Montana State vs Northern Arizona Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Wednesday, March 8, 2023

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The No. 2 seed Montana State Bobcats (24-9, 15-3 Big Sky) and the No. 9 Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (12-22, 5-13 Big Sky) will face off to determine the Big Sky conference champion on Wednesday at 11:30 PM.

Wednesday’s game between the Bobcats and the Lumberjacks sees the Bobcats as a solid, 7.5-point favorite. A 135.5-point total has been set for the matchup.

Montana State vs. Northern Arizona Odds

Point Spread for Montana State vs. Northern Arizona

The spread for this matchup is set at 7.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Montana State as the favorite.

Montana State vs. Northern Arizona Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Montana State has -345 odds to pick up the win, while Northern Arizona is listed at +272 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 135.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, March 8, 2023
  • Game Time: 11:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN2
  • Location: Boise, Idaho
  • Arena: Idaho Central Arena

Montana State vs. Northern Arizona Betting Trends

Montana State has 18 wins against the spread in 31 games this season. The Bobcats have been favorites in 23 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (82.6%) in those contests. Montana State’s games this year have hit the over 40.6% of the time (13 out of 32 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, Northern Arizona is 20-12-0 this year. The Lumberjacks are 7-16 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 30.4% of those games). Northern Arizona’s games this season have gone over the point total 59.4% of the time (19 out of 32 games with a set point total).

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Montana State vs. Northern Arizona Key Players to Watch

Montana State

Raequan Battle averages 17.2 points and 0.9 assists per contest — both team highs. He is also averaging 3 rebounds, shooting 46.4% from the field and 33.3% from downtown with 1.4 made 3-pointers per game. Darius Brown II leads the Bobcats at 4.8 assists per game, while also averaging 4.4 rebounds and 8.9 points. Jubrile Belo is tops on his squad in rebounds per contest (6.2), and also puts up 13 points and 0.9 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 1 block. Great Osobor puts up 10.1 points, 4.4 rebounds and 1 assists per contest, shooting 63% from the floor.

Northern Arizona

Carson Towt tops the Lumberjacks in rebounding (7.7 per game) and assists (2.9), and averages 9.9 points. He also posts 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Jalen Cole is averaging team highs in points (17.7 per game) and assists (2.6). And he is contributing 2.9 rebounds, making 42.5% of his shots from the floor and 40.3% from 3-point range, with 3 treys per contest. The Lumberjacks get 13 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.2 assists per game from Xavier Fuller. The Lumberjacks receive 9.3 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1 assists per game from Nik Mains.

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What you need to know about the Montana State Bobcats

Montana State is 12-7-1 ATS in conference games this season. Offensively, the Bobcats are scoring 73.9 points per game (125th-ranked in college basketball). They are giving up 66.3 points per contest at the other end of the court (70th-ranked). With 27.7 rebounds allowed per game, Montana State ranks 20th-best in college basketball. It ranks 282nd in college basketball by averaging 30 boards per contest.

Montana State is making 6.2 threes per game (300th-ranked in college basketball). It owns a 33.4% shooting percentage (222nd-ranked) from beyond the arc. The Bobcats are surrendering 6.4 three-pointers per game (74th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while allowing a 34.1% three-point percentage (199th-ranked).

The Bobcats are 4-5-1 against the spread and 9-1 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Montana State has hit the over five times. In its last 10 games, Montana State has been putting up 71.1 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 73.9 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Montana State’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (66.2) is 0.1 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (66.3).

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What you need to know about the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Northern Arizona’s conference games have hit the over 12 out of 21 times this season. The Lumberjacks are 132nd in college basketball in points scored (73.6 per game) and 299th in points allowed (74.4). Northern Arizona is 271st in the country in rebounds per game (30.1) and 162nd in rebounds allowed (30.8).

Beyond the arc, Northern Arizona is 63rd in the nation in 3-pointers made per game (8.5). It is 70th in 3-point percentage at 36.2%. The Lumberjacks are 218th in the country in 3-pointers conceded (7.5 per game) and 262nd in 3-point percentage defensively (35%).

The Lumberjacks have gone 6-4 over their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. Northern Arizona has gone over the total in eight of its last 10 outings. While Northern Arizona is scoring 73.6 points per game in 2022-23, it has bettered that mark over its past 10 games, tallying 78.6 a contest. While the Lumberjacks are ceding 74.4 points per game in 2022-23, they have improved that mark over their previous 10 games, allowing 73.9 points per contest.

Montana State vs. Northern Arizona Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Montana State, and we predict that Northern Arizona will cover the spread (Montana State -7.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 135.5 points.

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How to bet Montana State vs. Northern Arizona

You can bet on Montana State vs. Northern Arizona at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Montana State vs. Northern Arizona picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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