Purdue vs Northwestern Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, February 12, 2023

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The Purdue Boilermakers (23-2, 12-2 Big Ten) take on the Northwestern Wildcats (17-7, 8-5 Big Ten) on Sunday at 2:00 PM ET in Big Ten play, aiting on BTN.

Purdue is a 5.5-point favorite against Northwestern when the Boilermakers hit the court against the Wildcats on Sunday. The game’s over/under is 131.

Purdue vs. Northwestern Odds

Point Spread for Purdue vs. Northwestern

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Purdue as the favorite.

Purdue vs. Northwestern Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Purdue has -221 odds to pick up the win, while Northwestern is listed at +182 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 131 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, February 12, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Big Ten Network
  • Location: Evanston, Illinois
  • Arena: Welsh-Ryan Arena

Purdue vs. Northwestern Betting Trends

In the Purdue’s 25 games this year, it has 11 wins against the spread. The Boilermakers have been victorious in 18, or 94.7%, of the 19 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Purdue’s games this year have hit the over on 11 of 24 set point totals.

Northwestern is 14-10-0 against the spread this year. The Wildcats have won 50% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (5-5). Northwestern’s games this year have hit the over 41.7% of the time (10 out of 24 games with a set point total).

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Purdue vs. Northwestern Key Players to Watch


Zach Edey averages 22.1 points and 13.2 rebounds per contest — both team highs. He is also averaging 1.5 assists, shooting 62.6% from the floor. Braden Smith posts a team-high 4.4 assists per contest. He is also putting up 9.9 points and 4.5 rebounds, shooting 46% from the floor and 42.3% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per game. Fletcher Loyer averages 12.6 points, 1.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Caleb Furst averages 6.6 points, 5.3 rebounds and 0.8 assists per contest. Defensively, he puts up 0.4 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.


Chase Audige is putting up 15.1 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3 assists per contest, making 38.7% of his shots from the field and 34% from 3-point range, with 2 triples per game. Ty Berry is averaging 8.6 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game, making 36.1% of his shots from the floor and 30.8% from 3-point range, with 1.5 triples per contest. The Wildcats get 8.7 points, 5 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game from Robbie Beran.

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What you need to know about the Purdue Boilermakers

Purdue has won seven games against the spread in conference play this season, while failing to cover or pushing seven times. The Boilermakers are posting 74.6 points per game this season (119th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really thrived on defense, allowing just 61.6 points per game (15th-best). Purdue has been thriving in terms of rebounding this year, ranking eighth-best in the nation in boards per game (37.1) and best in boards allowed per contest (24).

Offensively the Boilermakers have fared better when playing at home this year, averaging 76.2 points per game, compared to 70.6 per game in away games. With 7.4 three-pointers per game, Purdue ranks 180th in college basketball. It has a 34.1% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 188th in college basketball. So far this season, the Boilermakers are allowing 6.3 treys per game (62nd-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 30.5% (29th-ranked) from three-point land.

The Boilermakers have gone 9-1 over their past 10 games, with a 6-3-1 record against the spread during that span. Six of Purdue’s past 10 games have hit the over. On the offensive side of the ball, Purdue has struggled over its last 10 games, scoring 72.5 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 74.6 it has racked up over the course of this season. The past 10 games have seen Purdue allow 0.2 more points per game (61.8) than its season-long average (61.6).

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What you need to know about the Northwestern Wildcats

Northwestern has put together an 8-5-0 record against the spread in conference games this year. The Wildcats are 263rd in the nation in points scored (68.4 per game) and 21st-best in points conceded (62.1). In 2022-23, Northwestern is 131st in the nation in rebounds (32.8 per game) and 224th in rebounds conceded (31.7).

At home, the Wildcats average 68.2 points per game. Away, they average 72.3. Beyond the arc, Northwestern is 147th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (7.7). It is 286th in 3-point percentage at 32.1%. Giving up 7.9 3-pointers per game and conceding 34.5% from beyond the arc, the Wildcats are 261st and 234th in the nation, respectively, in those categories.

The Wildcats are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their last 10 games. Seven of Northwestern’s past 10 games have gone over the total. Northwestern is putting up 69.3 points per game over its previous 10 games, which is 0.9 more than its average for the season (68.4). The Wildcats are surrendering 68.9 points per contest over their past 10 games, which is 6.8 more points than they are allowing for the season (62.1).

Purdue vs. Northwestern Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Purdue, and we expect that Northwestern will cover the spread (Purdue -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 131 points.

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How to bet Purdue vs. Northwestern

You can bet on Purdue vs. Northwestern at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Purdue vs. Northwestern picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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