Northern Iowa vs Illinois State Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Thursday, March 2, 2023

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The Illinois State Redbirds (11-20, 6-14 MVC) will attempt to end a seven-game road losing streak at the Northern Iowa Panthers (13-17, 9-11 MVC) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET.

The Panthers take on the Redbirds in a game that Northern Iowa is currently a moderate favorite by 4 points. The game’s over/under is 133.

Northern Iowa vs. Illinois State Odds

Point Spread for Northern Iowa vs. Illinois State

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with bookmakers listing Northern Iowa as the favorite.

Northern Iowa vs. Illinois State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Northern Iowa has -178 odds to pick up the win, while Illinois State is listed at +151 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 133 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: St. Louis, Missouri
  • Arena: Enterprise Center

Northern Iowa vs. Illinois State Betting Trends

Northern Iowa has 13 wins against the spread in 29 games this year. The Panthers have been favorites in 13 games this season and have come away with the win nine times (69.2%) in those contests. Northern Iowa has hit the over in 54.8% of its opportunities this year (17 times in 31 games with a set point total).

Illinois State has played 31 games, with 11 wins, against the spread. The Redbirds have gone 3-16 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 15.8% of those games). Illinois State’s games this season have hit the over 17 times in 31 opportunities (54.8%).

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Northern Iowa vs. Illinois State Key Players to Watch

Northern Iowa

Tytan Anderson is tops on his squad in rebounds per game (8.8), and also puts up 12.6 points and 1.8 assists. Defensively, he delivers 1.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Michael Duax puts up 9.8 points, 4.7 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Trey Campbell is putting up 7.6 points, 1.6 assists and 3.6 rebounds per game.

Illinois State

Kendall Lewis paces the Redbirds in rebounding (7.3 per game), and puts up 10.7 points and 1.3 assists. He also averages 1.4 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. Seneca Knight is averaging 12.1 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest, making 47% of his shots from the floor and 38.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 triples per game. Malachi Poindexter gives the Redbirds 9.5 points, 2.2 rebounds and 2 assists per game. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Northern Iowa Panthers

Northern Iowa is 9-11-0 ATS in conference games this season. The Panthers are putting up 70.1 points per game (214th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while ceding 70.1 points per contest (185th-ranked). Northern Iowa is grabbing 29.8 boards per game (284th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 29.9 rebounds per contest (108th-ranked).

Northern Iowa is sinking 7.4 treys per game (188th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while sporting a 34.2% three-point percentage (187th-ranked). The Panthers have struggled to stop threes, ranking sixth-worst in college basketball with 9.4 threes allowed per game. They rank 291st by allowing a 35.6% three-point percentage to opposing teams this season.

The Panthers are 3-7 against the spread and 2-8 overall over their past 10 contests. Northern Iowa has hit the over in eight of its past 10 games. Northern Iowa’s offense has been less productive over its last 10 games, scoring 70 points a contest compared to the 70.1 it has averaged this season. The past 10 games have seen Northern Iowa give up 7.7 more points per game (77.8) than its season-long average (70.1).

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What you need to know about the Illinois State Redbirds

In Illinois State’s 20 chances this year in MVC action, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 10 times. At 66.6 points scored per game and 70.3 points allowed, the Redbirds are 312th in college basketball offensively and 190th defensively. Illinois State grabs 29.4 rebounds per game and give up 28 boards, ranking 300th and 29th, respectively, in the nation.

In 2022-23, Illinois State is 197th in the nation in 3-point makes (7.3 per game) and 219th in 3-point percentage (33.6%). The Redbirds are 153rd in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (7 per game) and 177th in 3-point percentage defensively (33.8%).

The Redbirds have gone 3-7 over their past 10 contests, with a 3-6-1 record against the spread during that span. In its past 10 games, Illinois State has hit the over six times. Illinois State is scoring 68.9 points per game over its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 66.6. In their last 10 games, the Redbirds are giving up 74.8 points per contest, 4.5 more points than their season average (70.3).

Northern Iowa vs. Illinois State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Northern Iowa, and we predict that Northern Iowa will cover the spread (Northern Iowa -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 133 points.

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How to bet Northern Iowa vs. Illinois State

You can bet on Northern Iowa vs. Illinois State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Northern Iowa vs. Illinois State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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