Michigan State vs Ohio State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Friday, March 10, 2023

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The No. 4 seed Michigan State Spartans (19-11, 11-8 Big Ten) are taking on the No. 13 seed Ohio State Buckeyes (15-18, 5-15 Big Ten) in the Big Ten Tournament on Friday at United Center. The game is scheduled for 2:30 PM.

Friday’s matchup between the Spartans and the Buckeyes sees the Spartans as a strong, 6.5-point favorite. The point total for the game is 135.

Michigan State vs. Ohio State Odds

Point Spread for Michigan State vs. Ohio State

The spread for this matchup is set at 6.5 points, with oddsmakers listing Michigan State as the favorite.

Michigan State vs. Ohio State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Michigan State has -262 odds to pick up the win, while Ohio State is listed at +216 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 135 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Friday, March 10, 2023
  • Game Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: Big Ten Network
  • Location: Chicago, Illinois
  • Arena: United Center

Michigan State vs. Ohio State Betting Trends

Michigan State is 15-15-0 against the spread this year. The Spartans have come away with 16 wins in the 19 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season. Michigan State’s games this year have eclipsed the over/under 48.5% of the time (16 out of 33 games with a set point total).

Ohio State is 13-20-0 against the spread this year. The Buckeyes have been the underdog on the moneyline 15 total times this season. They’ve finished 4-11 in those games. Ohio State’s games this year have gone over the point total 16 times in 33 opportunities (48.5%).

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Michigan State vs. Ohio State Key Players to Watch

Michigan State

A.J Hoggard posts a team-leading 6.1 assists per game. He is also averaging 12.6 points and 3.7 rebounds, shooting 41.1% from the field. Joey Hauser leads his squad in rebounds per game (7), and also posts 14.2 points and 1.9 assists. Defensively, he averages 0.4 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Tyson Walker posts a team-high 14.8 points per contest. He is also averaging 2.5 rebounds and 2.8 assists, shooting 46% from the floor and 42.9% from downtown with 1.8 made 3-pointers per game. Jaden averages 9.6 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.2 assists per contest. Defensively, he puts up 1.2 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Ohio State

Brice Sensabaugh tops the Buckeyes in scoring (16.3 points per game) and assists (1.2), and averages 5.4 rebounds. He also posts 0.5 steals and 0.4 blocked shots. Justice Sueing is posting 12.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and 1.8 assists per contest, making 43.4% of his shots from the floor. The Buckeyes get 10.3 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game from Bruce Thornton. Zed Key is posting a team-leading 7.5 rebounds per contest. And he is producing 10.8 points and 0.8 assists, making 54.5% of his shots from the floor.

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What you need to know about the Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State has covered 10 times in 19 chances against the spread in conference action this season. Offensively, the Spartans are averaging 70.6 points per game (203rd-ranked in college basketball). They are allowing 67.4 points per contest at the other end of the court (100th-ranked). Michigan State is averaging 32.2 rebounds per game (151st-ranked in college basketball) this year, while allowing 30.3 rebounds per contest (131st-ranked).

Michigan State ranks fourth-best in the nation with a three-point shooting percentage of 40.1%. It ranks 157th in college basketball by sinking 7.6 threes per contest. The Spartans are 136th in college basketball with 6.9 threes allowed per game this year. Meanwhile, they rank 36th with a 30.9% shooting percentage allowed from downtown.

The Spartans have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall over their past 10 contests. Michigan State has hit the over in six of its past 10 outings. Michigan State has been racking up 72.6 points per game in its last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly higher than the 70.6 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. The past 10 games have seen Michigan State give up three more points per game (70.4) than its season-long average (67.4).

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What you need to know about the Ohio State Buckeyes

Ohio State has put together a 7-15-0 record against the spread in conference games this season. In 2022-23, the Buckeyes are 153rd in the country offensively (72.8 points scored per game) and 143rd on defense (69 points conceded). With 33.3 rebounds per game and 30 rebounds conceded, Ohio State is 87th and 104th in the nation, respectively.

Beyond the arc, Ohio State is 269th in the nation in 3-pointers made per game (6.6). It is 75th in 3-point percentage at 36.1%. In 2022-23, the Buckeyes are 154th in the nation in 3-pointers allowed (7 per game) and 78th in defensive 3-point percentage (32.1%).

The Buckeyes have gone 4-6 over their last 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, Ohio State has hit the over three times. Ohio State has performed worse offensively in its last 10 games, posting 66.6 points per contest, 6.2 fewer points its than season average of 72.8. The Buckeyes have played worse defensively in their last 10 games, surrendering 71.2 points per contest, 2.2 more points their than season average of 69.

Michigan State vs. Ohio State Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Michigan State, and we predict that Ohio State will cover the spread (Michigan State -6.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 135 points.

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How to bet Michigan State vs. Ohio State

You can bet on Michigan State vs. Ohio State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Michigan State vs. Ohio State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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