Navy vs American Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 2, 2023

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The American Eagles (16-14, 7-11 Patriot) will look to stop a three-game road slide when squaring off against the Navy Midshipmen (18-12, 11-7 Patriot) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at Navy Alumni Hall, airing at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+.

Thursday’s game between the Midshipmen and the Eagles sees the Midshipmen as a strong, 6.5-point favorite. The game’s point total is 126.

Navy vs. American Odds

Point Spread for Navy vs. American

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with bookmakers listing Navy as the favorite.

Navy vs. American Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Navy has -291 odds to pick up the win, while American is listed at +234 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 126 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 2, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Annapolis, Maryland
  • Arena: Navy Alumni Hall

Navy vs. American Betting Trends

Navy has played 29 games, with 16 wins against the spread. The Midshipmen have been chosen as favorites in 19 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (63.2%) in those games. Navy’s games this year have gone over the point total 19 times in 30 opportunities (63.3%).

In American’s 30 games this year, it has 12 wins against the spread. The Eagles have won 50% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (7-7). American’s games this year have gone over the point total 40% of the time (12 out of 30 games with a set point total).

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Navy vs. American Key Players to Watch


Daniel Deaver leads his team in points (13.4), rebounds (6.8) and assists (2.8) per game, shooting 53.3% from the floor. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Tyler Nelson is posting 12.6 points, 1.7 assists and 6.1 rebounds per contest. Sean Yoder averages 10.7 points, 5.2 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. Defensively, he delivers 0.8 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Patrick Dorsey puts up 7.1 points, 2.9 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.


Matt Rogers is putting up team highs in points (13.7 per game) and assists (1.7). And he is producing 6.1 rebounds, making 62.8% of his shots from the floor. Johnny O’Neil is putting up a team-leading 6.5 rebounds per contest. And he is delivering 11.1 points and 1.2 assists, making 44.6% of his shots from the field and 39.1% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 triples per contest. Elijah Stephens is the Eagles’ top assist man (4 per game), and he averages 9.7 points and 2 rebounds. Geoff Sprouse gets the Eagles 7.9 points, 2.4 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game. He also puts up 1.2 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Navy Midshipmen

A total of 10 out of Navy’s 18 Patriot games this season have hit the over. With 70 points per game on offense, the Midshipmen are 219th in the nation. Defensively, they cede 65.4 points per contest, which ranks 56th in college basketball. Navy is averaging 31.9 rebounds per game (171st-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing 28.8 rebounds per contest (50th-ranked).

The Midshipmen are scoring 70.3 points per game this year at home, which is 0.5 more points than they’re averaging away from home (69.8). Navy ranks 136th in the country with 7.8 three-pointers per game so far this year. Meanwhile, it ranks 33rd with a 37.4% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. The Midshipmen rank 191st in the nation with 7.3 threes allowed per game so far this season. Meanwhile, they rank 192nd with a 34% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Midshipmen have gone 8-2 over their past 10 contests, with a 7-3 record against the spread in that span. Navy has hit the over in four of its past 10 contests. In its last 10 games, Navy has been scoring 68.2 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 70 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Navy’s defense has been tough as of late, as the team has allowed 57.4 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 65.4 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.

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What you need to know about the American Eagles

In American’s 19 chances this year in Patriot play, the combined scoring has gone over the point total eight times. On offense the Eagles are the 327th-ranked team in college basketball (65.5 points per game). Defensively they are 65th (65.8 points conceded per game). On the boards, American is ninth-worst in the country in rebounds (27.9 per game). However it is fourth-best in rebounds conceded (26.3 per game).

At home the Eagles are putting up 66.6 points per game, 2.1 more than they are averaging on the road (64.5). In 2022-23, American is 296th in the country in 3-point makes (6.3 per game) and 160th in 3-point percentage (34.7%). In 2022-23 the Eagles are 98th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (6.6 per game) and fourth-worst in defensive 3-point percentage (38.2%).

The Eagles have covered the spread twice, and are 3-7 overall, over their past 10 contests. Four of American’s past 10 contests have hit the over. American is putting up 63 points per contest over its previous 10 games, which is 2.5 fewer points than its average for the season (65.5). The Eagles are allowing 68.8 points per contest over their past 10 games, which is three more points than they are allowing for the season (65.8).

Navy vs. American Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Navy, and we expect that Navy will cover the spread (Navy -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 126 points.

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How to bet Navy vs. American

You can bet on Navy vs. American at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Navy vs. American picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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