North Dakota State vs South Dakota Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Sunday, March 5, 2023

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The No. 3 seed North Dakota State Bison (14-16, 11-7 Summit) are taking on the No. 6 seed South Dakota Coyotes (12-18, 7-11 Summit) in the Summit Tournament on Sunday at Denny Sanford Premier Center. The matchup is scheduled for 9:30 PM.

The Bison square off against the Coyotes in a game that North Dakota State is currently a favorite by 5.5 points. The game has a point total of 142.5.

North Dakota State vs. South Dakota Odds

Point Spread for North Dakota State vs. South Dakota

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with bookmakers listing North Dakota State as the favorite.

North Dakota State vs. South Dakota Moneyline

As for the moneyline, North Dakota State has -247 odds to pick up the win, while South Dakota is listed at +200 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 142.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, March 5, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
  • Arena: Denny Sanford Premier Center

North Dakota State vs. South Dakota Betting Trends

In North Dakota State’s 28 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread. The Bison have been chosen as favorites in 12 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (75%) in those games. North Dakota State’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 46.4% of the time (13 out of 28 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, South Dakota is 11-17-0 this year. The Coyotes have compiled a 3-14 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 17.6% of those games). South Dakota has gone over the point total 50% of the time this year (14 of 28 games with a set point total).

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North Dakota State vs. South Dakota Key Players to Watch

North Dakota State

Grant Nelson is tops on his squad in points (17.9), rebounds (8.9) and assists (2.1) per contest, shooting 53.2% from the floor. At the other end, he delivers 0.9 steals and 1.7 blocked shots. Boden Skunberg posts 14.7 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. Defensively, he posts 0.4 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Andrew Morgan is averaging 10.3 points, 1.1 assists and 5.5 rebounds per game. Tajavis Miller posts 8.1 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he posts 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

South Dakota

Tasos Kamateros gives the Coyotes 12.6 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.7 assists per contest. He also puts up 0.3 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Kruz Perrott-Hunt is averaging a team-best 14.2 points per game. And he is producing 2.7 rebounds and 2 assists, making 40.4% of his shots from the field and 42.2% from 3-point range, with 2 triples per game. A.J. Plitzuweit is posting a team-high 2.6 assists per contest. And he is delivering 11.5 points and 2.2 rebounds, making 43.8% of his shots from the floor and 42.9% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 triples per contest. Damani Hayes is the Coyotes’ top rebounder (6.8 per game), and he contributes 5.4 points and 0.9 assists.

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What you need to know about the North Dakota State Bison

North Dakota State has covered 11 times in 18 chances against the spread in conference action this season. So far this season, the Bison are scoring 72.9 points per game (152nd-ranked in college basketball) and ceding 72.5 points per contest (249th-ranked). With 33.7 rebounds per game, North Dakota State ranks 65th in the nation. It gives up 30.6 rebounds per contest, which ranks 145th in college basketball.

North Dakota State is draining 7.7 three-pointers per game (139th-ranked in college basketball). It sports a 33.8% shooting percentage (207th-ranked) from downtown. With 7.1 three-pointers conceded per game, the Bison are 163rd in college basketball. They are giving up a 33.6% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 172nd in college basketball.

The Bison have gone 6-4 over their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. Four of North Dakota State’s past 10 contests have hit the over. In its last 10 games, North Dakota State has been racking up 75.2 points per contest, an average that’s slightly higher than the 72.9 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. The past 10 games have seen North Dakota State concede 2.1 fewer points per game (70.4) than its season-long average (72.5).

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What you need to know about the South Dakota Coyotes

In South Dakota’s 18 chances this year in Summit action, the combined scoring has gone over the point total nine times. With 69.4 points scored per game and 73.7 points conceded, the Coyotes are 237th in college basketball offensively and 285th on defense. At 30 rebounds per game and 32 rebounds conceded, South Dakota is 280th and 244th in the nation, respectively.

South Dakota is 34th in the nation in 3-pointers made (9 per game) and sixth-best in 3-point percentage (39.5%). The Coyotes give up 8.3 3-pointers per game and concede 35.7% from beyond the arc, ranking 305th and 294th, respectively, in college basketball.

The Coyotes are 6-4 against the spread and 3-7 overall over their past 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, South Dakota has gone over the total six times. South Dakota is posting 70.8 points per contest in its past 10 games, which is 1.4 more than its average for the season (69.4). Over their last 10 games, the Coyotes are allowing 76.1 points per game, 2.4 more points than their season average (73.7).

North Dakota State vs. South Dakota Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is North Dakota State, and we project that South Dakota will cover the spread (North Dakota State -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 142.5 points.

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How to bet North Dakota State vs. South Dakota

You can bet on North Dakota State vs. South Dakota at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s North Dakota State vs. South Dakota picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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