Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, February 18, 2023

httpscdn.dataskrive.comapiassetUXmITHv Betsperts Media & Technology

The Michigan Wolverines (14-12, 8-7 Big Ten) face the Michigan State Spartans (16-9, 8-6 Big Ten) at 8:00 PM ET on Saturday in Big Ten play. The matchup airs on FOX.

Michigan is a slim 2-point favorite against Michigan State when the Wolverines take on the Spartans on Saturday. The matchup’s point total is 136.5.

Michigan vs. Michigan State Odds

Point Spread for Michigan vs. Michigan State

The spread for this matchup is set at 2 points, with bookmakers listing Michigan as the favorite.

Michigan vs. Michigan State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Michigan has -138 odds to pick up the win, while Michigan State is listed at +116 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 136.5 points.

First Bet Offer on this game up to $1,000

Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, February 18, 2023
  • Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: FOX
  • Location: Ann Arbor, Michigan
  • Arena: Crisler Center

Michigan vs. Michigan State Betting Trends

Michigan has played 26 games, with 12 wins against the spread. The Wolverines have been victorious in 13, or 81.2%, of the 16 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Michigan’s games this year have gone over the point total 14 times in 25 opportunities (56%).

Against the spread, Michigan State is 13-12-0 this year. The Spartans have won three of the nine games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (33.3%). Michigan State’s games this year have hit the over 44% of the time (11 out of 25 games with a set point total).

FanDuel NCAAB Promo
No Sweat First Bet up to $1,000

Michigan vs. Michigan State Key Players to Watch


Hunter Dickinson paces the Wolverines with 17.7 points per game and 8.5 rebounds, while also putting up 1.3 assists. Kobe Bufkin puts up 12.7 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game. At the other end, he posts 1.3 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. Jett Howard puts up 14.6 points, 2.6 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game. At the other end, he puts up 0.4 steals and 0.7 blocked shots. Dug McDaniel leads the Wolverines at 3.6 assists per game, while also posting 3.1 rebounds and 7.1 points.

Michigan State

A.J Hoggard is the Spartans’ top assist man (5.8 per game), and he delivers 12.1 points and 3.8 rebounds. Joey Hauser is averaging a team-best 7.2 rebounds per contest. And he is producing 13.7 points and 2 assists, making 47.8% of his shots from the floor and 43% from beyond the arc, with 2 treys per contest. Tyson Walker is No. 1 on the Spartans in scoring (13.8 points per game) and assists (2.6), and posts 2.5 rebounds. He also delivers 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Mady Sissoko is averaging 5.4 points, 6.4 rebounds and 0.5 assists per contest, making 57.8% of his shots from the field.

DraftKings NCAAB Promo
Bet $5, Win $150

What you need to know about the Michigan Wolverines

Michigan has covered seven times in 15 games with a spread in conference action this season. With 73.1 points per game on offense, the Wolverines rank 150th in college basketball. On defense, they cede 69.1 points per contest, which ranks 160th in college basketball. With 33.4 rebounds per game, Michigan ranks 99th in the nation. It allows 32.8 rebounds per contest, which ranks 292nd in college basketball.

In home games, the Wolverines are scoring 6.8 more points per game (74.4) than they are away from home (67.6). Michigan is 149th in college basketball with 7.7 three-pointers per game so far this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 160th with a 34.8% shooting percentage from three-point land. With 6.7 treys conceded per game, the Wolverines are 114th in college basketball. They are ceding a 31.8% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 68th in college basketball.

The Wolverines have a 4-5-1 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall over their past 10 games. Five of Michigan’s past 10 contests have hit the over. Michigan has seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 69.2 points per game in its last 10 outings, 3.9 points fewer than the 73.1 it has scored this year. Michigan has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 67.4 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 69.1 it has conceded per game this season.

Caesars NCAAB Promo
$1,250 bet on Caesars on this game

What you need to know about the Michigan State Spartans

In Michigan State’s 14 chances this year in Big Ten action, the combined scoring has gone over the point total five times. In 2022-23, the Spartans are 274th in college basketball on offense (67.9 points scored per game) and 44th on defense (64.6 points allowed). On the glass, Michigan State is 106th in the country in rebounds (33.2 per game). It is 147th in rebounds conceded (30.6 per game).

The Spartans are putting up more points at home (68.8 per game) than on the road (62.6). With 6.9 made 3-pointers per game and shooting 37% from downtown, Michigan State is 237th and 45th in college basketball, respectively, in those categories. Defensively, the Spartans are 64th in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed per game at 6.3. They are 10th-best in 3-point percentage allowed at 28.9%.

The Spartans have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span. Michigan State has hit the over in four of its past 10 contests. In its last 10 games, Michigan State is putting up 64.1 points per game, 3.8 fewer points than its season average (67.9). The Spartans are ceding 64.1 points per contest over their last 10 games, which is 0.5 fewer points than they are allowing for the season (64.6).

Michigan vs. Michigan State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this contest is Michigan State, and we expect that Michigan State will cover the spread (Michigan -2). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 136.5 points.

BetMGM First Bet Offer up to $1000
First Bet Offer

How to bet Michigan vs. Michigan State

You can bet on Michigan vs. Michigan State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Michigan vs. Michigan State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

Deals of the Day

See All