Nevada vs San Jose State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 9, 2023

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The No. 4 seed Nevada Wolf Pack (22-9, 12-6 MWC) are taking on the No. 5 seed San Jose State Spartans (19-12, 10-8 MWC) in the MWC Tournament on Thursday at Thomas & Mack Center. The matchup is scheduled for 5:30 PM.

Thursday’s matchup between the Wolf Pack and the Spartans features the Wolf Pack as moderate 4-point favorites. The matchup has a point total of 130.

Nevada vs. San Jose State Odds

Point Spread for Nevada vs. San Jose State

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with bookmakers listing Nevada as the favorite.

Nevada vs. San Jose State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Nevada has -184 odds to pick up the win, while San Jose State is listed at +157 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 130 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 9, 2023
  • Game Time: 5:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: Thomas & Mack Center

Nevada vs. San Jose State Betting Trends

Nevada has played 30 games, with 19 wins against the spread. The Wolf Pack have won in 17, or 85%, of the 20 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Nevada’s games this year have gone over the point total 17 times in 30 opportunities (56.7%).

Against the spread, San Jose State is 20-10-0 this season. The Spartans have won 45% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (9-11). San Jose State’s games this season have gone over the point total 16 times in 30 opportunities (53.3%).

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Nevada vs. San Jose State Key Players to Watch


Kenan Blackshear paces his team in assists per game (4.6), and also puts up 14.4 points and 4.1 rebounds. At the other end, he posts 1.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Darrion Williams leads the Wolf Pack at 7.4 rebounds per game, while also putting up 2.8 assists and 7.5 points. Jarod Lucas posts 16.9 points and 1.4 assists per contest — both team highs. He is also putting up 2.6 rebounds, shooting 40.8% from the field and 38.4% from beyond the arc with 2.5 made 3-pointers per contest. Will Baker is averaging 13.9 points, 0.9 assists and 5.1 rebounds per game.

San Jose State

Sage Tolbert is No. 1 on the Spartans in rebounding (7.3 per game), and puts up 7.9 points and 0.9 assists. He also puts up 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. The Spartans get 9.9 points, 2.9 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game from Alvaro Cardenas Torre. Ibrahima Diallo gets the Spartans 6.5 points, 6.3 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game. He also puts up 0.4 steals and 1.8 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Nevada Wolf Pack

Nevada has put together an 11-7-0 ATS record in conference play so far this year. The Wolf Pack rank 163rd in college basketball with 72.5 points per game so far this season. At the other end of the court, they rank 72nd with 66.4 points allowed per game. So far this year, Nevada is pulling down 30.6 rebounds per game (252nd-ranked in college basketball) and ceding 30.9 rebounds per contest (172nd-ranked).

This year, Nevada is making 7.1 threes per game (212th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 34.8% (151st-ranked) from three-point land. The Wolf Pack are allowing 7.7 treys per game (242nd-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing a 32.5% three-point percentage (102nd-ranked).

The Wolf Pack have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. Nevada has gone over the total in four of its last 10 contests. Nevada has seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 69.3 points per game in its last 10 contests, 3.2 points fewer than the 72.5 it has scored this year. Nevada has been more stingy on defense lately, giving up 65.9 points per game during its last 10 outings compared to the 66.4 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the San Jose State Spartans

San Jose State and its opponents have combined to go over the point total 11 out of 18 times this season in MWC action. The Spartans are 284th in the nation in points scored (67.7 per game) and 72nd in points allowed (66.4). On the boards, San Jose State is 37th in college basketball in rebounds (34.8 per game). It is seventh-best in rebounds conceded (26.5 per game).

In 2022-23, San Jose State is 139th in the country in 3-point makes (7.7 per game) and 243rd in 3-point percentage (33%). Defensively, the Spartans are 136th in the nation in 3-pointers conceded per game at 6.9. They are 237th in 3-point percentage conceded at 34.6%.

The Spartans are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their last 10 games. In its past 10 games, San Jose State has hit the over five times. San Jose State has fared worse offensively in its last 10 games, compiling 66 points per contest, 1.7 fewer points its than season average of 67.7. While the Spartans are giving up 66.4 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their past 10 games, allowing 67.3 points per contest.

Nevada vs. San Jose State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Nevada, and we project that Nevada will cover the spread (Nevada -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 130 points.

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How to bet Nevada vs. San Jose State

You can bet on Nevada vs. San Jose State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Nevada vs. San Jose State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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