Indiana vs Purdue Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, February 4, 2023

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The Purdue Boilermakers (22-1, 11-1 Big Ten) aim to extend a nine-game winning run when visiting the Indiana Hoosiers (15-7, 6-5 Big Ten) at 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 4, 2023 at Assembly Hall.

Saturday’s matchup between the Hoosiers and the Boilermakers features a slim line of Indiana -1.5. The point total for the game is set at 139.

Indiana vs. Purdue Odds

Point Spread for Indiana vs. Purdue

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with bookmakers listing Indiana as the favorite.

Indiana vs. Purdue Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Indiana has -122 odds to pick up the win, while Purdue is listed at +102 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 139 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, February 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 4:00 PM ET
  • Location: Bloomington, Indiana
  • Arena: Assembly Hall

Indiana vs. Purdue Betting Trends

Indiana is 10-11-1 against the spread this season. The Hoosiers have been victorious in 12, or 85.7%, of the 14 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Indiana’s games this year have hit the over on 13 of 23 set point totals.

Against the spread, Purdue is 10-12-1 this year. The Boilermakers have not yet lost a game they played as the moneyline underdog this season, going 3-0. Purdue’s games this season have hit the over on nine of 23 set point totals (39.1%).

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Indiana vs. Purdue Key Players to Watch


Trayce Jackson-Davis leads his squad in both points (19.5) and rebounds (11.2) per game, and also puts up 3.5 assists. Defensively, he puts up 0.5 steals and 3.1 blocked shots (second in the nation). Jalen Hood-Schifino is tops on the Hoosiers at 4.3 assists per game, while also averaging 4.2 rebounds and 12.3 points. Race Thompson posts 7.7 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 1.3 blocked shots. Malik Reneau is posting 7.2 points, 1 assists and 3.8 rebounds per contest.


Zach Edey is putting up team highs in points (22 per game) and rebounds (13). And he is producing 1.4 assists, making 61.7% of his shots from the floor. Braden Smith is the Boilermakers’ top assist man (4.3 per game), and he contributes 9.5 points and 4.6 rebounds. Fletcher Loyer is posting 12.4 points, 1.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, making 39% of his shots from the field and 36.2% from 3-point range, with 2 treys per game. The Boilermakers receive 6.4 points, 5.1 rebounds and 0.8 assists per game from Caleb Furst.

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What you need to know about the Indiana Hoosiers

So far this season, six out of Indiana’s 11 Big Ten games have gone over the point total. The Hoosiers are posting 77.5 points per game (50th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while surrendering 67.3 points per contest (117th-ranked). With 34.9 rebounds per game, Indiana ranks 42nd in the nation. It allows 29.6 rebounds per contest, which ranks 92nd in college basketball.

The Hoosiers are scoring 83.6 points per game this year at home, which is 15.8 more points than they’re averaging in away games (67.8). Indiana ranks 24th-best in college basketball with a three-point shooting percentage of 38%. It ranks 276th in college basketball by draining 6.5 threes per contest. So far this year, the Hoosiers are ceding 7.3 three-pointers per game (194th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 32.9% (150th-ranked) from downtown.

The Hoosiers have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span. Indiana has gone over the total in five of its past 10 games. Indiana has seen a downturn in scoring recently, putting up 73.4 points per game in its last 10 outings, 4.1 points fewer than the 77.5 it has scored this season. Indiana’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has given up 68.7 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 67.3 points per game its opponents average on the season.

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What you need to know about the Purdue Boilermakers

Purdue has covered six times in 12 games with a spread in conference play this season. Offensively, the Boilermakers are the 132nd-ranked team in the nation (74 points per game). Defensively, they are ninth-best (60.3 points conceded per game). On the boards, Purdue is ninth-best in college basketball in rebounds (37.1 per game). It is best in rebounds allowed (24.3 per game).

In 2022-23 the Boilermakers are scoring 5.2 more points per game at home (75.3) than away (70.1). Purdue is 195th in the country in 3-pointers made (7.3 per game) and 195th in 3-point percentage (33.9%). Defensively, the Boilermakers are 87th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed per game at 6.4. They are 39th in 3-point percentage conceded at 30.4%.

The Boilermakers are 6-3-1 against the spread and 9-1 overall in their past 10 contests. Five of Purdue’s last 10 contests have gone over the total. Over its previous 10 games, Purdue is scoring 69.9 points per contest, compared to its season average of 74. Over their past 10 games, the Boilermakers are ceding 60 points per contest, compared to their season average of 60.3 points allowed.

Indiana vs. Purdue Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Purdue, and we predict that Purdue will cover the spread (Indiana -1.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 139 points.

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How to bet Indiana vs. Purdue

You can bet on Indiana vs. Purdue at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Indiana vs. Purdue picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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