Purdue vs Michigan State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Monday, January 16, 2023

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetiG1JVTM Betsperts Media & Technology

The Michigan State Spartans (12-5, 4-2 Big Ten) hope to continue a five-game home winning streak when hosting the Purdue Boilermakers (16-1, 5-1 Big Ten) on Monday, January 16, 2023 at 2:30 PM ET.

Monday’s matchup between the Boilermakers and the Spartans features the Boilermakers as modest 3.5-point favorites. The matchup’s point total is 133.5.

Purdue vs. Michigan State Odds

Point Spread for Purdue vs. Michigan State

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with bookmakers listing Purdue as the favorite.

Purdue vs. Michigan State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Purdue has -183 odds to pick up the win, while Michigan State is listed at +152 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 133.5 points.

First Bet Offer on this game up to $1,000

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, January 16, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Location: East Lansing, Michigan
  • Arena: Jack Breslin Students Events Center

Purdue vs. Michigan State Betting Trends

Against the spread, Purdue is 7-10-0 this year. The Boilermakers have come away with 11 wins in the 12 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Purdue’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 35.3% of the time (six out of 17 games with a set point total).

In Michigan State’s 17 games this year, it has nine wins against the spread. The Spartans have won two of the four games they were the moneyline underdog this season (50%). Michigan State’s games this season have eclipsed the over/under 52.9% of the time (nine out of 17 games with a set point total).

FanDuel NCAAB Promo
No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000

Purdue vs. Michigan State Key Players to Watch


Zach Edey averages 21.3 points and 13.2 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also putting up 1.4 assists, shooting 62.9% from the field. Braden Smith puts up a team-best 4 assists per game. He is also averaging 9.8 points and 5.1 rebounds, shooting 46.7% from the field and 44% from beyond the arc with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest. Fletcher Loyer is averaging 13.2 points, 2.4 assists and 1.5 rebounds per contest. Caleb Furst posts 7.2 points, 5.2 rebounds and 0.6 assists per game, shooting 55.1% from the field.

Michigan State

A.J Hoggard is No. 1 on the Spartans in assists (6.2 per game), and averages 12.5 points and 4 rebounds. He also delivers 0.9 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. Joey Hauser is the Spartans’ top rebounder (8 per game), and he produces 13.6 points and 2.2 assists. Tyson Walker is the Spartans’ top scorer (13.9 points per game), and he averages 2.9 assists and 2.4 rebounds. Mady Sissoko gets the Spartans 6.2 points, 7 rebounds and 0.6 assists per contest. He also averages 0.3 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.

DraftKings NCAAB Promo
Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets

What you need to know about the Purdue Boilermakers

The Boilermakers have been lifted by their defense, as they rank 23rd-best in the country by surrendering just 61.1 points per game. They rank 100th in college basketball in points scored (75.8 per contest). Purdue has been shining when it comes to rebounding this year, ranking fourth-best in the nation in boards per game (37.9) and best in boards allowed per contest (24.6).

The Boilermakers are putting up 76.6 points per game when playing at home. When playing on the road, they are averaging 72.8 points per contest. With 7.6 treys per game, Purdue is 168th in the nation. It has a 32.6% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 256th in college basketball. With 6.6 threes conceded per game, the Boilermakers are 110th in the nation. They are giving up a 30% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 39th in college basketball.

The Boilermakers have gone 9-1 over their past 10 games, with a 3-7 record against the spread during that span. Four of Purdue’s past 10 games have hit the over. In its last 10 games, Purdue has been racking up 74.8 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 75.8 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Purdue’s defense has been more porous as of late, as the team has allowed 61.3 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 61.1 points per game its opponents average on the season.

Caesars NCAAB Promo
$1,250 bet on Caesars on this game

What you need to know about the Michigan State Spartans

In 2022-23, the Spartans are 219th in the country offensively (70.1 points scored per game) and 84th defensively (65.5 points conceded). In 2022-23, Michigan State is 83rd in the nation in rebounds (34.4 per game) and 120th in rebounds conceded (30).

The Spartans are scoring more points at home (70.8 per game) than on the road (63.5). Beyond the arc, Michigan State is 240th in the nation in 3-pointers made per game (6.9). It is 58th in 3-point percentage at 37%. The Spartans give up 7.1 3-pointers per game and concede 30% from beyond the arc, ranking 167th and 39th, respectively, in the country.

The Spartans have gone 7-3 in their past 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. Michigan State has hit the over in four of its past 10 outings. Over its last 10 games, Michigan State is scoring 67.4 points per game, 2.7 fewer points than its season average (70.1). Over their past 10 games, the Spartans are giving up 61.9 points per contest, 3.6 fewer points than their season average (65.5).

Purdue vs. Michigan State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Purdue, and we project that Michigan State will cover the spread (Purdue -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 133.5 points.

BetMGM First Bet Offer up to $1000
First Bet Offer

How to bet Purdue vs. Michigan State

You can bet on Purdue vs. Michigan State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Purdue vs. Michigan State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

Deals of the Day

See All