Michigan State vs Kansas State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Thursday, March 23, 2023

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This Sweet 16 battle features the No. 7 seed Michigan State Spartans (21-12) squaring off against the No. 3 seed Kansas State Wildcats (25-9) on Thursday at Madison Square Garden. It tips off at 6:30 PM, with the winner advancing to the East Region bracket final.

Thursday’s matchup between the Spartans and the Wildcats features a slim line of Michigan State -1. A 138-point total has been set for the game.

Michigan State vs. Kansas State Odds

Point Spread for Michigan State vs. Kansas State

The spread for this matchup is set at 1 point, with oddsmakers listing Michigan State as the favorite.

Michigan State vs. Kansas State Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Michigan State has -119 odds to pick up the win, while Kansas State is listed at -102 to claim victory.


Finally, the total for the game is set at 138 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 23, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: New York City, New York
  • Arena: Madison Square Garden

Michigan State vs. Kansas State Betting Trends

In Michigan State’s 33 games this year, it has 17 wins against the spread. The Spartans have been chosen as favorites in 21 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (81%) in those games. Michigan State’s games this year have hit the over on 16 of 34 set point totals.

Kansas State has 23 wins against the spread in 34 games this year. The Wildcats have won six of the 15 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (40%). Kansas State’s games this season have hit the over on 18 of 34 set point totals (52.9%).

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Michigan State vs. Kansas State Key Players to Watch

Michigan State

A.J Hoggard is tops on his team in assists per game (5.9), and also posts 12.5 points and 3.7 rebounds. At the other end, he delivers 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Joey Hauser is tops on the Spartans at 7.1 rebounds per contest, while also averaging 1.8 assists and 14.3 points. Tyson Walker puts up 14.8 points and 2.8 assists per game — both team highs. He is also averaging 2.5 rebounds, shooting 46.2% from the field and 40.7% from beyond the arc with 1.7 made 3-pointers per game. Jaden averages 9.6 points, 4 rebounds and 1.1 assists per contest, shooting 41.3% from the field and 40.5% from downtown with 1.6 made 3-pointers per game.

Kansas State

Markquis Nowell leads the Wildcats in assists (7.8 per game), and puts up 17.1 points and 3.5 rebounds. He also posts 2.4 steals (10th in the nation) and 0.1 blocked shots. Keyontae Johnson paces the Wildcats in scoring (17.5 points per game) and rebounding (7), and produces 2.2 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots. Nae’Qwan Tomlin is posting 10.3 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.1 assists per contest, making 50% of his shots from the floor. Desi Sills gets the Wildcats 8.8 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. He also averages 1 steal and 0.4 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Michigan State Spartans

The Spartans are 208th in the nation with 70.2 points per game so far this season. At the other end of the court, they rank 82nd with 67 points allowed per contest. This year, Michigan State is grabbing 32.2 boards per game (149th-ranked in college basketball) and ceding 30.4 rebounds per contest (130th-ranked).

Michigan State ranks eighth-best in college basketball with a three-point shooting percentage of 38.7%. It ranks 200th in college basketball by draining 7.2 treys per contest. So far this year, the Spartans are allowing 7.1 threes per game (165th-ranked in college basketball) and are allowing opposing teams to shoot 31.9% (68th-ranked) from three-point land.

The Spartans have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. Five of Michigan State’s past 10 outings have hit the over. Michigan State has been scoring 74.6 points per game in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly higher than the 70.2 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. The past 10 games have seen Michigan State concede 2.5 more points per game (69.5) than its season-long average (67).

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What you need to know about the Kansas State Wildcats

On offense the Wildcats are the 84th-ranked team in the country (75.5 points per game). On defense they are 141st (68.9 points conceded per game). Kansas State is 172nd in college basketball in rebounds per game (31.9) and 123rd in rebounds conceded (30.3).

Kansas State is 220th in the nation in 3-pointers made (7 per game) and 209th in 3-point percentage (33.6%). In 2022-23 the Wildcats are 63rd in college basketball in 3-pointers conceded (6.3 per game) and 12th-best in defensive 3-point percentage (29.7%).

The Wildcats have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall in their past 10 games. Kansas State has hit the over in five of its past 10 games. Kansas State has fared worse offensively in its previous 10 games, compiling 72.2 points per contest, 3.3 fewer points its than season average of 75.5. The Wildcats are giving up 71 points per game in their previous 10 games, which is 2.1 more points than they are allowing for the season (68.9).

Michigan State vs. Kansas State Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Michigan State, and we predict that Kansas State will cover the spread (Michigan State -1). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 138 points.

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How to bet Michigan State vs. Kansas State

You can bet on Michigan State vs. Kansas State at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Michigan State vs. Kansas State picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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