation. It has a 37.5% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 33rd in college basketball. The Gaels are allowing opponents to put up a 30.8% three-point percentage this season (47th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve shined by allowing only 5.0 three-pointers per game (seventh-best).

The Gaels have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 10-0 overall in their past 10 games. Saint Mary’s (CA) has gone over the total in four of its last 10 contests. Saint Mary’s (CA) has been racking up 75.0 points per game in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly higher than the 71.3 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. Saint Mary’s (CA) has been more stingy on the defensive side of the ball lately, giving up 56.9 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 57.2 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Gonzaga Bulldogs

Gonzaga is 4-5-0 ATS in conference action this year. On offense, the Bulldogs are the best team in the nation (86.4 points per game). Defensively, they are 283rd (73.2 points conceded per game). At 34.0 rebounds per game and 28.9 rebounds allowed, Gonzaga is 69th and 61st in the country, respectively.

The Bulldogs score 92.8 points per game at home, and 81.3 on the road. In 2022-23 Gonzaga is 122nd in the nation in 3-point makes (7.9 per game) and 14th-best in 3-point percentage (38.6%). Defensively, the Bulldogs are 271st in the country in 3-pointers allowed per game at 8.0. They are 239th in 3-point percentage conceded at 34.5%.

The Bulldogs have gone 9-1 over their past 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 games, Gonzaga has gone over the total four times. While Gonzaga is posting 86.4 points per game in 2022-23, it has bettered that mark in its previous 10 games, tallying 91.5 a contest. In their past 10 games, the Bulldogs are surrendering 72.5 points per contest, 0.7 fewer points than their season average (73.2).

Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. Gonzaga Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Saint Mary’s (CA), and we predict that Saint Mary’s (CA) will cover the spread (Saint Mary’s (CA) -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 137.5 points.

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How to bet Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. Gonzaga

You can bet on Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. Gonzaga at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. Gonzaga picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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