Rutgers vs Michigan State Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, February 4, 2023

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The Rutgers Scarlet Knights (15-7, 7-4 Big Ten) look to build on a three-game home winning streak when hosting the Michigan State Spartans (14-8, 6-5 Big Ten) on Saturday, February 4, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET.

Saturday’s matchup between the Scarlet Knights and the Spartans features the Scarlet Knights as 4.5-point favorites. A 126.5-point over/under is set for the game.

Rutgers vs. Michigan State Odds

Point Spread for Rutgers vs. Michigan State

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with bookmakers listing Rutgers as the favorite.

Rutgers vs. Michigan State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Rutgers has -213 odds to pick up the win, while Michigan State is listed at +178 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 126.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, February 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • Location: New York City, New York
  • Arena: Madison Square Garden

Rutgers vs. Michigan State Betting Trends

In the Rutgers’ 22 games this season, it has 15 wins against the spread. The Scarlet Knights have come away with 13 wins in the 16 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Rutgers’ games this year have hit the over on 10 of 22 set point totals.

Michigan State has played 22 games, with 11 wins, against the spread. The Spartans have put together a 2-5 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 28.6% of those games). Michigan State’s games this season have gone over the total in 11 of 22 opportunities (50%).

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Rutgers vs. Michigan State Key Players to Watch


Clifford Omoruyi puts up 13.4 points and 9.9 rebounds per contest — both team highs. He is also putting up 1.0 assists, shooting 50.9% from the floor. Cam Spencer puts up 13.1 points, 3.3 rebounds and 3.7 assists per contest, shooting 45.2% from the field and 43.9% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made 3-pointers per game. Caleb McConnell averages 9.8 points, 5.5 rebounds and 3.2 assists per contest. At the other end, he posts 2.2 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Paul Mulcahy is tops on the Scarlet Knights at 5.0 assists per contest, while also posting 3.6 rebounds and 8.9 points.

Michigan State

A.J Hoggard leads the Spartans in assists (5.9 per game), and puts up 12.7 points and 3.8 rebounds. He also delivers 1.0 steal and 0.3 blocked shots. Joey Hauser is the Spartans’ top rebounder (7.5 per game), and he puts up 13.2 points and 2.0 assists. Tyson Walker leads the Spartans in scoring (13.9 points per game) and assists (2.6), and averages 2.5 rebounds. He also posts 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Mady Sissoko gives the Spartans 5.7 points, 6.7 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game. He also posts 0.3 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Rutgers’ Big Ten games have hit the over four out of 11 times this season. The Scarlet Knights are scoring 71.4 points per game this year (184th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really shined on defense, ceding just 58.5 points per game (sixth-best). Rutgers is averaging 35.5 rebounds per game (33rd-ranked in college basketball). It is ceding 30.5 rebounds per contest (140th-ranked).

Rutgers ranks 318th in the nation with 5.9 treys per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 263rd with a 32.7% shooting percentage from three-point land. The Scarlet Knights rank 17th-best in the country by giving up a three-point shooting percentage of 29.4% to opposing teams. They rank 137th in college basketball by surrendering 6.9 three-pointers per contest.

The Scarlet Knights have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests. Five of Rutgers’ last 10 contests have hit the over. On the offensive side of the ball, Rutgers has had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 71.1 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 71.4 it has racked up over the course of this year. Rutgers’ defense has been more porous lately, as the team has given up 63.6 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 58.5 points per game its opponents average on the season.

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What you need to know about the Michigan State Spartans

So far this year, five out of Michigan State’s 11 Big Ten games with an over/under have gone over the point total. The Spartans are 245th in college basketball in points scored (69.0 per game) and 82nd in points allowed (66.1). Michigan State collects 33.1 rebounds per game and give up 30.9 boards, ranking 125th and 161st, respectively, in college basketball.

With 7.0 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 37.9% from downtown, Michigan State is 230th and 26th in the country, respectively, in those categories. Defensively, the Spartans are 110th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed per game at 6.6. They are 42nd in 3-point percentage conceded at 30.5%.

The Spartans have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. Michigan State has gone over the total in five of its last 10 contests. While Michigan State is putting up 69.0 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that in its last 10 games, producing 68.3 points per contest. In their previous 10 games, the Spartans are ceding 65.8 points per contest, compared to their season average of 66.1 points allowed.

Rutgers vs. Michigan State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Rutgers, and we project that Michigan State will cover the spread (Rutgers -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 126.5 points.

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How to bet Rutgers vs. Michigan State

You can bet on Rutgers vs. Michigan State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Rutgers vs. Michigan State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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