North Carolina vs Clemson Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, February 11, 2023

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The North Carolina Tar Heels (15-9, 7-6 ACC) will attempt to stop a three-game losing skid when hosting the Clemson Tigers (18-6, 10-3 ACC) at 2:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 11, 2023 at Dean Smith Center. The game airs on ESPN2.

The Tar Heels square off with the Tigers in a game that North Carolina is currently a solid favorite by 7 points. The point total for the game is 147.5.

North Carolina vs. Clemson Odds

Point Spread for North Carolina vs. Clemson

The spread for this matchup is set at 7 points, with sportsbooks listing North Carolina as the favorite.

North Carolina vs. Clemson Moneyline

As for the moneyline, North Carolina has -306 odds to pick up the win, while Clemson is listed at +246 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 147.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, February 11, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • Arena: Dean Smith Center

North Carolina vs. Clemson Betting Trends

North Carolina is 7-17-0 against the spread this year. The Tar Heels have been victorious in 15, or 78.9%, of the 19 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. North Carolina’s games this year have gone over the point total 11 times in 24 opportunities (45.8%).

Clemson has 11 wins against the spread in 24 games this season. The Tigers have won 60% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (3-2). Clemson’s games this season have gone over the total in 14 of 24 opportunities (58.3%).

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North Carolina vs. Clemson Key Players to Watch

North Carolina

Armando Bacot puts up 17.5 points and 11.3 rebounds per contest — both team highs. He is also posting 1.7 assists, shooting 55.7% from the field. RJ Davis averages a team-high 3.3 assists per contest. He is also averaging 15.8 points and 5 rebounds, shooting 42.5% from the field and 34.2% from downtown with 1.7 made 3-pointers per contest. Caleb Love puts up 16.6 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3 assists per contest, shooting 38.1% from the floor and 29.4% from beyond the arc with 2.1 made 3-pointers per game. Rechon ‘Leaky’ Black puts up 6.8 points, 6.1 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 41.8% from the floor.


Hunter Tyson is averaging team highs in points (16.1 per game) and rebounds (9.7). And he is contributing 1.6 assists, making 49.2% of his shots from the field and 43.2% from 3-point range, with 2.4 triples per game. PJ Hall is averaging 14.3 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1 assists per game, making 50.2% of his shots from the floor. Chase Hunter is the Tigers’ top assist man (4.1 per game), and he produces 14.1 points and 2.9 rebounds. The Tigers receive 10.8 points, 2.4 rebounds and 2.7 assists per game from Brevin Galloway.

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What you need to know about the North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina and its ACC opponents have combined to go over the point total five out of 13 times this season. The Tar Heels are putting up 77.9 points per game (45th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while surrendering 72.2 points per contest (255th-ranked). North Carolina is top-25 this season in rebounding, ranking 10th-best in college basketball with 36.5 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 232nd with 31.8 rebounds allowed per contest.

Offensively the Tar Heels have played better in home games this year, posting 80.3 points per game, compared to 70.4 per game in away games. North Carolina is sinking 6.6 three-pointers per game (269th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while owning a 30.5% three-point percentage (330th-ranked). The Tar Heels are ceding 6.9 threes per game (138th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing a 33.5% three-point percentage (178th-ranked).

The Tar Heels have gone 6-4 over their past 10 games, with a 3-7 record against the spread during that span. Three of North Carolina’s past 10 contests have gone over the total. On offense, North Carolina has had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 73.7 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 77.9 it has racked up over the course of this season. North Carolina’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (68.8) is 3.4 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (72.2).

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What you need to know about the Clemson Tigers

Clemson has covered seven times in 13 chances against the spread in conference action this season. Offensively the Tigers are the 142nd-ranked team in the nation (73.8 points per game). On defense they are 106th (67.1 points conceded per game). With 32.4 rebounds per game and 31.1 rebounds conceded, Clemson is 147th and 179th in the nation, respectively.

In 2022-23 the Tigers are averaging 6.3 more points per game at home (76.7) than away (70.4). Beyond the arc, Clemson is 109th in the country in 3-pointers made per game (8). It is 61st in 3-point percentage at 36.4%. Defensively, the Tigers are 252nd in the nation in 3-pointers conceded per game at 7.8. They are 110th in 3-point percentage conceded at 32.3%.

The Tigers have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their past 10 games. Five of Clemson’s last 10 contests have hit the over. Clemson has played worse offensively in its last 10 games, scoring 70.8 points per contest, three fewer points its than season average of 73.8. In their past 10 games, the Tigers are ceding 68.2 points per contest, 1.1 more points than their season average (67.1).

North Carolina vs. Clemson Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is North Carolina, and we expect that Clemson will cover the spread (North Carolina -7). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 147.5 points.

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How to bet North Carolina vs. Clemson

You can bet on North Carolina vs. Clemson at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s North Carolina vs. Clemson picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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