Missouri vs LSU Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Wednesday, March 1, 2023

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The Missouri Tigers (21-8, 9-7 SEC) face the LSU Tigers (13-16, 2-14 SEC) at 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday in SEC play. The matchup airs on SEC Network.

Wednesday’s game between the Missouri Tigers and the LSU Tigers sees the Missouri Tigers as 4.5-point favorites. The matchup’s point total is 148.

Missouri vs. LSU Odds

Point Spread for Missouri vs. LSU

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Missouri as the favorite.

Missouri vs. LSU Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Missouri has -192 odds to pick up the win, while LSU is listed at +162 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 148 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Wednesday, March 1, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Baton Rouge, Louisiana
  • Arena: Pete Maravich Assembly Center

Missouri vs. LSU Betting Trends

Against the spread, Missouri is 14-13-1 this season. The Missouri Tigers have won in 13, or 92.9%, of the 14 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Missouri’s games this year have gone over the point total 48.3% of the time (14 out of 29 games with a set point total).

Against the spread, LSU is 9-19-1 this season. The LSU Tigers have won three of the 18 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (16.7%). LSU has eclipsed the over/under 41.4% of the time this season (12 of 29 games with a set point total).

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Missouri vs. LSU Key Players to Watch


Kobe Brown paces his team in both points (16.1) and rebounds (6.1) per game, and also puts up 2.6 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.6 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. D’Moi Hodge posts 14 points, 3.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game. At the other end, he delivers 2.5 steals (sixth in college basketball) and 0.6 blocked shots. Nick Honor averages a team-best 2.8 assists per game. He is also posting 8.3 points and 1.7 rebounds, shooting 42.7% from the field and 41.6% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made 3-pointers per contest.


K.J. Williams is averaging team highs in points (17.1 per game) and rebounds (7.3). And he is producing 0.8 assists, making 49% of his shots from the field and 41.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.7 triples per contest. Derek Fountain is posting 7.9 points, 5.3 rebounds and 0.9 assists per game, making 54.5% of his shots from the floor. Adam Miller gets the LSU Tigers 11.7 points, 2.4 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game. He also delivers 0.9 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Cam Hayes is putting up 8.1 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.3 assists per contest, making 41.8% of his shots from the field and 34.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.2 treys per game.

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What you need to know about the Missouri Tigers

Missouri has won six games against the spread in conference play this season, while failing to cover or pushing 10 times. The Missouri Tigers are ceding 74.7 points per game this year (309th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really shined on offense, putting up 80 points per contest (22nd-best). Missouri has been falling short in terms of rebounding this year, ranking 14th-worst in college basketball in boards per game (28) and 19th-worst in rebounds allowed per game (34.3).

The Missouri Tigers are posting 83.7 points per game this season when playing at home, which is 11.3 more points than they’re averaging in away games (72.4). Missouri ranks top-25 this year in three-point shooting, ranking 18th-best in college basketball with 9.5 treys per game. Meanwhile, it ranks 62nd with a 36.5% shooting percentage from beyond the arc. The Missouri Tigers have found it difficult to stop threes, ranking 22nd-worst in college basketball with 8.8 threes allowed per game. They rank 278th by allowing a 35.4% three-point percentage to opposing teams this year.

The Missouri Tigers have a 4-5-1 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall over their past 10 games. In its past 10 contests, Missouri has gone over the total four times. In its last 10 games, Missouri has been scoring 74.2 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 80 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Missouri has been tougher on defense lately, allowing 72.2 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 74.7 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2022-23 season.

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What you need to know about the LSU Tigers

So far this year, seven out of LSU’s 16 SEC games with an over/under have gone over the point total. In 2022-23, the LSU Tigers are 298th in the country offensively (67.2 points scored per game) and 183rd on defense (70 points conceded). LSU grabs 30.7 rebounds per game and give up 31.4 boards, ranking 249th and 196th, respectively, in the nation.

At home, the LSU Tigers score 68.9 points per game. On the road, they score 61.9. LSU is 196th in college basketball in 3-pointers made (7.3 per game) and 252nd in 3-point percentage (33%). The LSU Tigers are 272nd in the country in 3-pointers allowed (8 per game) and 220th in 3-point percentage defensively (34.3%).

The LSU Tigers are 3-6-1 against the spread and 1-9 overall in their past 10 games. In its past 10 games, LSU has hit the over five times. In its previous 10 games, LSU is putting up 65.8 points per contest, 1.4 fewer points than its season average (67.2). While the LSU Tigers are allowing 70 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their previous 10 games, allowing 74.6 points per contest.

Missouri vs. LSU Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Missouri, and we expect that LSU will cover the spread (Missouri -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 148 points.

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How to bet Missouri vs. LSU

You can bet on Missouri vs. LSU at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Missouri vs. LSU picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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