New Mexico vs Colorado State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 3, 2023

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The New Mexico Lobos (21-9, 8-9 MWC) take on the Colorado State Rams (13-17, 5-12 MWC) on Friday at 11:00 PM ET in MWC action, aiting on Fox Sports 1.

The Lobos square off against the Rams in a game that New Mexico is currently a small favorite by 2.5 points. The game’s over/under is 156.

New Mexico vs. Colorado State Odds

Point Spread for New Mexico vs. Colorado State

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing New Mexico as the favorite.

New Mexico vs. Colorado State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, New Mexico has -147 odds to pick up the win, while Colorado State is listed at +124 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 156 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 3, 2023
  • Game Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
  • Location: Fort Collins, Colorado
  • Arena: Moby Arena

New Mexico vs. Colorado State Betting Trends

New Mexico has played 29 games, with 15 wins against the spread. The Lobos have been chosen as favorites in 21 games this year and have walked away with the win 16 times (76.2%) in those games. New Mexico’s games this year have hit the over 19 times in 29 opportunities (65.5%).

Colorado State has 11 wins against the spread in 29 games this year. The Rams have a 3-11 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 21.4% of those games). Colorado State’s games this year have hit the over 58.6% of the time (17 out of 29 games with a set point total).

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New Mexico vs. Colorado State Key Players to Watch

New Mexico

Jaelen House paces the Lobos at 4.7 assists per game, while also averaging 4.0 rebounds and 17.0 points. Morris Udeze puts up a team-leading 9.3 rebounds per game. In addition, he’s averaging 16.1 points and 1.3 assists, shooting 61.7% from the floor. Jamal Mashburn Jr. is tops on his squad in both points (19.4) and assists (2.0) per contest, and also posts 3.2 rebounds. Defensively, he delivers 0.8 steals and 0.0 blocked shots. Josiah Allick puts up 8.0 points, 7.3 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game, shooting 53.7% from the floor.

Colorado State

John Tonje is posting a team-high 4.8 rebounds per contest. And he is delivering 14.0 points and 1.4 assists, making 45.8% of his shots from the field and 37.8% from 3-point range, with 1.8 treys per game. Isaiah Rivera is posting 9.0 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.0 assists per contest, making 47.3% of his shots from the floor and 37.3% from 3-point range, with 1.0 treys per game. The Rams get 12.4 points, 3.0 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game from Patrick Cartier.

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What you need to know about the New Mexico Lobos

New Mexico’s MWC games have hit the over 13 out of 17 times this season. The Lobos are surrendering 72.8 points per game this season (260th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really played well on offense, posting 81.1 points per contest (15th-best). New Mexico ranks 63rd in the nation with 33.9 boards per game this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 172nd with 30.9 rebounds allowed per game.

In home games, the Lobos are posting 4.1 more points per game (83.0) than they are away from home (78.9). New Mexico is sinking 5.9 threes per game (320th-ranked in college basketball). It sports a 36.3% shooting percentage (67th-ranked) from downtown. This season, the Lobos are giving up 7.7 threes per game (242nd-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 32.1% (78th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

The Lobos are 4-5-1 against the spread and 3-7 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, New Mexico has gone over the total eight times. New Mexico’s offense has been less productive over its last 10 games, scoring 79.5 points a contest compared to the 81.1 it has averaged this season. New Mexico has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 79.3 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 72.8 it has surrendered this season.

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What you need to know about the Colorado State Rams

Colorado State and its opponents have combined to hit the over 12 out of 17 times this season in MWC action. On offense the Rams are the 166th-ranked team in the nation (72.4 points per game). Defensively they are 223rd (71.4 points conceded per game). Colorado State is the 18th-worst squad in college basketball in rebounds per game (28.1) and 131st in rebounds conceded (30.3).

The Rams average 80.4 points per game at home, and 63.3 on the road. Colorado State makes 7.6 3-pointers per game and shoots 36.0% from beyond the arc, ranking 159th and 74th, respectively, in the country. The Rams are the 10th-worst squad in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (9.2 per game) and 20th-worst in 3-point percentage defensively (37.0%).

The Rams are 4-6 against the spread and 3-7 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 contests, Colorado State has gone over the total five times. Colorado State has performed worse offensively in its last 10 games, tallying 66.1 points per contest, 6.3 fewer points its than season average of 72.4. The Rams are allowing 71.0 points per contest over their past 10 games, which is 0.4 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (71.4).

New Mexico vs. Colorado State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is New Mexico, and we predict that New Mexico will cover the spread (New Mexico -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 156 points.

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How to bet New Mexico vs. Colorado State

You can bet on New Mexico vs. Colorado State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s New Mexico vs. Colorado State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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