Penn State vs Maryland Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, March 5, 2023

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The Maryland Terrapins (20-10, 11-8 Big Ten) hope to break a three-game road losing streak at the Penn State Nittany Lions (18-12, 9-10 Big Ten) on Sunday, March 5, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET.

The Nittany Lions square off against the Terrapins in a game that Penn State is currently a moderate favorite by 3.5 points. The point total for the game is 134.

Penn State vs. Maryland Odds

Point Spread for Penn State vs. Maryland

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Penn State as the favorite.

Penn State vs. Maryland Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Penn State has -171 odds to pick up the win, while Maryland is listed at +145 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 134 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 5, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Big Ten Network
  • Location: University Park, Pennsylvania
  • Arena: Bryce Jordan Center

Penn State vs. Maryland Betting Trends

In Penn State’s 30 games this year, it has 16 wins against the spread. The Nittany Lions have been favorites in 17 games this season and have come away with the win 13 times (76.5%) in those contests. Penn State’s games this year have hit the over 56.7% of the time (17 out of 30 games with a set point total).

Maryland has 18 wins against the spread in 30 games this season. The Terrapins have gone 1-7 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 12.5% of those games). Maryland has eclipsed the over/under 36.7% of the time this year (11 of 30 games with a set point total).

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Penn State vs. Maryland Key Players to Watch

Penn State

Jalen Pickett leads his squad in points (18.1), rebounds (7.3) and assists (7) per game, shooting 52.6% from the field and 38.8% from beyond the arc with 1.3 made 3-pointers per contest. At the other end, he delivers 0.9 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Seth Lundy is averaging 14.3 points, 0.9 assists and 6.2 rebounds per contest. Andrew Funk averages 12 points, 2.8 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest, shooting 43.6% from the field and 40.5% from downtown with 2.9 made 3-pointers per contest. Camren Wynter is putting up 8.8 points, 2 assists and 2.7 rebounds per game.


Julian Reese is the Terrapins’ top rebounder (7.3 per game), and he puts up 11.4 points and 0.9 assists. Donta Scott is putting up 11.6 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest, making 40.2% of his shots from the field and 30.4% from beyond the arc, with 1.3 treys per game. Hakim Hart is averaging 11.8 points, 4.3 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, making 49.6% of his shots from the field and 34% from 3-point range, with 1.2 treys per game.

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What you need to know about the Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State and its Big Ten opponents have combined to go over the point total 12 out of 19 times this season. With 72.6 points per game on offense, the Nittany Lions are 161st in the nation. At the other end of the court, they allow 68.3 points per contest, which ranks 126th in college basketball. With 29.8 rebounds per game, Penn State is 286th in the country. It allows 32.8 rebounds per contest, which ranks 291st in college basketball.

The Nittany Lions put up 76.6 points per game at home, compared to 68.4 points per game on the road, a difference of 8.2 points per contest. Penn State has been getting things done when it comes to three-point shooting this season, ranking third-best in the country in three-pointers per game (10.8) and seventh-best in three-point percentage (39%). The Nittany Lions are ceding 7.6 threes per game (229th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 34.5% (227th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Nittany Lions are 5-4-1 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 games. Penn State has hit the over in seven of its last 10 contests. On the offensive side of the ball, Penn State has had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 71.6 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 72.6 it has put up over the course of this year. Penn State has been less stingy on defense lately, allowing 71.1 points per game during its past 10 outings compared to the 68.3 points per game its opponents average over the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Maryland Terrapins

Maryland has put together an 11-8-0 record against the spread in conference action this year. The Terrapins are 194th in the nation in points scored (70.9 per game) and 26th in points conceded (63.2). In 2022-23, Maryland is 183rd in the nation in rebounds (31.6 per game) and 80th in rebounds allowed (29.4).

At home the Terrapins are scoring 74.6 points per game, 12.3 more than they are averaging away (62.3). At 6.7 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 32.6% from beyond the arc, Maryland is 258th and 270th in the nation, respectively, in those categories. Defensively, the Terrapins are 14th-best in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed per game at 5.5. They are 56th in 3-point percentage conceded at 31.5%.

The Terrapins are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their last 10 games. Maryland has hit the over in five of its last 10 outings. Maryland is tallying 72 points per game in its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 70.9. While the Terrapins are ceding 63.2 points per game in 2022-23, they have bettered that mark over their previous 10 games, allowing 62.1 points per contest.

Penn State vs. Maryland Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Maryland, and we predict that Maryland will cover the spread (Penn State -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 134 points.

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How to bet Penn State vs. Maryland

You can bet on Penn State vs. Maryland at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Penn State vs. Maryland picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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