Purdue vs Penn State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, January 8, 2023

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The Penn State Nittany Lions (11-4, 2-2 Big Ten) will try to continue a four-game home winning streak when hosting the Purdue Boilermakers (14-1, 3-1 Big Ten) on Sunday, January 8, 2023 at Palestra, airing at 6:00 PM ET.

Sunday’s matchup between the Boilermakers and the Nittany Lions features the Boilermakers as 5-point favorites. A 135.5-point over/under has been set for the game.

Purdue vs. Penn State Odds

Point Spread for Purdue vs. Penn State

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with sportsbooks listing Purdue as the favorite.

Purdue vs. Penn State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Purdue has -223 odds to pick up the win, while Penn State is listed at +181 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 135.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 8, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  • Arena: Palestra

Purdue vs. Penn State Betting Trends

Purdue has five wins against the spread in 15 games this season. The Boilermakers have been chosen as favorites in 10 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (90%) in those games. Purdue’s games this year have gone over the total in five out of 15 opportunities (33.3%).

Penn State is 8-7-0 against the spread this year. The Nittany Lions have been the underdog on the moneyline four total times this season. They’ve finished 1-3 in those games. Penn State’s games this year have hit the over on seven of 15 set point totals (46.7%).

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Purdue vs. Penn State Key Players to Watch

Purdue

Zach Edey averages 21.3 points and 13.2 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also putting up 1.3 assists, shooting 62.6% from the field. Braden Smith averages a team-best 3.8 assists per contest. He is also posting 9.4 points and 5.0 rebounds, shooting 44.9% from the floor and 42.9% from beyond the arc with 1.2 made 3-pointers per game. Fletcher Loyer is averaging 12.1 points, 2.4 assists and 1.5 rebounds per game. Caleb Furst posts 7.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 0.5 assists per contest. Defensively, he puts up 0.3 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Penn State

Jalen Pickett paces the Nittany Lions in scoring (17.4 points per game), rebounding (7.5) and assists (7.3), shooting 48.8% from the field and 30.6% from 3-point range with 1.0 trey per game. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. Seth Lundy gets the Nittany Lions 13.7 points, 6.7 rebounds and 1.1 assists per contest. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. Andrew Funk gives the Nittany Lions 12.1 points, 2.3 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest. He also posts 0.5 steals and 0.0 blocked shots. Camren Wynter is putting up 9.7 points, 3.1 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest, making 45.3% of his shots from the field and 37.0% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 triples per game.

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What you need to know about the Purdue Boilermakers

The Boilermakers are averaging 75.9 points per game this year (96th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really provided a lift on defense, surrendering just 61.4 points per contest (24th-best). In terms of rebounding, it’s been a dominant stretch for Purdue, who is grabbing 38.3 rebounds per game (third-best in college basketball) and allowing 25.3 rebounds per contest (best).

Purdue ranks 189th in the country with 7.4 treys per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 292nd with a 31.5% shooting percentage from three-point land. The Boilermakers rank 24th-best in the country by giving up a three-point shooting percentage of 29.0% to opponents. They rank 106th in college basketball by ceding 6.5 three-pointers per contest.

The Boilermakers have covered the spread twice, and are 9-1 overall, over their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Purdue has gone over the total four times. In its last 10 games, Purdue has been putting up 75.3 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 75.9 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Purdue’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (62.0) is 0.6 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (61.4).

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What you need to know about the Penn State Nittany Lions

On offense the Nittany Lions are the 106th-ranked team in the country (75.5 points per game). Defensively they are 122nd (66.9 points allowed per game). In 2022-23, Penn State is 208th in the country in rebounds (31.9 per game) and 308th in rebounds allowed (33.7).

Beyond the arc, Penn State is fifth-best in the nation in 3-pointers made per game at 10.9. And it is 25th-best in 3-point percentage at 38.4%. Defensively, the Nittany Lions are 257th in the country in 3-pointers conceded per game at 7.8. They are 191st in 3-point percentage conceded at 33.1%.

The Nittany Lions are 4-6 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 games. Five of Penn State’s last 10 games have hit the over. In its past 10 games, Penn State is scoring 75.0 points per game, compared to its season average of 75.5. In their previous 10 games, the Nittany Lions are surrendering 67.9 points per game, 1.0 more point than their season average (66.9).

Purdue vs. Penn State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Purdue, and we expect that Purdue will cover the spread (Purdue -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 135.5 points.

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How to bet Purdue vs. Penn State

You can bet on Purdue vs. Penn State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Purdue vs. Penn State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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