North Texas vs Western Kentucky Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The North Texas Mean Green (24-6, 15-4 C-USA) will be attempting to continue a five-game home winning run when squaring off against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (16-14, 8-11 C-USA) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at UNT Coliseum. It airs at 3:00 PM ET on STADIUM.

The Mean Green face the Hilltoppers in a game that North Texas is currently a healthy favorite by 9.5 points. A 125-point over/under has been set for the matchup.

North Texas vs. Western Kentucky Odds

Point Spread for North Texas vs. Western Kentucky

The spread for this matchup is set at 9.5 points, with oddsmakers listing North Texas as the favorite.

North Texas vs. Western Kentucky Moneyline

As for the moneyline, North Texas has -501 odds to pick up the win, while Western Kentucky is listed at +373 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 125 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: STADIUM
  • Location: Denton, Texas
  • Arena: UNT Coliseum

North Texas vs. Western Kentucky Betting Trends

Against the spread, North Texas is 15-12-1 this year. The Mean Green have been victorious in 21, or 84%, of the 25 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. North Texas has gone over the point total in 46.4% of its opportunities this year (13 times in 28 games with a set point total).

Western Kentucky has played 28 games, with 12 wins, against the spread. The Hilltoppers have been the moneyline underdog 11 total times this season. They’ve gone 3-8 in those games. Western Kentucky’s games this season have hit the over 16 times in 28 opportunities (57.1%).

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North Texas vs. Western Kentucky Key Players to Watch

North Texas

Abou Ousmane averages a team-leading 6.1 rebounds per game. He is also putting up 11.7 points and 1.1 assists, shooting 49.5% from the field. Tylor Perry puts up a team-high 16.9 points per game. He is also averaging 3.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists, shooting 43.7% from the field and 42.9% from beyond the arc with 3 made 3-pointers per contest. Kai Huntsberry paces the Mean Green at 2.9 assists per game, while also averaging 2.7 rebounds and 12.1 points. Aaron Scott is averaging 6.1 points, 1.1 assists and 5.2 rebounds per contest.

Western Kentucky

Jamarion Sharp is the Hilltoppers’ top rebounder (7.4 per game), and he averages 7.3 points and 0.2 assists. Jairus Hamilton gives the Hilltoppers 10 points, 5.1 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest. He also delivers 0.8 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Emmanuel Akot gets the Hilltoppers 10.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. He also averages 0.5 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the North Texas Mean Green

North Texas has compiled a 10-8-1 ATS record in conference action so far this year. The Mean Green have had to lean on their defense, which ranks best in the country (56.1 points allowed per game), as they rank 17th-worst in college basketball on offense with only 63.6 points per contest. With 25.5 rebounds allowed per game, North Texas ranks second-best in college basketball. It ranks 269th in college basketball by pulling down 30.2 rebounds per contest.

In home games, the Mean Green are scoring 1.1 more points per game (64.5) than they are when playing on the road (63.4). With 7.1 three-pointers per game, North Texas is 215th in the nation. It sports a 35.1% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 137th in college basketball. The Mean Green rank top-25 this year in three-pointers allowed, currently seventh-best in college basketball with 5.1 treys ceded per game. Meanwhile, they rank 47th with a 31.3% shooting percentage allowed from three-point land.

The Mean Green have gone 9-1 over their last 10 games, with an 8-2 record against the spread during that span. North Texas has gone over the total in four of its last 10 outings. North Texas’ offense has been better over its last 10 games, putting up 66.6 points per contest compared to the 63.6 it has averaged this season. North Texas has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 57.8 points per game during its past 10 contests compared to the 56.1 points per game its opponents average on the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

In Western Kentucky’s 19 chances this season in C-USA action, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 12 times. With 73.3 points scored per game and 70.7 points conceded, the Hilltoppers are 138th in college basketball offensively and 200th on defense. On the glass, Western Kentucky is 230th in the country in rebounds (31 per game). It is 284th in rebounds allowed (32.7 per game).

At home, the Hilltoppers score 77.1 points per game. On the road, they score 70.5. Western Kentucky makes 7.8 3-pointers per game and shoots 36.8% from beyond the arc, ranking 133rd and 52nd, respectively, in the nation. Defensively, the Hilltoppers are fifth-worst in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded per game at 9.4. They are 325th in 3-point percentage conceded at 36.4%.

The Hilltoppers have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall over their last 10 games. Seven of Western Kentucky’s last 10 games have hit the over. Western Kentucky is averaging 73 points per game in its previous 10 games, which is 0.3 fewer points than its average for the season (73.3). The Hilltoppers have played worse defensively over their previous 10 games, surrendering 73.7 points per contest, three more points their than season average of 70.7.

North Texas vs. Western Kentucky Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is North Texas, and we expect that Western Kentucky will cover the spread (North Texas -9.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 125 points.

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How to bet North Texas vs. Western Kentucky

You can bet on North Texas vs. Western Kentucky at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s North Texas vs. Western Kentucky picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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