North Carolina vs Miami Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Monday, February 13, 2023

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The Miami Hurricanes (20-5, 12-4 ACC) aim to extend a four-game winning streak when visiting the North Carolina Tar Heels (16-9, 8-7 ACC) at 7:00 PM ET on Monday, February 13, 2023 at Dean Smith Center. The contest airs on ESPN.

The Tar Heels face the Hurricanes in a game that North Carolina is currently a favorite by 5.5 points. The over/under for the matchup is 156.

North Carolina vs. Miami Odds

Point Spread for North Carolina vs. Miami

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with bookmakers listing North Carolina as the favorite.

North Carolina vs. Miami Moneyline

As for the moneyline, North Carolina has -244 odds to pick up the win, while Miami is listed at +200 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 156 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, February 13, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • Arena: Dean Smith Center

North Carolina vs. Miami Betting Trends

North Carolina is 8-17-0 against the spread this season. The Tar Heels have won in 16, or 80%, of the 20 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. North Carolina has hit the over in 48% of its opportunities this year (12 times in 25 games with a set point total).

In Miami’s 25 games this season, it has 15 wins against the spread. The Hurricanes have won 40% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (2-3). Miami’s games this year have gone over the total in 11 of 25 opportunities (44%).

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North Carolina vs. Miami Key Players to Watch

North Carolina

Armando Bacot leads his team in both points (17.6) and rebounds (11.3) per contest, and also posts 1.6 assists. At the other end, he posts 0.7 steals and 1 block. RJ Davis puts up a team-high 3.3 assists per game. He is also putting up 15.8 points and 4.8 rebounds, shooting 42.5% from the field and 34.6% from downtown with 1.8 made 3-pointers per contest. Caleb Love averages 16.8 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3 assists per contest, shooting 38.8% from the field and 31.3% from downtown with 2.2 made 3-pointers per game. Rechon ‘Leaky’ Black is posting 6.8 points, 1.3 assists and 6.1 rebounds per game.


Norchad Omier is the Hurricanes’ top rebounder (10 per game), and he posts 14.1 points and 1.2 assists. Jordan Miller gets the Hurricanes 14.7 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest. He also delivers 1.4 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. The Hurricanes receive 12.6 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game from Nijel Pack.

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What you need to know about the North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina has put together a 5-9-0 ATS record in conference games so far this year. Offensively, the Tar Heels are averaging 78.4 points per game (40th-ranked in college basketball). They are ceding 72.2 points per contest at the other end (251st-ranked). North Carolina is top-25 this year in rebounding, ranking 12th-best in college basketball with 36.4 boards per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 223rd with 31.7 rebounds allowed per contest.

The Tar Heels are scoring 81.2 points per game when playing at home. In road games, they are averaging 70.4 points per contest. This year, North Carolina is sinking 6.9 treys per game (241st-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 31.4% (313th-ranked) from downtown. With 6.9 three-pointers conceded per game, the Tar Heels rank 143rd in the country. They are giving up a 33.5% shooting percentage from beyond the arc, which ranks 169th in college basketball.

The Tar Heels are 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests. North Carolina has gone over the total in three of its past 10 contests. North Carolina’s offense has been less productive over its last 10 games, racking up 74 points a contest compared to the 78.4 it has averaged this season. North Carolina has been more stingy on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 68 points per game over its past 10 contests compared to the 72.2 points per game its opponents average on the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Miami Hurricanes

So far this season, six out of Miami’s 15 ACC games with an over/under have hit the over. Offensively the Hurricanes are the 29th-ranked squad in college basketball (79 points per game). On defense they are 204th (70.4 points allowed per game). On the glass, Miami is 180th in college basketball in rebounds (31.9 per game). It is 86th in rebounds conceded (29.4 per game).

The Hurricanes score 82.9 points per game at home, and 74.6 on the road. In 2022-23, Miami is 148th in college basketball in 3-point makes (7.7 per game) and 67th in 3-point percentage (36.3%). Giving up 7 3-pointers per game and conceding 32.9% from downtown, the Hurricanes are 154th and 139th in the nation, respectively, in those categories.

The Hurricanes have a 7-3 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, Miami has hit the over six times. While Miami is scoring 79 points per game in 2022-23, it has improved that mark in its last 10 games, producing 81.5 a contest. The Hurricanes are surrendering 73.6 points per game over their past 10 games, compared to their season average of 70.4 points allowed.

North Carolina vs. Miami Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is North Carolina, and we project that Miami will cover the spread (North Carolina -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 156 points.

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How to bet North Carolina vs. Miami

You can bet on North Carolina vs. Miami at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s North Carolina vs. Miami picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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