Montana vs Idaho State Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Monday, March 6, 2023

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The No. 4 seed Montana Grizzlies (16-13, 10-7 Big Sky) will play the No. 5 seed Idaho State Bengals (11-20, 8-10 Big Sky) in the Big Sky Tournament Monday at Idaho Central Arena, beginning at 7:30 PM.

Monday’s matchup between the Grizzlies and the Bengals features the Grizzlies as 4-point favorites. The matchup has an over/under of 131.5.

Montana vs. Idaho State Odds

Point Spread for Montana vs. Idaho State

The spread for this matchup is set at 4 points, with oddsmakers listing Montana as the favorite.

Montana vs. Idaho State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Montana has -193 odds to pick up the win, while Idaho State is listed at +162 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 131.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, March 6, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Location: Boise, Idaho
  • Arena: Idaho Central Arena

Montana vs. Idaho State Betting Trends

Montana is 13-15-0 against the spread this year. The Grizzlies have been favorites in 16 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (75%) in those contests. Montana’s games this year have gone over the total in 13 out of 28 opportunities (46.4%).

In Idaho State’s 28 games this season, it has 13 wins against the spread. The Bengals are 8-15 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 34.8% of those games). Idaho State has eclipsed the over/under 60.7% of the time this season (17 of 28 games with a set point total).

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Montana vs. Idaho State Key Players to Watch


Josh Bannan paces his team in both rebounds (8.4) and assists (3.6) per contest, and also puts up 15.1 points. At the other end, he puts up 0.8 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Aanen Moody averages 16 points and 1.6 assists per contest — both team highs. He is also posting 3.4 rebounds, shooting 44.4% from the floor and 41.8% from beyond the arc with 2.6 made 3-pointers per game. Dischon Thomas averages 11.4 points, 4.4 rebounds and 0.9 assists per contest, shooting 45.2% from the field and 37.9% from downtown with 1.7 made 3-pointers per contest. Brandon Whitney posts 11 points, 2.4 rebounds and 2.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

Idaho State

Brayden Parker is averaging a team-leading 4.7 rebounds per game. And he is delivering 11.7 points and 1.4 assists, making 53.6% of his shots from the floor. Brock Mackenzie is averaging a team-leading 12.9 points per contest. And he is producing 2.6 rebounds and 1.8 assists, making 48.2% of his shots from the floor and 39.9% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 triples per game. Miguel Tomley is averaging 11.7 points, 3.7 rebounds and 2 assists per game, making 40.2% of his shots from the floor and 35.6% from beyond the arc, with 1.9 treys per game. Jay Nagle is posting 5.2 points, 4.3 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game, making 41.1% of his shots from the floor.

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What you need to know about the Montana Grizzlies

Montana and its Big Sky opponents have combined to go over the point total seven out of 17 times this season. The Grizzlies rank 258th in college basketball with 68.7 points per game so far this season. At the other end of the court, they rank 99th with 67.5 points allowed per contest. Montana has struggled in terms of rebounding this year, ranking fifth-worst in the country with 27.7 boards per game. Conversely, it ranks 19th-best in college basketball by allowing just 27.6 rebounds per contest.

Montana is sinking 8 three-pointers per game (106th-ranked in college basketball). It sports a 37.6% shooting percentage (26th-ranked) from downtown. The Grizzlies are top-25 this season in three-pointers allowed, currently 25th-best in college basketball with 5.8 treys allowed per game. Meanwhile, they rank 60th with a 31.6% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.

The Grizzlies have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall in their last 10 contests. Montana has gone over the total in three of its past 10 games. On offense, Montana has had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 67.4 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 68.7 it has put up over the course of this season. Montana’s defense has been tougher lately, as the team has allowed 66.1 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 67.5 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.

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What you need to know about the Idaho State Bengals

Idaho State has put together a 9-8-1 ATS record so far this year in conference action. The Bengals are 250th in the country in points scored (69 per game) and 193rd in points conceded (70.6). On the boards, Idaho State is 320th in college basketball in rebounds (28.8 per game). It is 145th in rebounds conceded (30.6 per game).

In 2022-23, Idaho State is 157th in the nation in 3-point makes (7.6 per game) and 223rd in 3-point percentage (33.5%). Giving up 6 3-pointers per game and conceding 32.4% from downtown, the Bengals are 35th and 97th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories.

The Bengals have a 5-4-1 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall over their past 10 games. Idaho State has hit the over in six of its past 10 contests. Over its previous 10 games, Idaho State is posting 69.7 points per contest, 0.7 more than its season average (69). The Bengals have fared worse defensively in their last 10 games, surrendering 71.4 points per contest, 0.8 more points their than season average of 70.6.

Montana vs. Idaho State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this matchup is Montana, and we project that Montana will cover the spread (Montana -4). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 131.5 points.

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How to bet Montana vs. Idaho State

You can bet on Montana vs. Idaho State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Montana vs. Idaho State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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