Missouri vs Ole Miss Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The Missouri Tigers (22-8, 10-7 SEC) will attempt to build on a three-game winning run when hosting the Ole Miss Rebels (11-19, 3-14 SEC) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at Mizzou Arena. It airs at 3:30 PM ET on SEC Network.

The Tigers play the Rebels in a game that Missouri is currently a healthy favorite by 9 points. The game’s over/under is 148.5.

Missouri vs. Ole Miss Odds

Point Spread for Missouri vs. Ole Miss

The spread for this matchup is set at 9 points, with sportsbooks listing Missouri as the favorite.

Missouri vs. Ole Miss Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Missouri has -447 odds to pick up the win, while Ole Miss is listed at +338 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 148.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Columbia, Missouri
  • Arena: Mizzou Arena

Missouri vs. Ole Miss Betting Trends

In Missouri’s 29 games this year, it has 15 wins against the spread. The Tigers have won in 14, or 93.3%, of the 15 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Missouri’s games this year have hit the over 15 times in 30 opportunities (50%).

Ole Miss has played 30 games, with 10 wins, against the spread. The Rebels have been the underdog on the moneyline a total of 15 times this season, and they’ve lost each of those games. Ole Miss’ games this season have gone over the total in 16 of 30 opportunities (53.3%).

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Missouri vs. Ole Miss Key Players to Watch


Kobe Brown posts 15.9 points and 6.1 rebounds per contest — both team highs. He is also posting 2.6 assists, shooting 55% from the floor and 44.7% from downtown with 1.4 made 3-pointers per contest. D’Moi Hodge averages 14.3 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. At the other end, he delivers 2.6 steals (fifth in the nation) and 0.6 blocked shots. Noah Carter averages 9.2 points, 4 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game, shooting 47.8% from the floor and 30.3% from beyond the arc with 1 made 3-pointers per game.
Nick Honor leads his team in assists per contest (2.7), and also posts 8.2 points and 1.7 rebounds. At the other end, he posts 1.5 steals and 0 blocked shots.

Ole Miss

Myles Burns is the Rebels’ top rebounder (5.9 per game), and he averages 7.7 points and 1.3 assists. Jaemyn Brakefield gives the Rebels 10.7 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. He also posts 0.7 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Amaree Abram is putting up 7.9 points, 2.1 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest, making 39.7% of his shots from the field and 35.1% from 3-point range, with 1.1 treys per contest.

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What you need to know about the Missouri Tigers

A total of eight out of Missouri’s 17 SEC games this season have hit the over. The Tigers are ceding 74.7 points per game this season (307th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really played well on offense, posting 80 points per contest (21st-best). Missouri has been playing poorly in terms of rebounding this season, ranking 16th-worst in college basketball in rebounds per game (28) and 21st-worst in rebounds allowed per game (34.2).

Offensively, the Tigers have performed better at home this season, posting 83.7 points per game, compared to 73.3 per game in away games. Missouri ranks top-25 this season in three-point shooting, ranking 20th-best in college basketball with 9.5 treys per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 67th with a 36.4% shooting percentage from downtown. The Tigers have struggled to defend threes, ranking 16th-worst in college basketball with 9 treys allowed per game. They rank 304th by allowing a 35.9% three-point percentage to opponents this season.

The Tigers have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games, with a 4-5-1 record against the spread during that span. Four of Missouri’s last 10 outings have hit the over. In its last 10 games, Missouri has been scoring 73.4 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 80 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Missouri’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (72.1) is 2.6 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (74.7).

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What you need to know about the Ole Miss Rebels

In Ole Miss’ 17 chances this year in SEC action, the combined scoring has gone over the point total nine times. On offense the Rebels are the 285th-ranked squad in college basketball (67.6 points per game). On defense they are 139th (68.9 points allowed per game). At 32.7 rebounds per game and 30 rebounds conceded, Ole Miss is 121st and 108th in the nation, respectively.

The Rebels score 69.4 points per game at home, and 64.7 on the road. Beyond the arc, Ole Miss is 311th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (6.1). It is 14th-worst in 3-point percentage at 30%. The Rebels give up 6.5 3-pointers per game and concede 34% from beyond the arc, ranking 85th and 196th, respectively, in the country.

The Rebels have gone 2-8 over their past 10 games, with a 4-6 record against the spread during that span. Ole Miss has hit the over in eight of its past 10 outings. Ole Miss has played better offensively over its previous 10 games, generating 67.8 points per contest, 0.2 more than its season average of 67.6. Over their past 10 games, the Rebels are ceding 73.3 points per contest, 4.4 more points than their season average (68.9).

Missouri vs. Ole Miss Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Missouri, and we project that Ole Miss will cover the spread (Missouri -9). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 148.5 points.

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How to bet Missouri vs. Ole Miss

You can bet on Missouri vs. Ole Miss at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Missouri vs. Ole Miss picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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