Northwestern vs. Penn State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Sunday, February 11, 2024

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The Penn State Nittany Lions (12-11, 6-6 Big Ten) will attempt to build on a three-game winning run when visiting the Northwestern Wildcats (16-7, 7-5 Big Ten) at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, February 11, 2024 at Welsh-Ryan Arena. The contest airs on BTN.

Northwestern is a strong 8-point favorite against Penn State when the Wildcats take on the Nittany Lions on Sunday. The matchup has a point total of 145.5.

Northwestern vs. Penn State Odds

Point Spread for Northwestern vs. Penn State

The spread for this matchup is set at 8 points, with oddsmakers listing Northwestern as the favorite.

Northwestern vs. Penn State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Northwestern has -360 odds to pick up the win, while Penn State is listed at +285 to claim victory.

Northwestern vs. Penn State Over/Under

Finally, the total for the game is set at 145.5 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, February 11, 2024
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Big Ten Network
  • Location: Evanston, Illinois
  • Arena: Welsh-Ryan Arena

Northwestern vs. Penn State Betting Trends

Northwestern has 12 wins against the spread in 23 games this season. The Wildcats have been chosen as favorites in 11 games this year and have walked away with the win 10 times (90.9%) in those games. Northwestern’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 15 times in 23 opportunities (65.2%).

Penn State has 11 wins against the spread in 23 games this season. The Nittany Lions are 6-7 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 46.2% of those games). Penn State’s games this season have gone over the total in 14 of 23 opportunities (60.9%).

Northwestern vs. Penn State Key Players to Watch

Northwestern

Brooks Barnhizer leads his squad in rebounds per game (6.6), and also averages 14.5 points and 2.8 assists. At the other end, he delivers 1.9 steals and 0.8 blocked shots. Ryan Langborg puts up 12.0 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game, shooting 44.1% from the floor and 39.3% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Ty Berry averages 11.6 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. At the other end, he delivers 1.4 steals and 0.0 blocked shots.

Penn State

Adrian Baldwin Jr. is the Nittany Lions’ top assist man (5.1 per game), and he posts 14.0 points and 2.0 rebounds. Kanye Clary leads the Nittany Lions in scoring (17.9 points per game), and averages 3.0 rebounds and 2.8 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.0 blocked shots. Qudus Wahab is putting up a team-best 8.0 rebounds per contest. And he is producing 9.7 points and 0.6 assists, making 64.9% of his shots from the floor. Nick Kern gets the Nittany Lions 7.5 points, 4.0 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.5 blocked shots.

What you need to know about the Northwestern Wildcats

Northwestern’s Big Ten games have hit the over 11 out of 12 times this season. The Wildcats rank 151st in the country with 75.2 points per game this year. At the other end of the court, they rank 125th with 70.0 points allowed per game. Northwestern has been shining in terms of rebounding this season, ranking best in the country in boards per game () and best in rebounds allowed per contest ().

The Wildcats average 80.3 points per game in home games, compared to 70.3 points per game away from home, a difference of 10.0 points per contest. Northwestern ranks sixth-best in the country with a three-point shooting percentage of 39.6%. It ranks 72nd in college basketball by draining 8.6 treys per contest. With 7.2 threes conceded per game, the Wildcats are 208th in college basketball. They are giving up a 35.9% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 302nd in college basketball.

The Wildcats have gone 6-4 over their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. Nine of Northwestern’s last 10 contests have hit the over. Northwestern’s offense has been improved over its last 10 games, scoring 78.9 points per contest compared to the 75.2 it has averaged this year. Northwestern has been less stingy on defense lately, allowing 75.8 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 70.0 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2023-24 season.

What you need to know about the Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State has compiled an 8-4-0 ATS record so far this season in conference action. The Nittany Lions score 76.5 points per game and allow 73.5, ranking them 110th in college basketball offensively and 230th on defense. On the boards, Penn State is best in college basketball in rebounds ( per game). It is best in rebounds allowed ( per game).

The Nittany Lions are putting up more points at home (78.8 per game) than on the road (71.2). Penn State makes 7.8 3-pointers per game and shoots 32.4% from beyond the arc, ranking 141st and 252nd, respectively, in college basketball. The Nittany Lions give up 5.8 3-pointers per game and concede 30.7% from beyond the arc, ranking 53rd and 40th, respectively, in the country.

The Nittany Lions are 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their last 10 games. Seven of Penn State’s last 10 outings have hit the over. While Penn State is scoring 76.5 points per game in 2023-24, it has fallen short of that over its last 10 games, tallying 75.3 points per contest. The Nittany Lions are ceding 77.7 points per contest over their last 10 games, which is 4.2 more points than they are allowing for the season (73.5).

Northwestern vs. Penn State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Northwestern, and we project that Penn State will cover the spread (Northwestern -8). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 145.5 points.

How to bet Northwestern vs. Penn State

You can bet on Northwestern vs. Penn State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Northwestern vs. Penn State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

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WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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