Purdue vs Minnesota Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, January 19, 2023

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The Purdue Boilermakers (17-1, 7-1 Big Ten) will try to extend a seven-game road winning run when taking on the Minnesota Golden Gophers (7-9, 1-6 Big Ten) on Thursday, January 19, 2023 at Williams Arena, airing at 7:00 PM ET.

Purdue is a sizable 13.5-point favorite against Minnesota when the Boilermakers square off against the Golden Gophers on Thursday. The over/under is 133.5 points for the matchup.

Purdue vs. Minnesota Odds

Point Spread for Purdue vs. Minnesota

The spread for this matchup is set at 13.5 points, with bookmakers listing Purdue as the favorite.

Purdue vs. Minnesota Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Purdue has -1166 odds to pick up the win, while Minnesota is listed at +708 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 133.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, January 19, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Arena: Williams Arena

Purdue vs. Minnesota Betting Trends

Purdue is 7-11-0 against the spread this year. The Boilermakers have come away with 12 wins in the 13 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Purdue’s games this year have hit the over six times in 16 opportunities (37.5%).

Against the spread, Minnesota is 7-9-0 this season. The Golden Gophers have been the underdog on the moneyline 11 total times this season. They’ve finished 2-9 in those games. Minnesota’s games this season have eclipsed the over/under five times in 16 opportunities (31.2%).

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Purdue vs. Minnesota Key Players to Watch

Purdue

Zach Edey leads his squad in both points (21.9) and rebounds (13.4) per contest, and also puts up 1.3 assists. Defensively, he posts 0.2 steals and 2.2 blocked shots. Braden Smith paces the Boilermakers at 4.1 assists per game, while also averaging 4.8 rebounds and 9.4 points. Fletcher Loyer averages 13.4 points, 1.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. At the other end, he posts 0.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Caleb Furst posts 7.3 points, 5.2 rebounds and 0.7 assists per game, shooting 55.4% from the field.

Minnesota

Dawson Garcia is the Golden Gophers’ top scorer (15.6 points per game) and rebounder (6.6), and delivers 1.8 assists. Ta’Lon Cooper is averaging a team-leading 6.1 assists per game. He’s also contributing 11 points and 4.3 rebounds, making 47.4% of his shots from the floor, and 55.6% from 3-point range (third in the country) resulting in 1.6 treys per game. Pharrel Payne is averaging 7.4 points, 4.8 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, making 70.6% of his shots from the floor. The Golden Gophers receive 12.9 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game from Jamison Battle.

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What you need to know about the Purdue Boilermakers

The Boilermakers are scoring 75.1 points per game this year (118th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really shined defensively, ceding only 61.2 points per game (21st-best). Purdue is playing well in terms of rebounding, as it ranks eighth-best in college basketball in boards (37.4 per game) and best in boards allowed (24.9 per contest).

At home, the Boilermakers are putting up 5.6 more points per game (76.6) than they are in road games (71). Purdue is 186th in the nation with 7.4 treys per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 246th with a 32.8% shooting percentage from three-point land. The Boilermakers are ceding 6.6 treys per game (109th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opponents to shoot 30.1% (43rd-ranked) from three-point land.

The Boilermakers are 3-7 against the spread and 9-1 overall in their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Purdue has hit the over three times. Purdue has been putting up 72.3 points per contest in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 75.1 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. Purdue has been tougher on defense as of late, allowing 60.6 points per game over its past 10 contests compared to the 61.2 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Minnesota Golden Gophers

Offensively, the Golden Gophers are the 18th-worst team in the nation (64.4 points per game). On defense, they are 148th (68.1 points conceded per game). Minnesota is 238th in the country in rebounds per game (31.2) and 303rd in rebounds allowed (33.4).

The Golden Gophers are scoring more points at home (64.9 per game) than on the road (64.3). With 6.7 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 32.9% from downtown, Minnesota is 257th and 242nd in the country, respectively, in those categories. Giving up 6.8 3-pointers per game and conceding 34.3% from downtown, the Golden Gophers are 136th and 240th in the nation, respectively, in those categories.

The Golden Gophers have gone 3-7 in their past 10 contests, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span. Minnesota has hit the over in four of its past 10 outings. While Minnesota is posting 64.4 points per game in 2022-23, it has improved that mark over its last 10 games, producing 65.2 a contest. While the Golden Gophers are giving up 68.1 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse in their previous 10 games, allowing 71.5 points per contest.

Purdue vs. Minnesota Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Purdue, and we project that Minnesota will cover the spread (Purdue -13.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 133.5 points.

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How to bet Purdue vs. Minnesota

You can bet on Purdue vs. Minnesota at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Purdue vs. Minnesota picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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