NC State vs North Carolina Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Sunday, February 19, 2023

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The NC State Wolf Pack (20-7, 10-6 ACC) look to extend a nine-game home winning run when hosting the North Carolina Tar Heels (16-10, 8-7 ACC) on Sunday, February 19, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET.

The Wolf Pack are currently moderate 2.5-point favorites over the Tar Heels. The over/under is 155 points for the matchup.

NC State vs. North Carolina Odds

Point Spread for NC State vs. North Carolina

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with sportsbooks listing NC State as the favorite.

NC State vs. North Carolina Moneyline

As for the moneyline, NC State has -141 odds to pick up the win, while North Carolina is listed at +119 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 155 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Sunday, February 19, 2023
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Raleigh, North Carolina
  • Arena: PNC Arena

NC State vs. North Carolina Betting Trends

NC State has 12 wins against the spread in 27 games this season. The Wolf Pack have won in 16, or 94.1%, of the 17 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. NC State’s games this year have gone over the total in 14 out of 26 opportunities (53.8%).

North Carolina has eight wins against the spread in 26 games this year. The Tar Heels have been the underdog on the moneyline a total of five times this season, and they’ve lost all of those games. North Carolina has eclipsed the over/under 46.2% of the time this season (12 of 26 games with a set point total).

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NC State vs. North Carolina Key Players to Watch

NC State

Jarkel Joiner is posting 16.1 points, 3.7 assists and 4.7 rebounds per game. Casey Morsell is putting up 12.8 points, 1 assists and 4.6 rebounds per game.
D.J. Burns paces the Wolf Pack at 5.1 rebounds per game, while also putting up 1.7 assists and 12.3 points.

North Carolina

Armando Bacot is the Tar Heels’ top scorer (17.4 points per game) and rebounder (11, eighth in college basketball), and produces 1.5 assists. RJ Davis is posting a team-leading 3.3 assists per game. He’s also contributing 16.1 points and 4.8 rebounds, hitting 42.9% of his shots from the field, and 34.3% from 3-point range resulting in 1.8 treys per contest. Caleb Love gives the Tar Heels 17 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest. He also delivers 1 steal and 0.2 blocked shots. Rechon ‘Leaky’ Black gets the Tar Heels 7.1 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game. He also delivers 1.5 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the NC State Wolf Pack

In NC State’s 16 ACC games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total six times. The Wolf Pack are averaging 78.7 points per game (34th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while giving up 69.2 points per contest (160th-ranked). NC State is averaging 35 rebounds per game (30th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while allowing 31.3 rebounds per contest (197th-ranked).

The Wolf Pack are averaging 84.1 points per game this year at home, which is 11.9 more points than they’re averaging in away games (72.2). So far this year, NC State is making 8.6 treys per game (55th-ranked in college basketball) and is shooting 35.2% (131st-ranked) from three-point land. The Wolf Pack rank 22nd-best in college basketball by giving up 5.6 treys per game. In terms of three-point percentage allowed, they rank 39th in college basketball at 30.9%.

The Wolf Pack have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall over their last 10 contests. NC State has hit the over in six of its past 10 games. NC State has been scoring 77.4 points per contest in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 78.7 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. NC State’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has allowed 71.6 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 69.2 points per game its opponents average this season.

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What you need to know about the North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina has won five games against the spread this season in conference play, while failing to cover 10 times. In 2022-23, the Tar Heels are 42nd in the nation offensively (78.2 points scored per game) and 261st on defense (72.5 points allowed). North Carolina is the 15th-best squad in the nation in rebounds per game (36.2) and is ranked 231st in rebounds conceded (31.8).

In 2022-23 the Tar Heels are averaging 10.1 more points per game at home (80.5) than away (70.4). Beyond the arc, North Carolina is 248th in the country in 3-pointers made per game (6.8). It is 23rd-worst in 3-point percentage at 30.6%. In 2022-23, the Tar Heels are 146th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (6.9 per game) and 181st in defensive 3-point percentage (33.8%).

The Tar Heels have a 3-7 record against the spread while going 5-5 overall in their last 10 games. In North Carolina’s past 10 contests, it has gone over the total twice. North Carolina has fared worse offensively in its last 10 games, putting up 73.1 points per contest, 5.1 fewer points its than season average of 78.2. While the Tar Heels are surrendering 72.5 points per game in 2022-23, they have improved that mark over their past 10 games, allowing 69.6 points per contest.

NC State vs. North Carolina Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is NC State, and we predict that North Carolina will cover the spread (NC State -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 155 points.

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How to bet NC State vs. North Carolina

You can bet on NC State vs. North Carolina at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s NC State vs. North Carolina picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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