Michigan State vs Indiana Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – Tuesday, February 21, 2023

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The Michigan State Spartans (16-10, 8-7 Big Ten) hope to extend a three-game home winning streak when hosting the Indiana Hoosiers (19-8, 10-6 Big Ten) on Tuesday, February 21, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET.

Tuesday’s matchup between the Spartans and the Hoosiers features the Spartans as modest 3.5-point favorites. The matchup’s point total is 137.

Michigan State vs. Indiana Odds

Point Spread for Michigan State vs. Indiana

The spread for this matchup is set at 3.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Michigan State as the favorite.

Michigan State vs. Indiana Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Michigan State has -170 odds to pick up the win, while Indiana is listed at +144 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 137 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Tuesday, February 21, 2023
  • Game Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: East Lansing, Michigan
  • Arena: Jack Breslin Students Events Center

Michigan State vs. Indiana Betting Trends

Michigan State has played 26 games, with 13 wins against the spread. The Spartans have been victorious in 13, or 81.2%, of the 16 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season. Michigan State’s games this year have gone over the point total 12 times in 27 opportunities (44.4%).

Against the spread, Indiana is 13-13-1 this season. The Hoosiers have won two of the seven games they were the moneyline underdog this season (28.6%). Indiana’s games this year have hit the over on 14 of 27 set point totals (51.9%).

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Michigan State vs. Indiana Key Players to Watch

Michigan State

A.J Hoggard paces his squad in assists per contest (5.8), and also puts up 11.8 points and 3.8 rebounds. Defensively, he posts 0.9 steals and 0.3 blocked shots. Joey Hauser averages 13.9 points and 7 rebounds per game — both team highs. He is also putting up 1.9 assists, shooting 47.7% from the field and 43% from downtown with 2 made 3-pointers per game. Tyson Walker posts 13.7 points, 2.4 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game, shooting 44.4% from the floor and 39.8% from downtown with 1.7 made 3-pointers per game. Jaden averages 8.8 points, 4.1 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game, shooting 40.3% from the field and 38.5% from downtown with 1.4 made 3-pointers per game.


Trayce Jackson-Davis is the Hoosiers’ top scorer (20.5 points per game) and rebounder (11.3, sixth in college basketball), and delivers 3.6 assists. Jalen Hood-Schifino is recording a team-leading 4.1 assists per game. He’s also contributing 12.6 points and 4 rebounds, hitting 41.1% of his shots from the floor, and 38.3% from 3-point range resulting in 1.3 treys per contest. The Hoosiers receive 7.9 points, 5.2 rebounds and 1.1 assists per game from Race Thompson. Miller Kopp gives the Hoosiers 8 points, 2.4 rebounds and 1.1 assists per contest. He also averages 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Michigan State Spartans

Michigan State has won eight games against the spread in conference action this season, while failing to cover seven times. Offensively, the Spartans are posting 68 points per game (272nd-ranked in college basketball). They are ceding 65.3 points per contest on defense (57th-ranked). This year, Michigan State is grabbing 32.8 rebounds per game (125th-ranked in college basketball) and allowing 30.9 rebounds per contest (167th-ranked).

The Spartans are posting 68.8 points per game in home games. In road games, they are averaging 63.7 points per contest. Michigan State is making 6.9 threes per game (235th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while sporting a 37% three-point percentage (43rd-ranked). The Spartans are ceding 6.4 threes per game this year (79th-ranked in college basketball), and they are allowing a 29.2% three-point percentage (14th-best).

The Spartans have a 4-6 record against the spread while finishing 4-6 overall over their last 10 contests. Michigan State has hit the over in four of its past 10 games. On the offensive side of the ball, Michigan State has had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over its last 10 games, scoring 64.4 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 68 it has put up over the course of this year. The last 10 games have seen Michigan State concede 0.7 more points per game (66) than its season-long average (65.3).

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What you need to know about the Indiana Hoosiers

Indiana and its opponents have combined to hit the over seven out of 16 times this year in Big Ten play. With 75.8 points scored per game and 67 points conceded, the Hoosiers are 81st in the nation on offense and 96th on defense. Indiana collects 33.9 rebounds per game and give up 29.8 boards, ranking 68th and 102nd, respectively, in the nation.

At home the Hoosiers are scoring 81.3 points per game, 14.7 more than they are averaging away (66.6). Indiana is 312th in the nation in 3-pointers made (6 per game) and 22nd-best in 3-point percentage (38%). Giving up 7.1 3-pointers per game and conceding 32% from beyond the arc, the Hoosiers are 168th and 75th in the country, respectively, in those categories.

The Hoosiers have gone 8-2 in their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span. Indiana has gone over the total in three of its past 10 contests. Over its last 10 games, Indiana is posting 70.4 points per contest, 5.4 fewer points than its season average (75.8). While the Hoosiers are ceding 67 points per game in 2022-23, they have improved that mark over their last 10 games, allowing 65.4 points per contest.

Michigan State vs. Indiana Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this game is Michigan State, and we predict that Indiana will cover the spread (Michigan State -3.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 137 points.

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How to bet Michigan State vs. Indiana

You can bet on Michigan State vs. Indiana at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Michigan State vs. Indiana picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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