Purdue vs Michigan Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, January 26, 2023

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The Michigan Wolverines (11-8, 5-3 Big Ten) will host the Purdue Boilermakers (19-1, 8-1 Big Ten) after victories in four home games in a row. It starts at 9:00 PM ET on Thursday, January 26, 2023.

The Boilermakers are currently 5-point favorites over the Wolverines. The over/under is 136 points for the game.

Purdue vs. Michigan Odds

Point Spread for Purdue vs. Michigan

The spread for this matchup is set at 5 points, with sportsbooks listing Purdue as the favorite.

Purdue vs. Michigan Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Purdue has -214 odds to pick up the win, while Michigan is listed at +175 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 136 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, January 26, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Location: Ann Arbor, Michigan
  • Arena: Crisler Center

Purdue vs. Michigan Betting Trends

In the Purdue’s 20 games this season, it has eight wins against the spread. The Boilermakers have come away with 14 wins in the 15 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Purdue has gone over the point total in 31.6% of its opportunities this year (six times over 19 games with a set point total).

Michigan has nine wins against the spread in 19 games this season. The Wolverines have lost all six of the games they have been the moneyline underdog this season. Michigan’s games this season have gone over the point total 52.6% of the time (10 out of 19 games with a set point total).

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Purdue vs. Michigan Key Players to Watch


Zach Edey puts up 21.5 points and 13.2 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also posting 1.3 assists, shooting 61.4% from the field. Braden Smith averages a team-high 4.3 assists per game. He is also putting up 9.9 points and 4.9 rebounds, shooting 46% from the floor and 44.6% from downtown with 1.3 made 3-pointers per game. Fletcher Loyer puts up 12.8 points, 1.7 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he puts up 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Caleb Furst puts up 7.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and 0.7 assists per game. At the other end, he puts up 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.


Hunter Dickinson is averaging team highs in points (18.1 per game) and rebounds (8.9). And he is contributing 1.1 assists, making 57.1% of his shots from the floor. Jett Howard gets the Wolverines 14.6 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game. He also posts 0.6 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. Kobe Bufkin gives the Wolverines 12.1 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game. He also puts up 1.4 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. Dug McDaniel is the Wolverines’ top assist man (3.6 per game), and he puts up 7.1 points and 3.1 rebounds.

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What you need to know about the Purdue Boilermakers

The Boilermakers have been led by their defense, as they rank 10th-best in the country by allowing just 59.8 points per game. They rank 143rd in college basketball in points scored (73.6 per contest). Purdue has been getting things done when it comes to rebounding this season, ranking fifth-best in the country in boards per game (37.4) and best in rebounds allowed per contest (24.8).

The Boilermakers are posting 74.7 points per game at home. In away games, they are averaging 69.3 points per contest. With 7.2 three-pointers per game, Purdue is 213th in college basketball. It owns a 32.6% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 257th in college basketball. The Boilermakers are ceding 6.2 three-pointers per game this season (67th-ranked in college basketball), and they are allowing a 29.1% three-point percentage (18th-best).

The Boilermakers have gone 9-1 over their last 10 contests, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span. Purdue has gone over the total twice in its past 10 games. On the offensive side of the ball, Purdue has had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 69.2 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 73.6 it has racked up over the course of this year. Purdue has been more stingy on the defensive side of the ball as of late, giving up 57.2 points per game during its last 10 outings compared to the 59.8 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Michigan Wolverines

With 74.3 points scored per game and 69.5 points allowed, the Wolverines are 132nd in the country offensively and 185th defensively. At 34.3 rebounds per game and 33.7 rebounds conceded, Michigan is 73rd and 310th in college basketball, respectively.

The Wolverines are scoring more points at home (74 per game) than away (71.3). Michigan makes 7.6 3-pointers per game and shoots 34.5% from beyond the arc, ranking 165th and 157th, respectively, in the country. The Wolverines are 168th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (7.1 per game) and 73rd in 3-point percentage defensively (31.2%).

The Wolverines are 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 games. Michigan has hit the over in five of its last 10 games. While Michigan is putting up 74.3 points per game in 2022-23, it has fallen short of that in its previous 10 games, producing 72 points per contest. The Wolverines have performed better defensively in their last 10 games, ceding 68.3 points per contest, 1.2 fewer points than their season average of 69.5 allowed.

Purdue vs. Michigan Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Purdue, and we expect that Purdue will cover the spread (Purdue -5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 136 points.

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How to bet Purdue vs. Michigan

You can bet on Purdue vs. Michigan at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Purdue vs. Michigan picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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