Oregon vs Cal Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Thursday, March 2, 2023

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The California Golden Bears (3-26, 2-16 Pac-12) aim to end a 10-game road losing skid at the Oregon Ducks (16-13, 10-8 Pac-12) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at 11:00 PM ET.

The Ducks are currently huge 20-point favorites against the Golden Bears. The over/under is 129.5 points for the game.

Oregon vs. Cal Odds

Point Spread for Oregon vs. Cal

The spread for this matchup is set at 20 points, with oddsmakers listing Oregon as the favorite.

Oregon vs. Cal Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Oregon has -3697 odds to pick up the win, while Cal is listed at +1420 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 129.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: Eugene, Oregon
  • Arena: Matthew Knight Arena

Oregon vs. Cal Betting Trends

Oregon has 13 wins against the spread in 29 games this season. The Ducks have won in 11, or 68.8%, of the 16 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Oregon has hit the over in 51.7% of its opportunities this year (15 times in 29 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, Cal is 12-17-0 this year. The Golden Bears have put together a 2-20 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 9.1% of those games). Cal has gone over the point total 44.8% of the time this year (13 of 29 games with a set point total).

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Oregon vs. Cal Key Players to Watch


N’Faly Dante paces the Ducks with 13.6 points per contest and 8.1 rebounds, while also averaging 1.1 assists. Will Richardson paces his squad in assists per game (5.3), and also averages 12.8 points and 3.6 rebounds. Defensively, he averages 1.6 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Quincy Guerrier posts 8.9 points, 4.6 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game, shooting 41.8% from the field and 35% from downtown with 1.4 made 3-pointers per game. Kel’el Ware averages 6.4 points, 3.8 rebounds and 0.6 assists per contest. At the other end, he posts 0.3 steals and 1.3 blocked shots.


Lars Thiemann is putting up team highs in points (9.6 per game) and rebounds (5.6). And he is producing 0.6 assists, making 49% of his shots from the field. The Golden Bears receive 9.1 points, 3.9 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game from Kuany Kuany. Joel Brown is putting up a team-best 3.1 assists per contest. And he is delivering 6.3 points and 3.2 rebounds, making 40.1% of his shots from the floor. Grant Newell gives the Golden Bears 7.9 points, 3.9 rebounds and 0.8 assists per contest. He also averages 1 steal and 0.2 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Oregon Ducks

A total of nine out of Oregon’s 18 Pac-12 games this season have hit the over. The Ducks are 206th in the nation with 70.5 points per game this year. At the other end of the court, they rank 93rd with 67.2 points allowed per game. Oregon is averaging 33.8 boards per game (64th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 28.9 rebounds per contest (57th-ranked).

The Ducks are averaging 72.9 points per game when playing at home. Away from home, they are averaging 67.4 points per contest. Oregon is making 7.1 threes per game (215th-ranked in college basketball). It owns a 32.1% shooting percentage (297th-ranked) from three-point land. The Ducks are giving up 7.5 three-pointers per game (214th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing a 34.3% three-point percentage (213th-ranked).

The Ducks are 3-7 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their last 10 games. In its past 10 games, Oregon has gone over the total five times. On offense, Oregon has struggled over its last 10 games, scoring 70.4 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 70.5 it has racked up over the course of this year. Oregon’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (69.4) is 2.2 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (67.2).

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What you need to know about the California Golden Bears

In Cal’s 18 chances this season in Pac-12 play, the combined scoring has gone over the point total eight times. In 2022-23, the Golden Bears are -3-worst in the country on offense (58.5 points scored per game) and 173rd defensively (69.7 points allowed). On the boards, Cal is 20th-worst in the country in rebounds (28.2 per game). It is 262nd in rebounds allowed (32.2 per game).

The Golden Bears are putting up more points at home (60.5 per game) than away (56.2). Cal is the eighth-worst team in the nation in 3-pointers made (5 per game) and 15th-worst in 3-point percentage (30.1%). In 2022-23, the Golden Bears are 168th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (7.1 per game) and 132nd in defensive 3-point percentage (33.1%).

The Golden Bears have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 0-10 overall over their last 10 games. Three of Cal’s past 10 contests have hit the over. Cal has performed worse offensively over its last 10 games, tallying 52.6 points per contest, 5.9 fewer points its than season average of 58.5. The Golden Bears are ceding 72.1 points per game over their past 10 games, compared to their season average of 69.7 points allowed.

Oregon vs. Cal Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Oregon, and we predict that Cal will cover the spread (Oregon -20). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 129.5 points.

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How to bet Oregon vs. Cal

You can bet on Oregon vs. Cal at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Oregon vs. Cal picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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