Saint Mary’s (CA) vs BYU Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Monday, March 6, 2023

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The No. 5 seed BYU Cougars (19-14, 7-9 WCC) play in the WCC Tournament against the No. 1 seed Saint Mary’s Gaels (25-6, 14-2 WCC) on Monday at Orleans Arena, tipping off at 9:00 PM.

Monday’s game between the Gaels and the Cougars sees the Gaels as a strong, 7-point favorite. The over/under for the game is set at 131.

Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. BYU Odds

Point Spread for Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. BYU

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with oddsmakers listing Saint Mary’s (CA) as the favorite.

Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. BYU Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Saint Mary’s (CA) has -330 odds to pick up the win, while BYU is listed at +260 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 131 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, March 6, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Paradise, Nevada
  • Arena: Orleans Arena

Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. BYU Betting Trends

Saint Mary’s (CA) is 17-12-1 against the spread this year. The Gaels have won in 23, or 85.2%, of the 27 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Saint Mary’s (CA) has eclipsed the over/under in 48.4% of its opportunities this year (15 times in 31 games with a set point total).

BYU has played 31 games, with 17 wins, against the spread. The Cougars have won three of the 12 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (25%). BYU’s games this year have hit the over on 15 of 31 set point totals (48.4%).

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Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. BYU Key Players to Watch

Saint Mary’s (CA)

Mitchell Saxen registers a team-high 8 rebounds per contest. In addition, he’s posting 11.8 points and 1.8 assists, shooting 54.8% from the field. Aidan Mahaney averages a team-leading 14.6 points per game. He is also posting 2.3 rebounds and 2 assists, shooting 44% from the field and 40.9% from beyond the arc with 2.3 made 3-pointers per contest. Kyle Bowen puts up 5.4 points, 7.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game, shooting 42.4% from the field and 40% from beyond the arc with 1 made 3-pointers per game.


Fousseyni Traore is the Cougars’ top scorer (13 points per game) and rebounder (7.9), and contributes 1.5 assists. Gideon George is putting up 10.5 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game, making 42.8% of his shots from the field and 32.2% from 3-point range, with 1.2 treys per contest. Rudi Williams gives the Cougars 12.8 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. The Cougars receive 8.7 points, 3 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Jaxson Robinson.

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What you need to know about the Saint Mary’s Gaels

A total of nine out of Saint Mary’s (CA)’s 16 WCC games this season have hit the over. The Gaels have a top-25 defense this year, ranking fifth-best in college basketball with 59.3 points allowed per game. On offense, they rank 180th with 71.9 points scored per contest. Saint Mary’s (CA) is grabbing 32.9 boards per game this year (109th-ranked in college basketball), and it has ceded only 25.9 rebounds per contest (third-best).

Saint Mary’s (CA) is draining 7.9 three-pointers per game (118th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while putting up a 37.2% three-point percentage (36th-ranked). The Gaels rank ninth-best in the country by allowing 5.3 threes per game. In terms of three-point percentage allowed, they rank 71st in college basketball at 32%.

The Gaels have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Saint Mary’s (CA) has gone over the total six times. Saint Mary’s (CA)’s offense has been very consistent recently, averaging the same 71.9 points per game in its last 10 games as it has the entire 2022-23 season. Saint Mary’s (CA)’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has given up 63.8 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 59.3 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.

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What you need to know about the BYU Cougars

So far this season, eight out of BYU’s 18 WCC games with an over/under have gone over the point total. The Cougars are 85th in the country in points scored (75.7 per game) and 167th in points conceded (69.7). BYU is 59th in college basketball in rebounds per game (33.9) and 17th-best in rebounds conceded (27.5).

Beyond the arc, BYU is 90th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (8.2). It is 183rd in 3-point percentage at 34.2%. The Cougars give up 7.2 3-pointers per game and concede 33.6% from beyond the arc, ranking 178th and 173rd, respectively, in the nation.

The Cougars have an 8-2 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall in their past 10 games. Five of BYU’s last 10 games have gone over the total. In its past 10 games, BYU is putting up 76.8 points per game, 1.1 more than its season average (75.7). While the Cougars are giving up 69.7 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse in their past 10 games, allowing 71.1 points per contest.

Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. BYU Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Saint Mary’s (CA), and we project that Saint Mary’s (CA) will cover the spread (Saint Mary’s (CA) -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 131 points.

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How to bet Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. BYU

You can bet on Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. BYU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Saint Mary’s (CA) vs. BYU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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