Montana vs Northern Arizona Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Tuesday, March 7, 2023

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The No. 4 seed Montana Grizzlies (17-13, 10-7 Big Sky) will square off against the No. 9 seed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (11-22, 5-13 Big Sky) in the Big Sky Tournament Tuesday at Idaho Central Arena, starting at 8:30 PM.

Montana is a 5.5-point favorite against Northern Arizona when the Grizzlies face off with the Lumberjacks on Tuesday. The point total for the game is 140.

Montana vs. Northern Arizona Odds

Point Spread for Montana vs. Northern Arizona

The spread for this matchup is set at 5.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Montana as the favorite.

Montana vs. Northern Arizona Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Montana has -242 odds to pick up the win, while Northern Arizona is listed at +198 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 140 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, March 7, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPNU
  • Location: Boise, Idaho
  • Arena: Idaho Central Arena

Montana vs. Northern Arizona Betting Trends

Montana has played 29 games, with 14 wins against the spread. The Grizzlies have come away with 13 wins in the 17 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Montana’s games this year have gone over the total in 14 out of 31 opportunities (45.2%).

Northern Arizona has 19 wins against the spread in 31 games this year. The Lumberjacks have put together a 6-16 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 27.3% of those games). Northern Arizona’s games this season have gone over the point total 58.1% of the time (18 out of 31 games with a set point total).

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Montana vs. Northern Arizona Key Players to Watch


Josh Bannan leads his team in both rebounds (8.4) and assists (3.5) per contest, and also averages 15 points. At the other end, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Aanen Moody paces the Grizzlies with 16.5 points per game and 1.8 assists, while also averaging 3.4 rebounds. Dischon Thomas averages 11.3 points, 4.5 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game, shooting 44.9% from the floor and 37.3% from downtown with 1.6 made 3-pointers per game. Brandon Whitney posts 11.3 points, 2.3 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game, shooting 57.1% from the field.

Northern Arizona

Carson Towt leads the Lumberjacks in rebounding (7.7 per game) and assists (2.9), and posts 9.8 points. He also averages 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Jalen Cole is the Lumberjacks’ top scorer (17.4 points per game), and he posts 2.6 assists and 3 rebounds. Xavier Fuller gives the Lumberjacks 12.9 points, 4 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest. He also posts 0.9 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Nik Mains is posting 9.3 points, 5.4 rebounds and 0.9 assists per contest, making 47.9% of his shots from the field and 36.9% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 treys per contest.

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What you need to know about the Montana Grizzlies

Montana has won nine games against the spread in conference play this season, while failing to cover nine times. So far this season, the Grizzlies are averaging 69.2 points per game (245th-ranked in college basketball) and giving up 67.7 points per contest (108th-ranked). Although Montana is pulling down just 27.6 boards per game (third-worst in college basketball), it ranks 15th-best in college basketball by allowing just 27.3 rebounds per contest.

Montana is sinking 7.9 three-pointers per game (118th-ranked in college basketball). It has a 37.3% shooting percentage (35th-ranked) from three-point land. The Grizzlies are giving up 5.9 treys per game (29th-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing opposing teams to shoot 31.9% (65th-ranked) from three-point land.

The Grizzlies have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 8-2 overall in their past 10 games. Montana has gone over the total in four of its past 10 games. Montana’s offense has been improved over its last 10 games, racking up 69.3 points per contest compared to the 69.2 it has averaged this season. Montana has been more stingy on defense lately, giving up 66.8 points per game during its last 10 outings compared to the 67.7 points per game its opponents average on the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

So far this season, 11 out of Northern Arizona’s 20 Big Sky games with an over/under have gone over the point total. The Lumberjacks score 73.3 points per game and allow 74.5, ranking them 138th in college basketball offensively and 303rd defensively. On the glass, Northern Arizona is 268th in college basketball in rebounds (30.2 per game). It is 162nd in rebounds allowed (30.8 per game).

In 2022-23, Northern Arizona is 62nd in the nation in 3-point makes (8.5 per game) and 70th in 3-point percentage (36.2%). Defensively, the Lumberjacks are 214th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed per game at 7.5. They are 260th in 3-point percentage allowed at 35%.

The Lumberjacks have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall in their past 10 contests. Seven of Northern Arizona’s last 10 outings have gone over the total. Over its previous 10 games, Northern Arizona is putting up 76.9 points per game, 3.6 more than its season average (73.3). The Lumberjacks have performed better defensively over their previous 10 games, allowing 73.5 points per contest, one fewer point than their season average of 74.5 allowed.

Montana vs. Northern Arizona Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Montana, and we expect that Northern Arizona will cover the spread (Montana -5.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 140 points.

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How to bet Montana vs. Northern Arizona

You can bet on Montana vs. Northern Arizona at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Montana vs. Northern Arizona picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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