Miami vs Duke Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Monday, February 6, 2023

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The Duke Blue Devils (17-6, 8-4 ACC) will attempt to build on a three-game winning streak when visiting the Miami Hurricanes (18-5, 9-4 ACC) at 7:00 PM ET on Monday, February 6, 2023 at Watsco Center.

Monday’s matchup between the Hurricanes and the Blue Devils features the Hurricanes as 3-point favorites. The game’s over/under is 146.

Miami vs. Duke Odds

Point Spread for Miami vs. Duke

The spread for this matchup is set at 3 points, with oddsmakers listing Miami as the favorite.

Miami vs. Duke Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Miami has -160 odds to pick up the win, while Duke is listed at +136 to claim victory.


Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 146 points.

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Game Time and How to Watch

  • Game Day: Monday, February 6, 2023
  • Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Location: Coral Gables, Florida
  • Arena: Watsco Center

Miami vs. Duke Betting Trends

Miami has 14 wins against the spread in 23 games this season. The Hurricanes have won in 15, or 88.2%, of the 17 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year. Miami has gone over the point total in 43.5% of its opportunities this year (10 times over 23 games with a set point total).

Duke is 9-14-0 against the spread this year. The Blue Devils have been listed as the moneyline underdog just one other time so far this season, a game they lost. Duke’s games this season have gone over the total in nine of 23 opportunities (39.1%).

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Miami vs. Duke Key Players to Watch


Norchad Omier leads the Hurricanes at 10.1 rebounds per contest, while also averaging 1.2 assists and 13.7 points. Jordan Miller posts 14.8 points, 5.7 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest, shooting 53.9% from the floor and 37.9% from downtown with 1.1 made 3-pointers per contest. Nijel Pack is putting up 12.5 points, 2.5 assists and 2.5 rebounds per game.


Kyle Filipowski paces the Blue Devils in scoring (15.7 points per game) and rebounding (9.3), and posts 1.3 assists. He also posts 1.2 steals and 1 block. Ryan Young gets the Blue Devils 7.8 points, 6.3 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. He also puts up 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocked shots. Tyrese Proctor is the Blue Devils’ top assist man (2.9 per game), and he puts up 9 points and 3.4 rebounds. Jeremy Roach leads the Blue Devils in assists (2.9 per game), and produces 12.6 points and 2.7 rebounds. He also puts up 1.1 steals and 0 blocked shots.

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What you need to know about the Miami Hurricanes

Miami and its ACC opponents have combined to go over the point total five out of 13 times this season. Offensively, the Hurricanes are posting 78.3 points per game (37th-ranked in college basketball). They are surrendering 70.3 points per contest at the other end of the court (205th-ranked). Miami is grabbing 32.1 rebounds per game (165th-ranked in college basketball). It is giving up 29.9 rebounds per contest (101st-ranked).

The Hurricanes put up 82.2 points per game when playing at home, compared to 74.6 points per game in road games, a difference of 7.6 points per contest. Miami is making 7.7 three-pointers per game (148th-ranked in college basketball). It owns a 36% shooting percentage (77th-ranked) from beyond the arc. With 7 treys conceded per game, the Hurricanes are 152nd in the country. They are giving up a 32.7% shooting percentage from downtown, which ranks 135th in college basketball.

The Hurricanes are 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 games. Miami has hit the over in five of its past 10 outings. In its last 10 games, Miami has been scoring 78.7 points per contest, an average that’s slightly higher than the 78.3 it has scored over the course of the 2022-23 season. Miami has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 73.3 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 70.3 it has surrendered this year.

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What you need to know about the Duke Blue Devils

Duke has compiled a 3-9-0 record against the spread in conference action this year. In 2022-23, the Blue Devils are 158th in the nation offensively (72.5 points scored per game) and 33rd on defense (63.4 points conceded). In 2022-23, Duke is 11th-best in the nation in rebounds (36.7 per game) and 34th in rebounds allowed (28).

The Blue Devils average 77.3 points per game at home, and 70 on the road. Duke is 251st in the nation in 3-pointers made (6.8 per game) and 265th in 3-point percentage (32.6%). In 2022-23 the Blue Devils are 53rd in college basketball in 3-pointers allowed (6.1 per game) and 22nd-best in defensive 3-point percentage (29.9%).

The Blue Devils are 3-7 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their last 10 games. Duke has hit the over in four of its last 10 games. Duke is scoring 71.9 points per game over its past 10 games, which is 0.6 fewer points than its average for the season (72.5). Over their previous 10 games, the Blue Devils are ceding 67.3 points per contest, 3.9 more points than their season average (63.4).

Miami vs. Duke Prediction & Pick

Our prediction to win this game is Miami, and we predict that Duke will cover the spread (Miami -3). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going under the posted total of 146 points.

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How to bet Miami vs. Duke

You can bet on Miami vs. Duke at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

And if you wanted to check out how much you could win on a $10 bet if you parlayed today’s Miami vs. Duke picks, don’t forget to check out our free parlay calculator.

Not sure what a parlay is? Or even how to bet on college basketball? Check out our complete guide to sports betting.


Dan Weiner

Hailing from Atlanta and attending college at the University of Texas, Dan is passionate about sports, particularly college football and soccer. He's a diehard Atlanta pro sports and Texas Longhorns fan. He likes every sport and will watch anything and everything the weirder the better. He joined Betsperts after an 11 year career in television production at ESPN.

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