Purdue vs Wisconsin Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Thursday, March 2, 2023

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The Purdue Boilermakers (24-5, 13-5 Big Ten) will attempt to break a three-game road losing skid at the Wisconsin Badgers (16-12, 8-10 Big Ten) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET.

Purdue is a small 3.5-point favorite against Wisconsin when the Boilermakers face off with the Badgers on Thursday. The point total for the matchup is 128.

Purdue vs. Wisconsin Odds

Point Spread for Purdue vs. Wisconsin

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Purdue as the favorite.

Purdue vs. Wisconsin Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Purdue has -177 odds to pick up the win, while Wisconsin is listed at +149 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 128 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: Madison, Wisconsin
  • Arena: Kohl Center

Purdue vs. Wisconsin Betting Trends

Against the spread, Purdue is 12-16-1 this year. The Boilermakers have come away with 19 wins in the 22 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Purdue has hit the over in 42.9% of its opportunities this year (12 times in 28 games with a set point total).

Wisconsin is 12-16-0 against the spread this season. The Badgers have won six of the 14 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (42.9%). Wisconsin’s games this year have hit the over on 14 of 28 set point totals (50%).

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Purdue vs. Wisconsin Key Players to Watch


Zach Edey leads the Boilermakers with 22.3 points per game (fifth in the country) and 12.9 rebounds (third in the country), while also putting up 1.5 assists. Braden Smith averages a team-high 4.3 assists per game. He is also averaging 9.8 points and 4.4 rebounds, shooting 44.8% from the field and 40% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per game. Fletcher Loyer posts 11.8 points, 1.8 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. At the other end, he puts up 0.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Caleb Furst is putting up 6.1 points, 0.8 assists and 5 rebounds per contest.


Steven Crowl paces the Badgers in rebounding (7.1 per game), and puts up 11.6 points and 2.7 assists. He also delivers 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Tyler Wahl is posting 11.2 points, 6.4 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, making 40.9% of his shots from the field. Connor Essegian is posting team highs in points (12.1 per game) and assists (0.8). And he is producing 3.5 rebounds, making 41.9% of his shots from the floor and 38.4% from 3-point range, with 2.2 treys per contest.

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What you need to know about the Purdue Boilermakers

Purdue has compiled an 8-9-1 conference record against the spread this season. The Boilermakers are scoring 73.4 points per game this season (136th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really provided a lift on defense, ceding only 62.2 points per contest (17th-best). Purdue is playing well in terms of rebounding, as it ranks ninth-best in college basketball in rebounds (36.7 per game) and best in boards allowed (24.3 per contest).

The Boilermakers score 76.3 points per game in home games, compared to 67.7 points per game when playing on the road, a difference of 8.6 points per contest. Purdue is draining 7 threes per game (224th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while putting up a 33.1% three-point percentage (250th-ranked). The Boilermakers are 43rd in college basketball with 6.1 treys allowed per game this year. Meanwhile, they rank 27th with a 30.6% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Boilermakers have a 4-5-1 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their last 10 games. Six of Purdue’s past 10 outings have hit the over. On offense, Purdue has had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 71.6 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 73.4 it has put up over the course of this year. The last 10 games have seen Purdue give up 4.2 more points per game (66.4) than its season-long average (62.2).

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What you need to know about the Wisconsin Badgers

Wisconsin has put together a 6-12-0 ATS record so far this year in conference play. In 2022-23, the Badgers are 331st in college basketball on offense (65.1 points scored per game) and 30th on defense (63.7 points allowed). At 29.4 rebounds per game and 33.3 rebounds conceded, Wisconsin is 300th and 309th in the country, respectively.

At home the Badgers are scoring 65.2 points per game, 2.4 fewer points than they are averaging on the road (67.6). Beyond the arc, Wisconsin is 68th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (8.4). It is 111th in 3-point percentage at 35.5%. Giving up 6.3 3-pointers per game and conceding 32.2% from downtown, the Badgers are 63rd and 83rd in the country, respectively, in those categories.

The Badgers have gone 4-6 over their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread in that span. Wisconsin has hit the over in four of its last 10 outings. Wisconsin is averaging 62.9 points per contest over its previous 10 games, which is 2.2 fewer points than its average for the season (65.1). The Badgers are ceding 65.1 points per game over their previous 10 games, which is 1.4 more points than they are allowing for the season (63.7).

Purdue vs. Wisconsin Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Purdue, and we predict that Purdue will cover the spread (Purdue -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 128 points.

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How to bet Purdue vs. Wisconsin

You can bet on Purdue vs. Wisconsin at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Purdue vs. Wisconsin picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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