Purdue vs Ohio State Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, March 11, 2023

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The No. 1 seed Purdue Boilermakers (27-5, 15-5 Big Ten) will play the No. 13 seed Ohio State Buckeyes (16-18, 5-15 Big Ten) in the Big Ten Tournament Saturday at United Center, starting at 1:00 PM.

Purdue is a healthy 7.5-point favorite against Ohio State when the Boilermakers hit the court against the Buckeyes on Saturday. The game has a point total of 133.

Purdue vs. Ohio State Odds

Point Spread for Purdue vs. Ohio State

The spread for this matchup is set at 7.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Purdue as the favorite.

Purdue vs. Ohio State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Purdue has -365 odds to pick up the win, while Ohio State is listed at +289 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 133 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Arena: United Center

Purdue vs. Ohio State Betting Trends

Purdue is 12-19-1 against the spread this season. The Boilermakers have been favorites in 25 games this season and have come away with the win 22 times (88%) in those contests. Purdue’s games this year have gone over the total in 14 out of 34 opportunities (41.2%).

Ohio State has played 34 games, with 14 wins, against the spread. The Buckeyes have won 31.2% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (5-11). Ohio State’s games this season have gone over the total in 16 of 34 opportunities (47.1%).

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Purdue vs. Ohio State Key Players to Watch


Zach Edey leads his squad in both points (21.7) and rebounds (12.8) per game, and also averages 1.5 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.2 steals and 2.2 blocked shots. Braden Smith is tops on the Boilermakers at 4.2 assists per game, while also putting up 4.2 rebounds and 9.9 points. Fletcher Loyer posts 11.4 points, 1.7 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he posts 0.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Caleb Furst puts up 5.7 points, 4.8 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game. Defensively, he posts 0.4 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

Ohio State

Brice Sensabaugh is averaging team highs in points (16.3 per game) and assists (1.2). And he is producing 5.4 rebounds, making 48.2% of his shots from the floor and 40.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 triples per game. The Buckeyes receive 12.3 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Justice Sueing. Bruce Thornton gets the Buckeyes 10.6 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. He also delivers 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Zed Key is the Buckeyes’ top rebounder (7.5 per game), and he produces 10.8 points and 0.8 assists.

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What you need to know about the Purdue Boilermakers

A total of 11 out of Purdue’s 21 Big Ten games this season have gone over the point total. The Boilermakers have been led by their defense, as they rank 20th-best in college basketball by surrendering just 62.6 points per game. They rank 141st in college basketball in points scored (73.1 per contest). Purdue has been shining in terms of rebounding this season, ranking ninth-best in the nation in boards per game (36.3) and best in rebounds allowed per contest (24.3).

With 6.9 treys per game, Purdue is 229th in college basketball. It owns a 32.8% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 258th in college basketball. With 6.3 treys conceded per game, the Boilermakers are 63rd in college basketball. They are allowing a 31.1% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 40th in college basketball.

The Boilermakers are 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their past 10 games. Purdue has gone over the total in six of its last 10 games. Purdue has seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 71.5 points per game in its last 10 contests, 1.6 points fewer than the 73.1 it has scored this season. Purdue’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has allowed 67.5 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 62.6 points per game its opponents average this season.

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What you need to know about the Ohio State Buckeyes

A total of eight Ohio State conference games this season have gone over the point total. The Buckeyes are 156th in the nation in points scored (72.7 per game) and 133rd in points conceded (68.6). In 2022-23, Ohio State is 97th in college basketball in rebounds (33.1 per game) and 100th in rebounds allowed (29.9).

In 2022-23, Ohio State is 260th in the nation in 3-point makes (6.7 per game) and 60th in 3-point percentage (36.6%). Defensively, the Buckeyes are 138th in the country in 3-pointers allowed per game at 6.9. They are 59th in 3-point percentage conceded at 31.8%.

The Buckeyes have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 games, Ohio State has hit the over three times. Over its previous 10 games, Ohio State is scoring 67.1 points per game, 5.6 fewer points than its season average (72.7). Over their previous 10 games, the Buckeyes are giving up 70.1 points per contest, 1.5 more points than their season average (68.6).

Purdue vs. Ohio State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Purdue, and we project that Ohio State will cover the spread (Purdue -7.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 133 points.

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How to bet Purdue vs. Ohio State

You can bet on Purdue vs. Ohio State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Purdue vs. Ohio State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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