Purdue vs Michigan State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, January 29, 2023

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The Purdue Boilermakers (20-1, 10-1 Big Ten) will try to build on a seven-game winning stretch when hosting the Michigan State Spartans (14-7, 6-5 Big Ten) on Sunday, January 29, 2023 at Mackey Arena. This contest is at 12:15 PM ET.

Purdue is a solid 8.5-point favorite against Michigan State when the Boilermakers take the court against the Spartans on Sunday. The game’s point total is 130.5.

Purdue vs. Michigan State Odds

Point Spread for Purdue vs. Michigan State

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Purdue as the favorite.

Purdue vs. Michigan State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Purdue has -367 odds to pick up the win, while Michigan State is listed at +283 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 130.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, January 29, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:15 PM ET
  • Location: West Lafayette, Indiana
  • Arena: Mackey Arena

Purdue vs. Michigan State Betting Trends

In the Purdue’s 21 games this season, it has eight wins against the spread. The Boilermakers have been chosen as favorites in 16 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (93.8%) in those games. Purdue’s games this year have hit the over 33.3% of the time (seven out of 21 games with a set point total).

Michigan State has played 21 games, with 11 wins, against the spread. The Spartans are 2-4 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 33.3% of those games). Michigan State’s games this season have gone over the point total 10 times in 21 opportunities (47.6%).

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Purdue vs. Michigan State Key Players to Watch


Zach Edey paces the Boilermakers with 21.4 points per contest (ninth in the country) and 13 rebounds (third in the country), while also putting up 1.3 assists. Braden Smith averages a team-high 4.1 assists per game. He is also averaging 9.9 points and 4.7 rebounds, shooting 46.6% from the field and 43.9% from downtown with 1.2 made 3-pointers per game. Fletcher Loyer averages 13 points, 1.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. Defensively, he posts 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Caleb Furst puts up 6.9 points, 5.2 rebounds and 0.7 assists per game. At the other end, he puts up 0.4 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

Michigan State

A.J Hoggard is putting up a team-best 5.9 assists per game. And he is producing 12.4 points and 3.8 rebounds, making 40.6% of his shots from the field. Joey Hauser is the Spartans’ top rebounder (7.6 per game), and he produces 13.7 points and 2.1 assists. Tyson Walker is averaging a team-high 14.1 points per game. And he is delivering 2.4 rebounds and 2.7 assists, sinking 43.9% of his shots from the field, and 41.1% from 3-point range tallying 1.8 treys per contest. The Spartans receive 5.8 points, 6.9 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game from Mady Sissoko.

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What you need to know about the Purdue Boilermakers

The Boilermakers are averaging 73.6 points per game this year (140th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really shined defensively, surrendering just 60.3 points per contest (10th-best). Purdue is playing well when it comes to rebounding, as it ranks seventh-best in college basketball in rebounds (37.1 per game) and best in rebounds allowed (24.7 per contest).

The Boilermakers are posting 74.7 points per game in home games. In road games, they are averaging 70.1 points per contest. Purdue is 227th in college basketball with 7 treys per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 246th with a 32.9% shooting percentage from downtown. The Boilermakers rank 18th-best in the nation by giving up a three-point shooting percentage of 29.5% to opposing teams. They rank 74th in college basketball by ceding 6.3 threes per contest.

The Boilermakers are 4-5-1 against the spread and 9-1 overall over their last 10 games. In its past 10 games, Purdue has hit the over three times. Purdue has seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 69.8 points per game in its last 10 outings, 3.8 points fewer than the 73.6 it has scored this season. Purdue has been tougher on defense as of late, allowing 58.1 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 60.3 points per game its opponents average over the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Michigan State Spartans

The Spartans score 69.3 points per game and allow 65.6, ranking them 240th in college basketball on offense and 71st defensively. In 2022-23, Michigan State is 96th in college basketball in rebounds (33.6 per game) and 147th in rebounds allowed (30.6).

At home, the Spartans average 69.3 points per game. On the road, they average 64.6. Michigan State is 227th in the country in 3-pointers made (7 per game) and 34th in 3-point percentage (37.6%). Giving up 6.6 3-pointers per game and conceding 30.1% from downtown, the Spartans are 105th and 33rd in the nation, respectively, in those categories.

The Spartans have a 6-4 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall in their last 10 games. Four of Michigan State’s last 10 games have gone over the total. Over its previous 10 games, Michigan State is scoring 68.9 points per contest, compared to its season average of 69.3. The Spartans are surrendering 63.5 points per game over their past 10 games, which is 2.1 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (65.6).

Purdue vs. Michigan State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Purdue, and we predict that Michigan State will cover the spread (Purdue -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 130.5 points.

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How to bet Purdue vs. Michigan State

You can bet on Purdue vs. Michigan State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Purdue vs. Michigan State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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