Mississippi State vs Pittsburgh Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Tuesday, March 14, 2023

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The Mississippi State Bulldogs (21-12) and the Pittsburgh Panthers (22-11) will square off on Tuesday with a spot in the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament bracket up for grabs. This First Four matchup begins at 9:10 PM on truTV.

Tuesday’s matchup between the Bulldogs and the Panthers features the Bulldogs as 2.5-point favorites. The matchup’s over/under is 133.

Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Point Spread for Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh

The spread for this matchup is set at 2.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Mississippi State as the favorite.

Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Mississippi State has -139 odds to pick up the win, while Pittsburgh is listed at +118 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 133 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, March 14, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:10 PM ET
  • TV Channel: truTV
  • Location: Dayton, Ohio
  • Arena: UD Arena

Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh Betting Trends

Mississippi State has 16 wins against the spread in 33 games this season. The Bulldogs have been victorious in 18, or 78.3%, of the 23 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Mississippi State’s games this year have hit the over 13 times in 33 opportunities (39.4%).

In Pittsburgh’s 33 games this season, it has 22 wins against the spread. The Panthers have been the underdog on the moneyline 15 total times this season. They’ve finished 7-8 in those games. Pittsburgh’s games this year have hit the over on 21 of 33 set point totals (63.6%).

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Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh Key Players to Watch

Mississippi State

Tolu Smith leads the Bulldogs with 15.8 points per contest and 8.5 rebounds, while also putting up 1.7 assists. D.J. Jeffries posts 8.8 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game, shooting 35% from the field and 26.2% from beyond the arc with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Cameron Matthews puts up 7.1 points, 5.6 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game, shooting 48.8% from the floor. Shakeel Moore is posting 9.6 points, 2.2 assists and 3 rebounds per contest.


Jamarius Burton is the Panthers’ top scorer (15.6 points per game) and assist man (4.3), and produces 4.8 rebounds. Blake Hinson is No. 1 on the Panthers in scoring (15.6 points per game) and rebounding (6.2), and puts up 1.2 assists. He also posts 0.6 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Nelly Cummings is posting a team-best 4.8 assists per contest. And he is producing 11 points and 2.6 rebounds, making 41.5% of his shots from the field and 35.7% from 3-point range, with 1.7 triples per contest. Fede Federiko gives the Panthers 7 points, 5.6 rebounds and 0.5 assists per contest. He also puts up 0.4 steals and 1.7 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Mississippi State Bulldogs

The Bulldogs sport a top-25 defense this year, ranking ninth-best in college basketball with 61 points allowed per game. On offense, they rank 321st with 65.9 points scored per contest. Mississippi State is averaging 35.1 rebounds per game (28th-ranked in college basketball). It is allowing 30.4 rebounds per contest (137th-ranked).

In terms of threes, Mississippi State is coming up short, as it ranks 14th-worst in college basketball in treys made (5.2 per game) and -4-worst in three-point percentage (26.6%). So far this year, the Bulldogs are allowing 7.4 treys per game (203rd-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opponents to shoot 30.8% (32nd-ranked) from three-point land.

The Bulldogs have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall in their last 10 contests. Seven of Mississippi State’s past 10 games have hit the over. On offense, Mississippi State has increased its production a little bit over its last 10 games, scoring 66.8 points per contest over that span compared to the 65.9 it has put up over the course of this season. Mississippi State’s defense has been more porous as of late, as the team has given up 66.2 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 61 points per game its opponents average on the season.

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What you need to know about the Pittsburgh Panthers

In 2022-23, the Panthers are 77th in college basketball on offense (76.1 points scored per game) and 190th on defense (70.5 points conceded). Pittsburgh collects 33.2 rebounds per game and give up 31.3 boards, ranking 88th and 192nd, respectively, in the country.

In 2022-23 Pittsburgh is 25th-best in the country in 3-point makes (9.2 per game), and it ranks No. 81 in 3-point percentage (36%). The Panthers give up 7.8 3-pointers per game and concede 33.4% from beyond the arc, ranking 253rd and 150th, respectively, in college basketball.

The Panthers are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 games. Eight of Pittsburgh’s past 10 games have gone over the total. Pittsburgh is averaging 81.3 points per game over its previous 10 games, which is 5.2 more than its average for the season (76.1). Over their previous 10 games, the Panthers are allowing 76.2 points per game, 5.7 more points than their season average (70.5).

Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Mississippi State, and we predict that Pittsburgh will cover the spread (Mississippi State -2.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 133 points.

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How to bet Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh

You can bet on Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Mississippi State vs. Pittsburgh picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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