North Texas vs Middle Tennessee Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Thursday, March 2, 2023

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The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (18-11, 11-7 C-USA) will try to continue a three-game winning stretch when visiting the North Texas Mean Green (23-6, 14-4 C-USA) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at UNT Coliseum. This matchup is at 8:00 PM ET on CBS Sports Network.

North Texas is a strong 6.5-point favorite against Middle Tennessee when the Mean Green square off with the Blue Raiders on Thursday. The point total for the game is 120.

North Texas vs. Middle Tennessee Odds

Point Spread for North Texas vs. Middle Tennessee

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with sportsbooks listing North Texas as the favorite.

North Texas vs. Middle Tennessee Moneyline

As for the moneyline, North Texas has -298 odds to pick up the win, while Middle Tennessee is listed at +240 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 120 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Denton, Texas
  • Arena: UNT Coliseum

North Texas vs. Middle Tennessee Betting Trends

North Texas has played 27 games, with 14 wins against the spread. The Mean Green have been victorious in 20, or 83.3%, of the 24 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. North Texas’ games this year have hit the over 48.1% of the time (13 out of 27 games with a set point total).

Middle Tennessee has played 27 games, with 14 wins, against the spread. The Blue Raiders have won five of the 12 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (41.7%). Middle Tennessee’s games this season have hit the over 17 times in 27 opportunities (63%).

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North Texas vs. Middle Tennessee Key Players to Watch

North Texas

Abou Ousmane is tops on his team in rebounds per contest (6), and also posts 11.5 points and 1.1 assists. At the other end, he delivers 1 steal and 1.2 blocked shots. Tylor Perry averages 16.9 points and 1.7 assists per game — both team highs. He is also posting 3.2 rebounds, shooting 44.5% from the floor and 44% from beyond the arc with 3.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Kai Huntsberry is tops on the Mean Green at 3 assists per contest, while also averaging 2.7 rebounds and 12.3 points. Aaron Scott posts 6.1 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game, shooting 56.6% from the field.

Middle Tennessee

Teafale Lenard gives the Blue Raiders 8.9 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. He also posts 1.7 steals and 2 blocked shots. DeAndre Dishman is putting up a team-best 5.4 rebounds per game. And he is delivering 10.7 points and 2.1 assists, making 53% of his shots from the field. Eli Lawrence is the Blue Raiders’ top scorer (12.6 points per game), and he puts up 1.4 assists and 4.3 rebounds. Camryn Weston is putting up a team-high 2.8 assists per contest. And he is producing 10.3 points and 4.7 rebounds, making 46.1% of his shots from the floor.

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What you need to know about the North Texas Mean Green

In North Texas’ 18 C-USA games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 10 times. Although the Mean Green are scoring just 63.6 points per game (17th-worst in college basketball), their defense has been playing really well, as they rank second-best in college basketball by allowing 56.3 points per game. North Texas is averaging 30.2 boards per game this season (270th-ranked in college basketball), and it has given up only 25.5 rebounds per game (second-best).

The Mean Green are scoring 64.5 points per game at home. On the road, they are averaging 63.4 points per contest. North Texas is 197th in the nation with 7.3 threes per game this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 118th with a 35.4% shooting percentage from downtown. The Mean Green are allowing opponents to post a 31.1% three-point percentage this season (43rd-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve provided a lift by giving up only 5.1 treys per game (eighth-best).

The Mean Green are 7-3 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their last 10 contests. North Texas has gone over the total in five of its last 10 contests. North Texas’ offense has been improved over its last 10 games, putting up 66.2 points per contest compared to the 63.6 it has averaged this season. The past 10 games have seen North Texas concede 3.7 more points per game (60) than its season-long average (56.3).

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What you need to know about the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

So far this season, 10 out of Middle Tennessee’s 18 C-USA games with an over/under have hit the over. In 2022-23, the Blue Raiders are 186th in college basketball offensively (71.3 points scored per game) and 110th on defense (67.7 points conceded). With 31 rebounds per game and 28.1 rebounds allowed, Middle Tennessee is 232nd and 32nd in the country, respectively.

At home the Blue Raiders are scoring 72.2 points per game, 1.8 more than they are averaging away (70.4). With 7 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 33.9% from downtown, Middle Tennessee is 224th and 199th in the country, respectively, in those categories. The Blue Raiders give up 6.5 3-pointers per game and concede 35.1% from beyond the arc, ranking 85th and 266th, respectively, in the country.

The Blue Raiders have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall over their past 10 games. Seven of Middle Tennessee’s last 10 outings have gone over the total. Middle Tennessee is posting 74.1 points per contest in its last 10 games, which is 2.8 more than its average for the season (71.3). In their previous 10 games, the Blue Raiders are allowing 71.2 points per game, 3.5 more points than their season average (67.7).

North Texas vs. Middle Tennessee Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is North Texas, and we project that Middle Tennessee will cover the spread (North Texas -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 120 points.

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How to bet North Texas vs. Middle Tennessee

You can bet on North Texas vs. Middle Tennessee at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s North Texas vs. Middle Tennessee picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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