Michigan State vs Ohio State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The Michigan State Spartans (18-11, 10-8 Big Ten) hope to build on a four-game home winning stretch when hosting the Ohio State Buckeyes (13-17, 5-14 Big Ten) on Saturday, March 4, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET.

Saturday’s matchup between the Spartans and the Buckeyes features the Spartans as solid 6.5-point favorites. The matchup has a point total of 138.5.

Michigan State vs. Ohio State Odds

Point Spread for Michigan State vs. Ohio State

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with bookmakers listing Michigan State as the favorite.

Michigan State vs. Ohio State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Michigan State has -288 odds to pick up the win, while Ohio State is listed at +233 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 138.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 12:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: East Lansing, Michigan
  • Arena: Jack Breslin Students Events Center

Michigan State vs. Ohio State Betting Trends

Michigan State is 15-14-0 against the spread this season. The Spartans have been victorious in 15, or 83.3%, of the 18 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Michigan State’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 15 times in 30 opportunities (50%).

Ohio State is 10-20-0 against the spread this season. The Buckeyes have won 23.1% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (3-10). Ohio State’s games this year have gone over the total in 15 of 30 opportunities (50%).

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Michigan State vs. Ohio State Key Players to Watch

Michigan State

A.J Hoggard puts up a team-high 6.1 assists per contest. He is also putting up 12.2 points and 3.8 rebounds, shooting 40.6% from the floor. Joey Hauser paces his team in rebounds per game (7), and also puts up 14.1 points and 1.9 assists. Defensively, he delivers 0.4 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Tyson Walker leads the Spartans at 14.8 points per game, while also posting 2.7 assists and 2.5 rebounds. Jaden averages 9.5 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest, shooting 41.5% from the field and 43.2% from downtown with 1.6 made 3-pointers per contest.

Ohio State

Brice Sensabaugh tops the Buckeyes in scoring (16.4 points per game) and assists (1.1), and averages 5.2 rebounds. He also posts 0.6 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. Justice Sueing is putting up 12.1 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game, making 43.3% of his shots from the floor. Zed Key is posting a team-leading 7.5 rebounds per contest. And he is producing 10.8 points and 0.8 assists, making 54.5% of his shots from the field. Bruce Thornton is posting 9.6 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, making 45.3% of his shots from the floor and 37.4% from beyond the arc, with 1.1 treys per game.

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What you need to know about the Michigan State Spartans

So far this season, nine out of Michigan State’s 18 Big Ten games have hit the over. So far this year, the Spartans are averaging 70.2 points per game (209th-ranked in college basketball) and surrendering 67 points per contest (91st-ranked). Michigan State is grabbing 32.4 boards per game (140th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while allowing 30.4 rebounds per contest (136th-ranked).

The Spartans are scoring 69.6 points per game this season in home games, which is 0.6 more points than they’re averaging in away games (69). Michigan State is making 7.5 treys per game this year (174th-ranked in college basketball), and it has a 39.4% three-point percentage (sixth-best). The Spartans rank 22nd-best in the nation by giving up a three-point shooting percentage of 30.4% to opposing teams. They rank 114th in college basketball by allowing 6.7 threes per contest.

The Spartans are 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their last 10 contests. In its past 10 games, Michigan State has hit the over six times. On offense, Michigan State has increased its production slightly over its last 10 games, scoring 71.1 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 70.2 it has put up over the course of this year. Michigan State’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has given up 70.8 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 67 points per game its opponents average this season.

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What you need to know about the Ohio State Buckeyes

A total of seven Ohio State conference games this season have hit the over. The Buckeyes are 151st in college basketball in points scored (72.9 per game) and 139th in points allowed (68.9). Ohio State grabs 33.7 rebounds per game and give up 30.2 boards, ranking 68th and 125th, respectively, in college basketball.

In 2022-23 the Buckeyes are scoring 7.6 more points per game at home (74.7) than away (67.1). Beyond the arc, Ohio State is 274th in college basketball in 3-pointers made per game (6.5). It is 113th in 3-point percentage at 35.4%. The Buckeyes are 151st in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (7 per game) and 66th in 3-point percentage defensively (31.9%).

In their last 10 contests, the Buckeyes have two wins against the spread, and are 2-8 overall. Four of Ohio State’s past 10 contests have gone over the total. In its last 10 games, Ohio State is scoring 64.9 points per contest, compared to its season average of 72.9. The Buckeyes have fared worse defensively in their past 10 games, allowing 73 points per contest, 4.1 more points their than season average of 68.9.

Michigan State vs. Ohio State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Michigan State, and we predict that Ohio State will cover the spread (Michigan State -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 138.5 points.

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How to bet Michigan State vs. Ohio State

You can bet on Michigan State vs. Ohio State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Michigan State vs. Ohio State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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