Mississippi State vs Vanderbilt Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, March 4, 2023

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetEPLeMW0 Betsperts Media & Technology

The Vanderbilt Commodores (17-13, 10-7 SEC) will try to continue a four-game home winning streak when hosting the Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-10, 8-9 SEC) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at Memorial Gymnasium, airing at 8:30 PM ET on SEC Network.

The Bulldogs square off with the Commodores in a game that Mississippi State is currently a modest favorite by 3.5 points. The matchup’s over/under is 132.5.

Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt Odds

Point Spread for Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Mississippi State as the favorite.

Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Mississippi State has -166 odds to pick up the win, while Vanderbilt is listed at +140 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 132.5 points.

First Bet Offer on this game up to $1,000

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Memorial Gymnasium

Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt Betting Trends

Mississippi State has 16 wins against the spread in 30 games this season. The Bulldogs have been victorious in 17, or 81%, of the 21 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Mississippi State’s games this year have hit the over on 11 of 30 set point totals.

Vanderbilt is 16-14-0 against the spread this season. The Commodores are 7-10 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 41.2% of those games). Vanderbilt has gone over the point total 53.3% of the time this year (16 of 30 games with a set point total).

FanDuel NCAAB Promo
No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000

Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt Key Players to Watch

Mississippi State

Tolu Smith leads the Bulldogs with 15 points per game and 8.2 rebounds, while also averaging 1.8 assists. Cameron Matthews is putting up 7.6 points, 2.4 assists and 5.4 rebounds per game. D.J. Jeffries is putting up 8.8 points, 1.8 assists and 6 rebounds per game. Shakeel Moore is averaging 9.6 points, 2.2 assists and 2.9 rebounds per game.


Liam Robbins tops the Commodores in scoring (15 points per game) and rebounding (6.8), and puts up 1 assists. He also averages 0.3 steals and 3 blocked shots (third in the nation). Tyrin Lawrence is posting 11.7 points, 4.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game, making 47.8% of his shots from the floor. Ezra Manjon is averaging a team-leading 3.7 assists per game. And he is contributing 8.8 points and 2.9 rebounds, making 45.7% of his shots from the floor. The Commodores receive 9.8 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Jordan Wright.

DraftKings NCAAB Promo
Bet $5, Win $150

What you need to know about the Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mississippi State has put together a 10-7-0 conference record against the spread this season. The Bulldogs have a top-25 defense this year, ranking seventh-best in college basketball with 59.9 points allowed per game. On offense, they rank 317th with 66.2 points scored per contest. With 34.5 rebounds per game, Mississippi State is 42nd in the nation. It allows 30.5 rebounds per contest, which ranks 142nd in college basketball.

The Bulldogs are scoring 69.6 points per game this year at home, which is 6.6 more points than they’re averaging when playing on the road (63). In terms of threes, Mississippi State is coming up short, as it ranks 21st-worst in college basketball in three-pointers made (5.5 per game) and -4-worst in three-point percentage (27.4%). With a 30.3% three-point percentage allowed this season, the Bulldogs are 21st-best in the country. They rank 152nd in college basketball by giving up 7 treys per contest.

The Bulldogs have an 8-2 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in their past 10 games. Mississippi State has gone over the total in six of its past 10 contests. Mississippi State’s offense has been improved over its last 10 games, racking up 68.8 points per contest compared to the 66.2 it has averaged this year. Mississippi State has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 62.2 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 59.9 points per game its opponents average in the 2022-23 season.

Caesars NCAAB Promo
$1,250 bet on Caesars on this game

What you need to know about the Vanderbilt Commodores

A total of 10 Vanderbilt conference games this year have hit the over. The Commodores score 71.9 points per game and give up 71.7, making them 178th in college basketball on offense and 233rd defensively. Vanderbilt grabs 34.1 rebounds per game and give up 33 boards, ranking 51st and 302nd, respectively, in the country.

The Commodores are putting up fewer points at home (71.9 per game) than on the road (73.4). Beyond the arc, Vanderbilt is 70th in the country in 3-pointers made per game (8.4). It is 219th in 3-point percentage at 33.6%. Defensively, the Commodores are 152nd in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded per game at 7. They are 54th in 3-point percentage allowed at 31.5%.

The Commodores have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 7-3 overall over their last 10 games. Vanderbilt has gone over the total in five of its last 10 outings. In its past 10 games, Vanderbilt is averaging 71.3 points per contest, compared to its season average of 71.9. While the Commodores are giving up 71.7 points per game in 2022-23, they have been worse over their last 10 games, allowing 74 points per contest.

Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Vanderbilt, and we project that Vanderbilt will cover the spread (Mississippi State -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 132.5 points.

BetMGM First Bet Offer up to $1000
First Bet Offer

How to bet Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt

You can bet on Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Mississippi State vs. Vanderbilt picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

Deals of the Day

See All