Ohio State vs Michigan State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, February 12, 2023

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The Ohio State Buckeyes (11-13, 3-11 Big Ten) will try to stop a five-game losing skid when hosting the Michigan State Spartans (15-9, 8-6 Big Ten) at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, February 12, 2023 at Value City Arena. The game airs on CBS.

Sunday’s matchup between the Buckeyes and the Spartans features the Buckeyes as small 3.5-point favorites. The matchup has an over/under of 136.5.

Ohio State vs. Michigan State Odds

Point Spread for Ohio State vs. Michigan State

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with bookmakers listing Ohio State as the favorite.

Ohio State vs. Michigan State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Ohio State has -169 odds to pick up the win, while Michigan State is listed at +143 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 136.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, February 12, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Columbus, Ohio
  • Arena: Value City Arena

Ohio State vs. Michigan State Betting Trends

Ohio State is 8-16-0 against the spread this season. The Buckeyes have been victorious in seven, or 58.3%, of the 12 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Ohio State’s games this year have hit the over on 13 of 24 set point totals.

Against the spread, Michigan State is 12-12-0 this season. The Spartans have won 25% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (2-6). Michigan State’s games this year have gone over the point total 45.8% of the time (11 out of 24 games with a set point total).

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Ohio State vs. Michigan State Key Players to Watch

Ohio State

Brice Sensabaugh is tops on his team in points per contest (16.7), and also averages 5.5 rebounds and 1 assists. At the other end, he puts up 0.6 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. Zed Key is tops on his squad in rebounds per game (7.8), and also puts up 11.4 points and 0.8 assists. At the other end, he puts up 0.6 steals and 1 block. Justice Sueing is putting up 12.7 points, 1.9 assists and 5 rebounds per contest. Bruce Thornton posts 9 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. Defensively, he delivers 0.8 steals and 0 blocked shots.

Michigan State

A.J Hoggard is putting up a team-high 5.8 assists per game. And he is delivering 12.3 points and 3.9 rebounds, making 40.7% of his shots from the floor. Joey Hauser is the Spartans’ top rebounder (7.1 per game), and he averages 13.3 points and 2 assists. Tyson Walker leads the Spartans in scoring (13.9 points per game) and assists (2.6), and averages 2.5 rebounds. He also puts up 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Mady Sissoko gets the Spartans 5.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 0.5 assists per contest. He also averages 0.3 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Ohio State Buckeyes

Ohio State and its Big Ten opponents have combined to go over the point total five out of 13 times this season. So far this season, the Buckeyes are scoring 75 points per game (103rd-ranked in college basketball) and surrendering 68 points per contest (126th-ranked). This season, Ohio State is grabbing 35.4 rebounds per game (31st-ranked in college basketball) and giving up 30.5 rebounds per contest (138th-ranked).

The Buckeyes are putting up 78.2 points per game this season at home, which is 10.6 more points than they’re averaging in road games (67.6). This year, Ohio State is draining 6.7 threes per game (261st-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 36.6% (52nd-ranked) from three-point land. The Buckeyes are 129th in the country with 6.8 three-pointers allowed per game so far this season. Meanwhile, they rank 42nd with a 31% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.

The Buckeyes have one win against the spread, and are 1-9 overall, in their last 10 games. In its past 10 games, Ohio State has hit the over four times. In its last 10 games, Ohio State has been scoring 67.9 points per game, an average that’s significantly lower than the 75 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Ohio State has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 72.4 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 68 it has surrendered this season.

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What you need to know about the Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State is 7-6-0 ATS in conference play this year. With 68.1 points scored per game and 65.6 points conceded, the Spartans are 271st in the nation on offense and 62nd on defense. Michigan State grabs 33.1 rebounds per game and give up 30.7 boards, ranking 120th and 156th, respectively, in the country.

In 2022-23 the Spartans are scoring 6.1 more points per game at home (68.8) than away (62.7). Michigan State is 241st in the nation in 3-pointers made (6.9 per game) and 33rd in 3-point percentage (37.3%). Defensively, the Spartans are 62nd in the nation in 3-pointers allowed per game at 6.3. They are 15th-best in 3-point percentage conceded at 29.4%.

The Spartans have gone 5-5 over their past 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 contests, Michigan State has hit the over four times. In its last 10 games, Michigan State is putting up 63.8 points per contest, compared to its season average of 68.1. In their past 10 games, the Spartans are allowing 65.3 points per game, 0.3 fewer points than their season average (65.6).

Ohio State vs. Michigan State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Ohio State, and we predict that Michigan State will cover the spread (Ohio State -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 136.5 points.

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How to bet Ohio State vs. Michigan State

You can bet on Ohio State vs. Michigan State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Ohio State vs. Michigan State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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