North Carolina vs Notre Dame Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, January 7, 2023

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The North Carolina Tar Heels (10-5, 2-2 ACC) will be trying to extend an eight-game home winning streak when hosting the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-7, 0-4 ACC) on Saturday, January 7, 2023 at Dean Smith Center. It airs at 11:30 AM ET.

The Tar Heels are currently double-digit 12.5-point favorites against the Fighting Irish. The over/under is 144.5 points for the game.

North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Odds

Point Spread for North Carolina vs. Notre Dame

The spread for this matchup is set at 12.5 points, with bookmakers listing North Carolina as the favorite.

North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Moneyline

As for the moneyline, North Carolina has -786 odds to pick up the win, while Notre Dame is listed at +529 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 144.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, January 7, 2023
  • Game Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • Arena: Dean Smith Center

North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Betting Trends

North Carolina has four wins against the spread in 15 games this season. The Tar Heels have come away with 10 wins in the 12 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. North Carolina’s games this year have hit the over nine times in 15 opportunities (60%).

Notre Dame has two wins against the spread in 15 games this year. The Fighting Irish have been the underdog on the moneyline three total times this season. They’ve finished 1-2 in those games. Notre Dame’s games this season have gone over the total in seven of 15 opportunities (46.7%).

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North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Key Players to Watch

North Carolina

Armando Bacot puts up 18.6 points and 11.1 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also putting up 1.6 assists, shooting 57.1% from the floor. RJ Davis is putting up 16.7 points, 3.1 assists and 5.3 rebounds per game. Caleb Love paces the Tar Heels at 3.5 assists per contest, while also putting up 4.1 rebounds and 16.8 points. Pete Nance is putting up 10.9 points, 1.7 assists and 6.1 rebounds per contest.

Notre Dame

Nate Laszewski is averaging team highs in points (13.4 per game) and rebounds (7.7). And he is delivering 1.6 assists, making 51.9% of his shots from the field and 37.1% from 3-point range, with 1.5 triples per game. Cormac Ryan gives the Fighting Irish 12.1 points, 4.5 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. He also posts 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. The Fighting Irish get 11.7 points, 4.3 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game from Dane Goodwin. JJ Starling gets the Fighting Irish 12.5 points, 3.1 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the North Carolina Tar Heels

The Tar Heels are giving up 74.9 points per game this year (319th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really shined offensively, posting 81.4 points per game (24th-best). North Carolina is grabbing 36.8 rebounds per game (26th-ranked in college basketball). It is giving up 32.4 rebounds per contest (250th-ranked).

With 6.6 threes per game, North Carolina is 265th in the nation. It sports a 31.3% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 298th in college basketball. The Tar Heels are ceding 8.2 treys per game (297th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opponents to shoot 34.6% (267th-ranked) from downtown.

The Tar Heels have a 3-7 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, North Carolina has gone over the total seven times. On the offensive side of the ball, North Carolina has had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 80.9 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 81.4 it has racked up over the course of this season. North Carolina’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (77.1) is 2.2 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (74.9).

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What you need to know about the Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Offensively the Fighting Irish are the 230th-ranked squad in the country (69.7 points per game). On defense they are 173rd (68.5 points allowed per game). On the glass, Notre Dame is eighth-worst in the nation in rebounds (28.2 per game). It is 178th in rebounds conceded (31.1 per game).

Beyond the arc, Notre Dame is 50th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (8.9). It is 40th in 3-point percentage at 37.7%. Defensively, the Fighting Irish are 60th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed per game at 6.1. They are 118th in 3-point percentage conceded at 31.8%.

The Fighting Irish have covered the spread twice, and are 3-7 overall, over their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Notre Dame has gone over the total four times. In its previous 10 games, Notre Dame is posting 64.8 points per game, 4.9 fewer points than its season average (69.7). While the Fighting Irish are giving up 68.5 points per game in 2022-23, they have improved that mark over their past 10 games, allowing 67.0 points per contest.

North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is North Carolina, and we expect that Notre Dame will cover the spread (North Carolina -12.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 144.5 points.

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How to bet North Carolina vs. Notre Dame

You can bet on North Carolina vs. Notre Dame at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s North Carolina vs. Notre Dame picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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