Nevada vs UNLV Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The Nevada Wolf Pack (22-8, 12-5 MWC) will be looking to extend a 15-game home winning streak when hosting the UNLV Rebels (17-12, 6-11 MWC) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at Lawlor Events Center. It airs at 5:00 PM ET on MW Network.

The Wolf Pack play the Rebels in a game that Nevada is currently a strong favorite by 8.5 points. The matchup has an over/under of 142.5.

Nevada vs. UNLV Odds

Point Spread for Nevada vs. UNLV

The spread for this matchup is set at 8.5 points, with bookmakers listing Nevada as the favorite.

Nevada vs. UNLV Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Nevada has -403 odds to pick up the win, while UNLV is listed at +314 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 142.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 5:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: MW Network
  • Location: Reno, Nevada
  • Arena: Lawlor Events Center

Nevada vs. UNLV Betting Trends

In Nevada’s 29 games this season, it has 19 wins against the spread. The Wolf Pack have been chosen as favorites in 19 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (89.5%) in those games. Nevada has eclipsed the over/under in 60.7% of its opportunities this year (17 times in 28 games with a set point total).

UNLV has 14 wins against the spread in 28 games this year. The Rebels have won three of the eight games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (37.5%). UNLV’s games this season have gone over the total in 19 of 28 opportunities (67.9%).

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Nevada vs. UNLV Key Players to Watch


Kenan Blackshear leads his team in assists per contest (4.8), and also averages 14.2 points and 4 rebounds. Defensively, he delivers 1.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Darrion Williams totals a team-leading 7.2 rebounds per contest. In addition, he’s putting up 7.6 points and 2.7 assists, shooting 41.5% from the floor and 33.7% from downtown with 1 made 3-pointers per game. Jarod Lucas puts up a team-high 16.7 points per game. He is also posting 2.5 rebounds and 1.3 assists, shooting 40.4% from the floor and 39.1% from beyond the arc with 2.5 made 3-pointers per game. Will Baker puts up 14.1 points, 5.1 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game, shooting 56.6% from the floor.


Elijah Harkless is posting team highs in points (18.4 per game) and assists (3.2). And he is contributing 4.9 rebounds, making 41.1% of his shots from the field and 27.8% from beyond the arc, with 1.5 triples per game. Keshon Gilbert is the Rebels’ top assist man (3.3 per game), and he averages 11.9 points and 4 rebounds. Luis Rodriguez is the Rebels’ top rebounder (5.3 per game), and he averages 10.8 points and 1.2 assists. David Muoka gives the Rebels 4.7 points, 4.4 rebounds and 0.4 assists per contest. He also delivers 0.4 steals and 1.4 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Nevada Wolf Pack

Nevada’s MWC games have gone over the point total 11 out of 17 times this season. The Wolf Pack rank 158th in the nation with 72.7 points per game so far this year. At the other end of the court, they rank 70th with 66.3 points allowed per game. Nevada is pulling down 30.3 boards per game (266th-ranked in college basketball). It is allowing 30.5 rebounds per contest (142nd-ranked).

The Wolf Pack are scoring 77.6 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 10.8 more points than they’re averaging when playing on the road (66.8). Nevada is making 7.3 three-pointers per game (197th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while owning a 35.2% three-point percentage (126th-ranked). The Wolf Pack are allowing 7.6 threes per game (228th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while allowing a 32.8% three-point percentage (115th-ranked).

The Wolf Pack are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 games. Five of Nevada’s past 10 contests have gone over the total. In its last 10 games, Nevada has been scoring 72.3 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 72.7 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Nevada’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (68.4) is 2.1 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (66.3).

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What you need to know about the UNLV Rebels

UNLV’s conference games have gone over the point total 12 out of 17 times this year. On offense the Rebels are the 120th-ranked squad in the nation (74.2 points per game). Defensively they are 165th (69.6 points conceded per game). UNLV collects 30.6 rebounds per game and concede 33.1 boards, ranking 254th and 306th, respectively, in the nation.

At home the Rebels are putting up 74.9 points per game, 0.3 fewer points than they are averaging away (75.2). In 2022-23, UNLV is 118th in college basketball in 3-point makes (7.9 per game) and 157th in 3-point percentage (34.8%). The Rebels are the 16th-worst squad in the country in 3-pointers allowed (9 per game) and 293rd in 3-point percentage defensively (35.7%).

The Rebels have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall in their last 10 games. In its past 10 games, UNLV has gone over the total six times. Over its last 10 games, UNLV is averaging 71.1 points per game, compared to its season average of 74.2. Over their past 10 games, the Rebels are allowing 72 points per game, 2.4 more points than their season average (69.6).

Nevada vs. UNLV Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Nevada, and we expect that UNLV will cover the spread (Nevada -8.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 142.5 points.

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How to bet Nevada vs. UNLV

You can bet on Nevada vs. UNLV at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nevada vs. UNLV picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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