North Carolina vs Notre Dame Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, February 22, 2023

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The North Carolina Tar Heels (16-11, 8-8 ACC) will hope to end a three-game road losing skid when taking on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-17, 2-14 ACC) on Wednesday, February 22, 2023 at Purcell Pavilion, airing at 9:00 PM ET on ESPN.

The Tar Heels square off with the Fighting Irish in a game that North Carolina is currently a healthy favorite by 6.5 points. A 148-point total has been set for the game.

North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Odds

Point Spread for North Carolina vs. Notre Dame

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with oddsmakers listing North Carolina as the favorite.

North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Moneyline

As for the moneyline, North Carolina has -272 odds to pick up the win, while Notre Dame is listed at +222 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 148 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, February 22, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: South Bend, Indiana
  • Arena: Purcell Pavilion

North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Betting Trends

North Carolina has eight wins against the spread in 27 games this season. The Tar Heels have been chosen as favorites in 21 games this year and have walked away with the win 16 times (76.2%) in those games. North Carolina has gone over the point total in 44.4% of its opportunities this year (12 times in 27 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, Notre Dame is 7-19-1 this year. The Fighting Irish have been the underdog on the moneyline 10 total times this season. They’ve finished 1-9 in those games. Notre Dame’s games this year have hit the over on 14 of 27 set point totals (51.9%).

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North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Key Players to Watch

North Carolina

Armando Bacot averages 17.3 points and 11.1 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also averaging 1.5 assists, shooting 56.3% from the floor. RJ Davis is tops on the Tar Heels at 3.3 assists per game, while also averaging 4.8 rebounds and 15.8 points. Caleb Love puts up 17.2 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1 steal and 0.2 blocked shots. Rechon ‘Leaky’ Black posts 7.1 points, 6.3 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game, shooting 43.8% from the field.

Notre Dame

Nate Laszewski is No. 1 on the Fighting Irish in scoring (14.7 points per game) and rebounding (7.1), and produces 1.4 assists. He also puts up 0.4 steals and 0.6 blocked shots. Dane Goodwin gets the Fighting Irish 12.1 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. He also posts 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Cormac Ryan is posting 11.5 points, 4 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game, making 41.8% of his shots from the floor and 37.8% from 3-point range, with 2 treys per game. The Fighting Irish get 11.2 points, 2.9 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game from JJ Starling.

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What you need to know about the North Carolina Tar Heels

So far this season, six out of North Carolina’s 16 ACC games have gone over the point total. The Tar Heels are scoring 77.9 points per game (46th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while ceding 72.6 points per contest (260th-ranked). North Carolina ranks ninth-best in the nation by averaging 36.5 boards per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranks 230th in college basketball (31.8 allowed per contest).

The Tar Heels put up 80.5 points per game at home, compared to 70.2 points per game in away games, a difference of 10.3 points per contest. North Carolina ranks 236th in the country by draining 6.9 treys per game, but it owns a 30.7% shooting percentage from three-point land, which ranks 24th-worst in college basketball. The Tar Heels are allowing 6.8 treys per game (129th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 33.6% (167th-ranked) from downtown.

The Tar Heels are 3-7 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their last 10 contests. In North Carolina’s past 10 games, it has gone over the total twice. On offense, North Carolina has had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 74.2 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 77.9 it has put up over the course of this season. The past 10 games have seen North Carolina concede 1.8 fewer points per game (70.8) than its season-long average (72.6).

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What you need to know about the Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Notre Dame and its opponents have combined to go over the point total nine out of 16 times this year in ACC play. At 70.1 points scored per game and 72 points allowed, the Fighting Irish are 218th in the country on offense and 246th defensively. In 2022-23, Notre Dame is 323rd in the nation in rebounds (28.6 per game) and 263rd in rebounds conceded (32.4).

In 2022-23 the Fighting Irish are averaging 5.3 more points per game at home (72.9) than on the road (67.6). Notre Dame makes 9 3-pointers per game and shoots 36.3% from beyond the arc, ranking 32nd and 67th, respectively, in the country. Defensively, the Fighting Irish are 151st in the country in 3-pointers conceded per game at 7. They are 246th in 3-point percentage allowed at 34.7%.

The Fighting Irish are 5-5 against the spread and 1-9 overall in their last 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Notre Dame has hit the over five times. Notre Dame is compiling 71.2 points per game over its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 70.1. While the Fighting Irish are ceding 72 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their past 10 games, allowing 76.2 points per contest.

North Carolina vs. Notre Dame Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is North Carolina, and we project that North Carolina will cover the spread (North Carolina -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 148 points.

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How to bet North Carolina vs. Notre Dame

You can bet on North Carolina vs. Notre Dame at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s North Carolina vs. Notre Dame picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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