Miami vs Pittsburgh Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, March 4, 2023

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The Miami Hurricanes (23-6, 15-5 ACC) battle the Pittsburgh Panthers (21-9, 14-6 ACC) at 6:00 PM ET on Saturday in ACC play. The matchup airs on ACC Network.

The Hurricanes are currently strong 7.5-point favorites over the Panthers. The matchup has an over/under of 154.5.

Miami vs. Pittsburgh Odds

Point Spread for Miami vs. Pittsburgh

The spread for this matchup is set at 7.5 points, with sportsbooks listing Miami as the favorite.

Miami vs. Pittsburgh Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Miami has -316 odds to pick up the win, while Pittsburgh is listed at +253 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 154.5 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 4, 2023
  • Game Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ACC Network
  • Location: Coral Gables, Florida
  • Arena: Watsco Center

Miami vs. Pittsburgh Betting Trends

In Miami’s 29 games this year, it has 18 wins against the spread. The Hurricanes have been favorites in 21 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (85.7%) in those contests. Miami has eclipsed the over/under in 43.3% of its opportunities this year (13 times in 30 games with a set point total).

Pittsburgh has 20 wins against the spread in 30 games this year. The Panthers have put together a 7-6 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 53.8% of those games). Pittsburgh’s games this year have hit the over on 19 of 30 set point totals (63.3%).

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Miami vs. Pittsburgh Key Players to Watch

Miami

Norchad Omier leads his squad in rebounds per game (9.9), and also puts up 14 points and 1.2 assists. Defensively, he puts up 1.1 steals and 1.3 blocked shots. Jordan Miller puts up 15.1 points, 6 rebounds and 2.6 assists per game, shooting 53.6% from the field. Nijel Pack posts 13.6 points, 2.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, shooting 44% from the floor and 41% from downtown with 2.5 made 3-pointers per game.

Pittsburgh

Blake Hinson is the Panthers’ top scorer (15.8 points per game) and rebounder (6.4), and puts up 1.2 assists. The Panthers receive 15.6 points, 5 rebounds and 4.2 assists per game from Jamarius Burton. Nelly Cummings is the Panthers’ top assist man (4.8 per game), and he puts up 11.3 points and 2.8 rebounds. The Panthers get 10.9 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game from Greg Elliott.

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What you need to know about the Miami Hurricanes

Miami’s ACC games have gone over the point total eight out of 19 times this season. The Hurricanes are surrendering 71.6 points per game this season (227th-ranked in college basketball), but they’ve really thrived offensively, averaging 79.7 points per game (24th-best). Miami ranks 167th in college basketball with 31.9 boards per game so far this season. Meanwhile, it ranks 67th with 29.2 rebounds allowed per contest.

Offensively, the Hurricanes have fared better in home games this year, scoring 83.8 points per game, compared to 75.2 per game in away games. Miami is sinking 7.6 three-pointers per game (160th-ranked in college basketball) this year, while owning a 36.9% three-point percentage (46th-ranked). The Hurricanes rank 195th in the nation with 7.3 treys allowed per game this season. Meanwhile, they rank 109th with a 32.7% shooting percentage allowed from beyond the arc.

The Hurricanes have gone 8-2 over their past 10 games, with a 7-3 record against the spread during that span. Miami has gone over the total in five of its past 10 contests. Miami has been racking up 83.4 points per contest in its last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little higher than the 79.7 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 campaign. Miami’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has given up 74.9 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 71.6 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.

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What you need to know about the Pittsburgh Panthers

In Pittsburgh’s 19 chances this year in ACC action, the combined scoring has gone over the point total 12 times. At 75.9 points scored per game and 69 points conceded, the Panthers are 80th in college basketball on offense and 143rd defensively. Pittsburgh collects 34.1 rebounds per game and give up 31.1 boards, ranking 51st and 184th, respectively, in the country.

At home the Panthers are putting up 77.8 points per game, 2.4 more than they are averaging away (75.4). In 2022-23 Pittsburgh is 23rd-best in the nation in 3-point makes (9.4 per game), and it ranks No. 89 in 3-point percentage (35.8%). The Panthers give up 7.7 3-pointers per game and concede 32.8% from beyond the arc, ranking 240th and 115th, respectively, in the country.

The Panthers have gone 8-2 in their past 10 games, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span. In its past 10 games, Pittsburgh has gone over the total seven times. While Pittsburgh is putting up 75.9 points per game in 2022-23, it has bettered that mark in its past 10 games, tallying 79.6 a contest. The Panthers are surrendering 71.8 points per contest in their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 69 points allowed.

Miami vs. Pittsburgh Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this matchup is Miami, and we predict that Pittsburgh will cover the spread (Miami -7.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 154.5 points.

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How to bet Miami vs. Pittsburgh

You can bet on Miami vs. Pittsburgh at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Miami vs. Pittsburgh picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.

WRITTEN BY

Matt Rooney

Matt comes from Chicago and has lived in the area his whole life. Graduated from and played football at Illinois Wesleyan University in Bloomington, IL while also serving as the director of student sports broadcasting. He writes for Betsperts as well as appears on several shows across the network.

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