North Carolina vs Pittsburgh Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Wednesday, February 1, 2023

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The North Carolina Tar Heels (15-6, 7-3 ACC) look to build on an 11-game home winning streak when hosting the Pittsburgh Panthers (15-7, 8-3 ACC) on Wednesday, February 1, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET.

North Carolina is a solid 8.5-point favorite against Pittsburgh when the Tar Heels square off against the Panthers on Wednesday. The point total for the matchup is 146.5.

North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Point Spread for North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with bookmakers listing North Carolina as the favorite.

North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Moneyline

As for the moneyline, North Carolina has -412 odds to pick up the win, while Pittsburgh is listed at +322 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 146.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, February 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • Arena: Dean Smith Center

North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Betting Trends

North Carolina has seven wins against the spread in 21 games this season. The Tar Heels have been favorites in 17 games this season and have come away with the win 15 times (88.2%) in those contests. North Carolina’s games this year have hit the over 45.5% of the time (10 out of 22 games with a set point total).

Pittsburgh is 15-7-0 against the spread this year. The Panthers are 6-5 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 54.5% of those games). Pittsburgh’s games this season have eclipsed the over/under 59.1% of the time (13 out of 22 games with a set point total).

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North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Key Players to Watch

North Carolina

Armando Bacot is tops on the Tar Heels with 17.9 points per game and 11.4 rebounds (sixth in the country), while also putting up 1.8 assists. RJ Davis leads his squad in assists per game (3.1), and also posts 16.4 points and 4.8 rebounds. Defensively, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.1 blocked shots. Caleb Love paces his team in assists per contest (3.1), and also registers 16.2 points and 3.6 rebounds. At the other end, he delivers 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Rechon ‘Leaky’ Black is putting up 7.0 points, 1.5 assists and 5.6 rebounds per contest.


Blake Hinson leads the Panthers in scoring (16.4 points per game) and rebounding (6.5), and posts 1.3 assists. He also puts up 0.8 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. Jamarius Burton is the Panthers’ top assist man (4.6 per game), and he puts up 16.1 points and 4.8 rebounds. The Panthers receive 10.2 points, 2.6 rebounds and 4.4 assists per game from Nelly Cummings. The Panthers receive 11.0 points, 4.4 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game from Greg Elliott.

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What you need to know about the North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina has covered four times in 10 chances against the spread in conference play this season. On offense, the Tar Heels are averaging 79.2 points per game (33rd-ranked in college basketball). They are giving up 72.0 points per contest at the other end of the court (252nd-ranked). This season, North Carolina is grabbing 36.0 rebounds per game (26th-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 31.2 rebounds per contest (190th-ranked).

Offensively the Tar Heels have performed better when playing at home this season, posting 81.9 points per game, compared to 70.2 per game in away games. North Carolina is making 6.8 treys per game (254th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while sporting a 31.8% three-point percentage (300th-ranked). The Tar Heels rank 172nd in college basketball with 7.1 threes allowed per game so far this season. Meanwhile, they rank 188th with a 33.6% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.

The Tar Heels are 4-6 against the spread and 8-2 overall in their last 10 games. Five of North Carolina’s last 10 outings have hit the over. North Carolina has been racking up 77.4 points per game in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little lower than the 79.2 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. North Carolina has been tougher on defense as of late, giving up 70.4 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 72.0 points per game its opponents are averaging over the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Pittsburgh Panthers

So far this year, six out of Pittsburgh’s 11 ACC games with an over/under have gone over the point total. The Panthers put up 74.3 points per game and give up 68.2, making them 127th in college basketball offensively and 145th defensively. At 34.5 rebounds per game and 31.3 rebounds allowed, Pittsburgh is 57th and 196th in college basketball, respectively.

At home the Panthers are putting up 75.3 points per game, 0.1 fewer points than they are averaging on the road (75.4). At 9.1 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 35.0% from downtown, Pittsburgh is 28th and 135th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories. The Panthers are 216th in the country in 3-pointers allowed (7.5 per game) and 109th in 3-point percentage defensively (32.1%).

The Panthers are 7-3 against the spread and 7-3 overall in their past 10 contests. Pittsburgh has hit the over in six of its last 10 outings. Pittsburgh has played worse offensively over its previous 10 games, putting up 73.3 points per contest, 1.0 fewer point its than season average of 74.3. The Panthers are allowing 70.5 points per contest over their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 68.2 points allowed.

North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is North Carolina, and we predict that Pittsburgh will cover the spread (North Carolina -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 146.5 points.

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How to bet North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh

You can bet on North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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